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In this paper, we derive closed-form estimators for the parameters of certain exponential family distributions through the maximum a posteriori (MAP) equations. A Monte Carlo simulation is conducted to assess the performance of the proposed…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-16 Roberto Vila , Helton Saulo , Eduardo Nakano

The assumption of log-concavity is a flexible and appealing nonparametric shape constraint in distribution modelling. In this work, we study the log-concave maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of a probability mass function (pmf). We show…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-17 Fadoua Balabdaoui , Hanna Jankowski , Kaspar Rufibach , Marios Pavlides

The saddlepoint approximation to the likelihood, and its corresponding maximum likelihood estimate (MLE), offer an alternative estimation method when the true likelihood is intractable or computationally expensive. However, maximizing this…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-11 Godrick Oketch , Rachel M. Fewster , Jesse Goodman

In the Admixture Model, the probability of an individual having a certain number of alleles at a specific marker depends on the allele frequencies in $K$ ancestral populations and the fraction of the individual's genome originating from…

Applications · Statistics 2025-07-29 Carola Sophia Heinzel

We study the problem of learning multivariate log-concave densities with respect to a global loss function. We obtain the first upper bound on the sample complexity of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) for a log-concave density on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-06 Timothy Carpenter , Ilias Diakonikolas , Anastasios Sidiropoulos , Alistair Stewart

Linear birth-and-death processes (LBDPs) are foundational stochastic models in population dynamics, evolutionary biology, and hematopoiesis. Estimating parameters from discretely observed data is computationally demanding due to irregular…

Computation · Statistics 2025-08-26 Xiaochen Long , Marek Kimmel

Mini-batch algorithms have become increasingly popular due to the requirement for solving optimization problems, based on large-scale data sets. Using an existing online expectation-{}-maximization (EM) algorithm framework, we demonstrate…

Computation · Statistics 2019-09-09 H D Nguyen , F Forbes , G J McLachlan

This paper proposes a new approach for Bayesian and maximum likelihood parameter estimation for stationary Gaussian processes observed on a large lattice with missing values. We propose an MCMC approach for Bayesian inference, and a Monte…

Computation · Statistics 2014-02-19 Jonathan R. Stroud , Michael L. Stein , Shaun Lysen

In this paper, we develop a novel efficient and robust nonparametric regression estimator under a framework of feedforward neural network. There are several interesting characteristics for the proposed estimator. First, the loss function is…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-25 Xuancheng Wang , Ling Zhou , Huazhen Lin

Concept of exponential family is generalized by simple and general exponential form. Simple and general potential are introduced. Maximum Entropy and Maximum Likelihood tasks are defined. ML task on the simple exponential form and ME task…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-08-17 Marian Grendar, , Marian Grendar

We introduce Exponential Family Discriminant Analysis (EFDA), a unified generative framework that extends classical Linear Discriminant Analysis (LDA) beyond the Gaussian setting to any member of the exponential family. Under the assumption…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-25 Anish Lakkapragada

The saddlepoint approximation gives an approximation to the density of a random variable in terms of its moment generating function. When the underlying random variable is itself the sum of $n$ unobserved i.i.d. terms, the basic classical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-25 Jesse Goodman

Expectation maximization (EM) is the default algorithm for fitting probabilistic models with missing or latent variables, yet we lack a full understanding of its non-asymptotic convergence properties. Previous works show results along the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-01 Frederik Kunstner , Raunak Kumar , Mark Schmidt

This article studies exponential families $\mathcal{E}$ on finite sets such that the information divergence $D(P\|\mathcal{E})$ of an arbitrary probability distribution from $\mathcal{E}$ is bounded by some constant $D>0$. A particular…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-06-18 Johannes Rauh

Inferential models (IMs) offer prior-free, Bayesian-like posterior degrees of belief designed for statistical inference, which feature a frequentist-like calibration property that ensures reliability of said inferences. The catch is that…

Computation · Statistics 2025-07-09 Ryan Martin

Many machine learning tasks can be formulated in terms of predicting structured outputs. In frameworks such as the structured support vector machine (SVM-Struct) and the structured perceptron, discriminative functions are learned by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-03-05 Kui Tang , Nicholas Ruozzi , David Belanger , Tony Jebara

In this paper, we mainly focus on the penalized maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) of the high-dimensional approximate factor model. Since the current estimation procedure can not guarantee the positive definiteness of the error covariance…

Computation · Statistics 2019-01-18 Shaoxin Wang , Hu Yang , Chaoli Yao

Hawkes Processes have undergone increasing popularity as default tools for modeling self- and mutually exciting interactions of discrete events in continuous-time event streams. A Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) unconstrained…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-11 Rafael Lima

Regularized system identification has become a significant complement to more classical system identification. It has been numerically shown that kernel-based regularized estimators often perform better than the maximum likelihood estimator…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-18 Yue Ju , Bo Wahlberg , Håkan Hjalmarsson

Models of stochastic processes are widely used in almost all fields of science. Theory validation, parameter estimation, and prediction all require model calibration and statistical inference using data. However, data are almost always…

Computation · Statistics 2022-09-07 David J. Warne , Thomas P. Prescott , Ruth E. Baker , Matthew J. Simpson