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Understanding the generative mechanism of a natural system is a vital component of the scientific method. Here, we investigate one of the fundamental steps toward this goal by presenting the minimal generator of an arbitrary binary Markov…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-02-14 J. Ruebeck , R. G. James , J. R. Mahoney , J. P. Crutchfield

Order-preserving couplings are elegant tools for obtaining robust estimates of the time-dependent and stationary distributions of Markov processes that are too complex to be analyzed exactly. The starting point of this paper is to study…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-06-02 Lasse Leskelä

In unsupervised classification, Hidden Markov Models (HMM) are used to account for a neighborhood structure between observations. The emission distributions are often supposed to belong to some parametric family. In this paper, a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-06-25 Stevenn Volant , Caroline Bérard , Marie-Laure Martin-Magniette , Stéphane Robin

Probabilistic models often have parameters that can be translated, scaled, permuted, or otherwise transformed without changing the model. These symmetries can lead to strong correlation and multimodality in the posterior distribution over…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-12-20 Robert Nishihara , Thomas Minka , Daniel Tarlow

Let X and Y be time-homogeneous Markov processes with common state space E, and assume that the transition kernels of X and Y admit densities with respect to suitable reference measures. We show that if there is a time t>0 such that, for…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 P. J. Fitzsimmons

We introduce multiple hidden Markov models (MHMMs) where an observed multivariate categorical time series depends on an unobservable multivariate Mar- kov chain. MHMMs provide an elegant framework for specifying various independence…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-09-17 Roberto Colombi , Sabrina Giordano

This paper generalizes the notion of stochastic order to a relation between probability measures over arbitrary measurable spaces. This generalization is motivated by the observation that for the stochastic ordering of two stationary Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-06-24 Lasse Leskelä

Computing smoothing distributions, the distributions of one or more states conditional on past, present, and future observations is a recurring problem when operating on general hidden Markov models. The aim of this paper is to provide a…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-02-15 Randal Douc , Aurélien Garivier , Eric Moulines , Jimmy Olsson

We consider the problem of simultaneous estimation of a sequence of dependent parameters that are generated from a hidden Markov model. Based on observing a noise contaminated vector of observations from such a sequence model, we consider…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-16 Bowen Gang , Gourab Mukherjee , Wenguang Sun

Studying the subexponential convergence towards equilibrium of a strong Markov process, we exhibit an intermediate Lyapunov condition equivalent to the control of some moment of a hitting time. This provides a link, similar (although more…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-03 Armand Bernou

This paper consists of $3$ parts. The first part only considers classical processes and introduces two different extensions of the notion of hidden Markov process. In the second part, the notion of quantum hidden process is introduced. In…

Operator Algebras · Mathematics 2024-07-24 Luigi Accardi , El Gheteb Soueidy , Yun Gang Lu , Abdessatar Souissi

In the field of large deviations for stochastic dynamics, the canonical conditioning of a given Markov process with respect to a given time-local trajectory observable over a large time-window has attracted a lot of interest recently. In…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-01-24 Cecile Monthus

We prove a stochastic averaging theorem for stochastic differential equations in which the slow and the fast variables interact. The approximate Markov fast motion is a family of Markov process with generator ${\mathcal L}_x$ for which we…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-02-19 Xue-Mei Li

We show that nonequilibrium dynamics can play a constructive role in unsupervised machine learning by inducing the spontaneous emergence of latent-state cycles. We introduce a model in which visible and hidden variables interact through two…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-05-05 Marco Baiesi , Alberto Rosso

We describe a generalization of the Hierarchical Dirichlet Process Hidden Markov Model (HDP-HMM) which is able to encode prior information that state transitions are more likely between "nearby" states. This is accomplished by defining a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-24 Colin Reimer Dawson , Chaofan Huang , Clayton T. Morrison

We introduce a multivariate hidden Markov model to jointly cluster time-series observations with different support, i.e. circular and linear. Relying on the general projected normal distribution, our approach allows for bimodal and/or…

Applications · Statistics 2015-01-27 Gianluca Mastrantonio , Antonello Maruotti , Giovanna Jona Lasinio

Various and ubiquitous information systems are being used in monitoring, exchanging, and collecting information. These systems are generating massive amount of event sequence logs that may help us understand underlying phenomenon. By…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-13 Yihuang Kang , Vladimir Zadorozhny

The moving coframe method is applied to solve the local equivalence problem for the class of linear parabolic equations in two independent variables under an action of the pseudo-group of contact transformations. The structure equations and…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Oleg I. Morozov

The detection of change-points in heterogeneous sequences is a statistical challenge with many applications in fields such as finance, signal analysis and biology. A wide variety of literature exists for finding an ideal set of…

Applications · Statistics 2012-12-11 The Minh Luong , Vittorio Perduca , Gregory Nuel

We introduce the framework of qualitative optimization problems (or, simply, optimization problems) to represent preference theories. The formalism uses separate modules to describe the space of outcomes to be compared (the generator) and…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2011-12-06 Wolfgang Faber , Mirosław Truszczyński , Stefan Woltran
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