Related papers: Bayesian model selection with fractional Brownian …
We study statistical inference for small-noise-perturbed multiscale dynamical systems where the slow motion is driven by fractional Brownian motion. We develop statistical estimators for both the Hurst index as well as a vector of unknown…
We study well-posedness of sweeping processes with stochastic perturbations generated by a fractional Brownian motion and convergence of associated numerical schemes. To this end, we first prove new existence, uniqueness and approximation…
The fractional Brownian motion (fBm) extends the standard Brownian motion by introducing some dependence between non-overlapping increments. Consequently, if one considers for example that log-prices follow an fBm, one can exploit the…
Cell migration often exhibits long-range temporal correlations and anomalous diffusion, even in the absence of external guidance cues such as chemical gradients or topographical constraints. These observations raise a fundamental question:…
In this thesis, branching Brownian motion (BBM) is a random particle system where the particles diffuse on the real line according to Brownian motions and branch at constant rate into a random number of particles with expectation greater…
Fractional Brownian motion, a Gaussian non-Markovian self-similar process with stationary long-correlated increments, has been identified to give rise to the anomalous diffusion behavior in a great variety of physical systems. The…
For equidistant discretizations of fractional Brownian motion (fBm), the probabilities of ordinal patterns of order d=2 are monotonically related to the Hurst parameter H. By plugging the sample relative frequency of those patterns…
Bayesian optimization (BO) is a powerful framework for estimating parameters of expensive simulation models, particularly in settings where the likelihood is intractable and evaluations are costly. In stochastic models every simulation is…
In this paper we develop a dynamic form of Bayesian optimization for machine learning models with the goal of rapidly finding good hyperparameter settings. Our method uses the partial information gained during the training of a machine…
We study the asymptotic behaviour of a class of small-noise diffusions driven by fractional Brownian motion, with random starting points. Different scalings allow for different asymptotic properties of the process (small-time and tail…
We apply the averaging method to a coupled system consisting of two evolution equations which has a slow component driven by fractional Brownian motion (FBM) with the Hurst parameter $H_1> \frac12$ and a fast component driven by additive…
We present an innovating sensitivity analysis for stochastic differential equations: We study the sensitivity, when the Hurst parameter~$H$ of the driving fractional Brownian motion tends to the pure Brownian value, of probability…
Variable clustering is important for explanatory analysis. However, only few dedicated methods for variable clustering with the Gaussian graphical model have been proposed. Even more severe, small insignificant partial correlations due to…
The purpose of the article is twofold. Firstly, we review some recent results on the maximum likelihood estimation in the regression model of the form $X_t = \theta G(t) + B_t$, where $B$ is a Gaussian process, $G(t)$ is a known function,…
We study a classical Bayesian statistics problem of sequentially testing the sign of the drift of an arithmetic Brownian motion with the $0$-$1$ loss function and a constant cost of observation per unit of time for general prior…
The geometry of the multifractional Brownian motion (mBm) is known to present a complex and surprising form when the Hurst function is greatly irregular. Nevertheless, most of the literature devoted to the subject considers sufficiently…
We study the problem of selecting limited features to observe such that models trained on them can perform well simultaneously across multiple subpopulations. This problem has applications in settings where collecting each feature is…
This analysis derives the maximum likelihood estimator and applies Bayesian inference to model geometric Brownian motion, incorporating jump diffusion to account for sudden market shifts. The Bayesian approach is implemented using Markov…
This paper considers the problem of computing Bayesian estimates of both states and model parameters for nonlinear state-space models. Generally, this problem does not have a tractable solution and approximations must be utilised. In this…
The fractional Brownian motion (fBm) is a paradigmatic strongly non-Markovian process with broad applications in various fields. Despite their importance, the properties of the territory covered by a $d$-dimensional fBm have remained…