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In statistics and machine learning, approximation of an intractable integration is often achieved by using the unbiased Monte Carlo estimator, but the variances of the estimation are generally high in many applications. Control variates…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-16 Ruosi Wan , Mingjun Zhong , Haoyi Xiong , Zhanxing Zhu

The subsurface flow is usually subject to uncertain porous media structures. In most cases, however, we only have partial knowledge about the porous media properties. A common approach is to model the uncertain parameters of porous media as…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-10-11 Yang Liu , Jingfa Li , Shuyu Sun , Bo Yu

For low-dimensional data sets with a large amount of data points, standard kernel methods are usually not feasible for regression anymore. Besides simple linear models or involved heuristic deep learning models, grid-based discretizations…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-01 Bastian Bohn , Michael Griebel , Jens Oettershagen

Stochastic optimization in learning and inference often relies on Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) to approximate gradients when exact computation is intractable. However, finite-time MCMC estimators are biased, and reducing this bias…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-02 Antoine Godichon-Baggioni , Gabriel Lang , Sylvain Le Corff , Julien Stoehr , Sobihan Surendran

We introduce a Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method that is designed to sample from target distributions with irregular geometry using an adaptive scheme. In cases where targets exhibit non-Gaussian behaviour, we propose that adaption…

Computation · Statistics 2023-10-06 Ameer Dharamshi , Vivian Ngo , Jeffrey S. Rosenthal

Least squares estimation, a regression technique based on minimisation of residuals, has been invaluable in bringing the best fit solutions to parameters in science and engineering. However, in dynamic environments such as in Geomatics…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2018-04-17 C. P. E. Agbachi

We employ model predictive control for a multi-period portfolio optimization problem. In addition to the mean-variance objective, we construct a portfolio whose allocation is given by model predictive control with a risk-parity objective,…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-22 Xiaoyue Li , A. Sinem Uysal , John M. Mulvey

In this article, we present a review of the recent developments on the topic of Multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) algorithm, in the paradigm of applications in financial engineering. We specifically focus on the recent studies conducted in two…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-09-30 Devang Sinha , Siddhartha P. Chakrabarty

Modern macroeconometrics often relies on time series models for which it is time-consuming to evaluate the likelihood function. We demonstrate how Bayesian computations for such models can be drastically accelerated by reweighting and…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-09-10 Marko Mlikota , Frank Schorfheide

In scientific machine learning, regression networks have been recently applied to approximate solution maps (e.g., potential-ground state map of Schr\"odinger equation). In this paper, we aim to reduce the generalization error without…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-02-16 Zhihan Li , Yuwei Fan , Lexing Ying

In this paper, we present the Monte-Carlo Compressive Optimization algorithm, a new method to solve a combinatorial optimization problem that is assumed compressible. The method relies on random queries to the objective function in order to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-30 Baptiste Chevalier , Shimpei Yamaguchi , Wojciech Roga , Masahiro Takeoka

We present a Monte Carlo method to compute efficiently susceptibilites or covariances of two physical variables. The method relies on a generalization of the exchange cluster algorithm to any model of interacting particles with any $2$-body…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-02-11 Assaraf Roland , Chevreau Hilaire

Financial portfolio management is one of the problems that are most frequently encountered in the investment industry. Nevertheless, it is not widely recognized that both Kelly Criterion and Risk Parity collapse into Mean Variance under…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-06-11 Yoshiharu Sato

Consider the {$\ell_{\alpha}$} regularized linear regression, also termed Bridge regression. For $\alpha\in (0,1)$, Bridge regression enjoys several statistical properties of interest such as sparsity and near-unbiasedness of the estimates…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-10 Jorge Loría , Anindya Bhadra

Robust and reliable covariance estimates play a decisive role in financial and many other applications. An important class of estimators is based on Factor models. Here, we show by extensive Monte Carlo simulations that covariance matrices…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-19 Daniel Bartz , Kerr Hatrick , Christian W. Hesse , Klaus-Robert Müller , Steven Lemm

We describe an adaptive importance sampling algorithm for rare events that is based on a dual stochastic control formulation of a path sampling problem. Specifically, we focus on path functionals that have the form of cumulate generating…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-01-30 Omar Kebiri , Lara Neureither , Carsten Hartmann

The standard Kernel Quadrature method for numerical integration with random point sets (also called Bayesian Monte Carlo) is known to converge in root mean square error at a rate determined by the ratio $s/d$, where $s$ and $d$ encode the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-08-01 Francois-Xavier Briol , Chris J. Oates , Jon Cockayne , Wilson Ye Chen , Mark Girolami

Least absolute deviation regression is applied using a fixed number of points for all values of the index to estimate the index and scale parameter of the stable distribution using regression methods based on the empirical characteristic…

Computation · Statistics 2018-11-06 J. Martin van Zyl

Monte Carlo simulation is an unbiased numerical tool for studying classical and quantum many-body systems. One of its bottlenecks is the lack of general and efficient update algorithm for large size systems close to phase transition or with…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2017-01-11 Junwei Liu , Yang Qi , Zi Yang Meng , Liang Fu

Stochastic gradient methods are dominant in nonconvex optimization especially for deep models but have low asymptotical convergence due to the fixed smoothness. To address this problem, we propose a simple yet effective method for improving…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-05-25 Jun Li , Hongfu Liu , Bineng Zhong , Yue Wu , Yun Fu