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Using Markov chain Monte Carlo to sample from posterior distributions was the key innovation which made Bayesian data analysis practical. Notoriously, however, MCMC is hard to tune, hard to diagnose, and hard to parallelize. This…

Computation · Statistics 2022-03-18 Cosma Rohilla Shalizi

In this work, we developed an efficient approach to compute ensemble averages in systems with pairwise-additive energetic interactions between the entities. Methods involving full enumeration of the configuration space result in exponential…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2020-10-13 Arun V. Sathanur , Nathan A. Baker

Estimation of the expectation value of observables is a key subroutine in quantum computing and is also the bottleneck of the performance of many near-term quantum algorithms. Many works have been proposed to reduce the number of…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-05-05 Zi-Jian Zhang , Kouhei Nakaji , Matthew Choi , Alán Aspuru-Guzik

This paper investigates the use of multiple directions of stratification as a variance reduction technique for Monte Carlo simulations of path-dependent options driven by Gaussian vectors. The precision of the method depends on the choice…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-04-29 Benjamin Jourdain , Bernard Lapeyre , Piergiacomo Sabino

Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods are a class of Monte Carlo methods that are used to obtain random samples of a high dimensional random variable in a sequential fashion. Many problems encountered in applications often involve different…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-20 Chencheng Cai , Rong Chen , Ming Lin

The BAT-MCS is an integrated Monte Carlo simulation method (MCS) that combines a binary adaptation tree algorithm (BAT) with a self-regulating simulation mechanism. The BAT algorithm operates deterministically, while the Monte Carlo…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-02-25 Wei-Chang Yeh

Efficient sampling of complex high-dimensional probability distributions is a central task in computational science. Machine learning methods like autoregressive neural networks, used with Markov chain Monte Carlo sampling, provide good…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-11-11 Dian Wu , Riccardo Rossi , Giuseppe Carleo

Coordinate-type subgradient methods for addressing nonsmooth optimization problems are relatively underexplored due to the set-valued nature of the subdifferential. In this work, our study focuses on nonsmooth composite optimization…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-08-24 Lei Zhao , Ding Chen , Daoli Zhu , Xiao Li

Sampling-based model predictive controllers generate trajectories by sampling control inputs from a fixed, simple distribution such as the normal or uniform distributions. This sampling method yields trajectory samples that are tightly…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-13 O. Goktug Poyrazoglu , Rahul Moorthy , Yukang Cao , William Chastek , Volkan Isler

Global fits of physics models require efficient methods for exploring high-dimensional and/or multimodal posterior functions. We introduce a novel method for accelerating Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling by pairing a…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2023-09-06 N. T. Hunt-Smith , W. Melnitchouk , F. Ringer , N. Sato , A. W Thomas , M. J. White

Inference after model selection presents computational challenges when dealing with intractable conditional distributions. Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is a common method for sampling from these distributions, but its slow convergence…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-22 Sifan Liu

We consider the problem of estimating the density of a random variable $X$ that can be sampled exactly by Monte Carlo (MC). We investigate the effectiveness of replacing MC by randomized quasi Monte Carlo (RQMC) or by stratified sampling…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-12 Amal Ben Abdellah , Pierre L'Ecuyer , Art B. Owen , Florian Puchhammer

Modulo sampling enables acquisition of signals with unlimited dynamic range by folding the input into a bounded interval prior to sampling, thus eliminating the risk of signal clipping and preserving information without requiring…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-22 Yhonatan Kvich , Rotem Arie , Hana Hasan , Shaik Basheeruddin Shah , Yonina C. Eldar

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods are a powerful tool for computation with complex probability distributions. However the performance of such methods is critically dependant on properly tuned parameters, most of which are difficult if…

Computation · Statistics 2021-10-27 James A. Brofos , Marylou Gabrié , Marcus A. Brubaker , Roy R. Lederman

We present a localized data assimilation (DA) scheme based on the sequential Markov Chain Monte Carlo (SMCMC) technique [Ruzayqat et al., 2024], a provably convergent method for filtering high-dimensional, nonlinear, and potentially…

Computation · Statistics 2026-03-09 Hamza Ruzayqat , Hristo G. Chipilski , Omar Knio

We propose sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods for sampling the posterior distribution of state-space models under highly informative observation regimes, a situation in which standard SMC methods can perform poorly. A special case is…

Computation · Statistics 2015-07-10 Pierre Del Moral , Lawrence M. Murray

Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC), also known as particle filters, has been widely accepted as a powerful computational tool for making inference with dynamical systems. A key step in SMC is resampling, which plays the role of steering the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-08 Yichao Li , Wenshuo Wang , Ke Deng , Jun S Liu

Importance Sampling (IS) is a widely used variance reduction technique for enhancing the efficiency of Monte Carlo methods, particularly in rare-event simulation and related applications. Despite its effectiveness, the performance of IS is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-11 Liviu Aolaritei , Bart P. G. Van Parys , Henry Lam , Michael I. Jordan

In the context of Monte Carlo sampling for lattice models, the complexity of the energy landscape often leads to Markov chains being trapped in local optima, thereby increasing the correlation between samples and reducing sampling…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-10-29 Jiewei Ding , Jiahao Su , Ho-Kin Tang , Wing Chi Yu

In statistical data assimilation (SDA) and supervised machine learning (ML), we wish to transfer information from observations to a model of the processes underlying those observations. For SDA, the model consists of a set of differential…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-01-22 Zheng Fang , Adrian S. Wong , Kangbo Hao , Alexander J. A. Ty , Henry D. I. Abarbanel