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Monte Carlo (MC) sampling methods are widely applied in Bayesian inference, system simulation and optimization problems. The Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms are a well-known class of MC methods which generate a Markov chain with…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-21 Luca Martino , Victor Elvira

The theme of the present paper is numerical integration of $C^r$ functions using randomized methods. We consider variance reduction methods that consist in two steps. First the initial interval is partitioned into subintervals and the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-06-21 Leszek Plaskota , Paweł Przybyłowicz , Łukasz Stępień

Statistical signal processing applications usually require the estimation of some parameters of interest given a set of observed data. These estimates are typically obtained either by solving a multi-variate optimization problem, as in the…

Computation · Statistics 2021-07-27 D. Luengo , L. Martino , M. Bugallo , V. Elvira , S. Särkkä

We introduce a general Monte Carlo method based on Nested Sampling (NS), for sampling complex probability distributions and estimating the normalising constant. The method uses one or more particles, which explore a mixture of nested…

Computation · Statistics 2012-02-27 Brendon J. Brewer , Livia B. Pártay , Gábor Csányi

Compressive sensing (CS) reconstructs images from sub-Nyquist measurements by solving a sparsity-regularized inverse problem. Traditional CS solvers use iterative optimizers with hand crafted sparsifiers, while early data-driven methods…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-06-02 Pamuditha Somarathne , Tharindu Wickremasinghe , Amashi Niwarthana , A. Thieshanthan , Chamira U. S. Edussooriya , Dushan N. Wadduwage

This paper develops a matrix-variate adaptive Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methodology for Bayesian Cointegrated Vector Auto Regressions (CVAR). We replace the popular approach to sampling Bayesian CVAR models, involving griddy Gibbs,…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-04-23 Gareth W. Peters , Balakrishnan Kannan , Ben Lasscock , Chris Mellen

Soil organic carbon (SOC) monitoring often relies on selecting representative field sampling locations based on environmental covariates. We propose a novel hybrid methodology that integrates spectral clustering - an unsupervised machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-17 Weiying Zhao , Aleksei Unagaev , Natalia Efremova

Cross-entropy method model predictive control (CEM--MPC) is a powerful gradient-free technique for nonlinear optimal control, but its performance is often limited by the reliance on random sampling. This conventional approach can lead to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-12 Markus Walker , Daniel Frisch , Uwe D. Hanebeck

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) is computationally intensive for complex model simulators. To exploit expensive simulations, data-resampling via bootstrapping can be employed to obtain many artificial datasets at little cost.…

Computation · Statistics 2021-07-05 Umberto Picchini , Richard G. Everitt

The Randomized Controlled Trial (RCT) or A/B testing is considered the gold standard method for estimating causal effects. Fisher famously advocated randomly allocating experiment units into treatment and control groups to preclude…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-17 Deddy Jobson , Li Yilin , Naoki Nishimura , Yang Jie , Koya Ohashi , Takeshi Matsumoto

It has been known for a long time that stratification is one possible strategy to obtain higher convergence rates for the Monte Carlo estimation of integrals over the hyper-cube $[0, 1]^s$ of dimension $s$. However, stratified estimators…

Computation · Statistics 2025-01-10 Nicolas Chopin , Hejin Wang , Mathieu Gerber

Monte Carlo integration with variance reduction by means of control variates can be implemented by the ordinary least squares estimator for the intercept in a multiple linear regression model with the integrand as response and the control…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-02 Rémi Leluc , François Portier , Johan Segers

A general methodology is introduced for the construction and effective application of control variates to estimation problems involving data from reversible MCMC samplers. We propose the use of a specific class of functions as control…

Computation · Statistics 2010-08-10 Petros Dellaportas , Ioannis Kontoyiannis

We consider the problem of sampling transition paths between two given metastable states of a molecular system, e.g. a folded and unfolded protein or products and reactants of a chemical reaction. Due to the existence of high energy…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2023-07-19 Lars Holdijk , Yuanqi Du , Ferry Hooft , Priyank Jaini , Bernd Ensing , Max Welling

We introduce a new class of sequential Monte Carlo methods which reformulates the essence of the nested sampling method of Skilling (2006) in terms of sequential Monte Carlo techniques. Two new algorithms are proposed, nested sampling via…

Driven by several successful applications such as in stochastic gradient descent or in Bayesian computation, control variates have become a major tool for Monte Carlo integration. However, standard methods do not allow the distribution of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-06 Rémi Leluc , François Portier , Johan Segers , Aigerim Zhuman

Monte Carlo (MC) methods are widely used for Bayesian inference and optimization in statistics, signal processing and machine learning. A well-known class of MC methods are Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms. In order to foster…

Computation · Statistics 2016-09-27 L. Martino , V. Elvira , D. Luengo , J. Corander , F. Louzada

Statistical machine learning models should be evaluated and validated before putting to work. Conventional k-fold Monte Carlo Cross-Validation (MCCV) procedure uses a pseudo-random sequence to partition instances into k subsets, which…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-07-05 Liang Guo , Jianya Liu , Ruodan Lu

A second-order many-body perturbation correction to the relativistic Dirac-Hartree-Fock energy is evaluated stochastically by integrating 13-dimensional products of four-component spinors and Coulomb potentials. The integration in the real…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-06-16 J. César Cruz , Jorge Garza , Takeshi Yanai , So Hirata

We introduce a new Markov-Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) approach designed for efficient sampling of highly correlated and multimodal posteriors. Parallel tempering, though effective, is a costly technique for sampling such posteriors. Our…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2014-10-01 Benjamin Farr , Vicky Kalogera , Erik Luijten