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Smart meter data analysis can provide insights into residential electricity consumption behaviors. Seasonal variation in consumption is not well understood but yet important to utilities for energy pricing and services. This paper aims to…

Applications · Statistics 2021-12-03 Zhenyu Wang , Hao Wang

We develop a novel dynamical method to examine spatial interaction models (SIMs). For each SIM, we use our dynamical framework to model emigration patterns. We look at the resulting population distributions to see if they are realistic or…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-11-25 James Wilkinson , Theodore Emms , Tim S. Evans

Fine population distribution both in space and in time is crucial for epidemic management, disaster prevention,urban planning and more. Human mobility data have a great potential for mapping population distribution at a high level of…

Applications · Statistics 2020-06-25 Xiang Liu , Philo Pöllmann

This study presents a computational simulation exploring the complex interactions between population density and economic factors over a 100-year period. Inspired by the Keller-Segel model, traditionally applied in biological contexts, my…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-01-03 Richard Murdoch Montgomery

We consider a stochastic individual-based model of adaptive dynamics for an asexually reproducing population with mutation, with linear birth and death rates, as well as a density-dependent competition. To depict repeating changes of the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-05-28 Manuel Esser , Anna Kraut

Migration is reshaping demographic landscapes across Europe, raising urgent questions about adapting to rapid population changes. This study examines the canton of Fribourg, Switzerland, which experienced a 30% population increase over the…

General Economics · Economics 2026-05-08 Emma Bacci

Censuses are fundamental building blocks of most modern-day societies, yet collected every ten years at best. We propose an extension of the widely popular census updating technique Structure Preserving Estimation by incorporating auxiliary…

Applications · Statistics 2022-03-24 Till Koebe , Alejandra Arias-Salazar , Natalia Rojas-Perilla , Timo Schmid

Immigration is often blamed for increasing unemployment among local workers. This sentiment is reflected in the rise of anti-immigration parties and policies in Western democracies. And in fact, numerous studies estimate that in the short…

General Economics · Economics 2024-12-11 Pascal Michaillat

While the use of spatial agent-based and individual-based models has flourished across many scientific disciplines, the complexities these models generate are often difficult to manage and quantify. This research reduces population-driven,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-08-24 John C. Stevenson

Human population is at the centre of research on global environmental change. On the one hand, population dynamics influence the environment and the global climate system through consumption-based carbon emissions. On the other hand, health…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2021-02-02 Raya Muttarak

Uncovering the structure of socioeconomic systems and timely estimation of socioeconomic status are significant for economic development. The understanding of socioeconomic processes provides foundations to quantify global economic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-07-02 Jian Gao , Yi-Cheng Zhang , Tao Zhou

Migrations have played an important role in shaping the genetic diversity of human populations. Understanding genomic data thus requires careful modeling of historical gene flow. Here we consider the effect of relatively recent population…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-04-26 Simon Gravel

Existing theories of migration either focus on micro- or macroscopic behavior of populations; that is, either the average behavior of entire population is modeled directly, or decisions of individuals are modeled directly. In this work, we…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-05-10 Babak Fotouhi , Michael G. Rabbat

As countries develop, the relative importance of agriculture declines and economic activity becomes spatially concentrated. We develop a model integrating structural change and regional disparities to jointly capture these phenomena. A key…

General Economics · Economics 2024-12-06 Clement E. Bohr , Marti Mestieri , Frederic Robert-Nicoud

Strong positive feedback is considered a necessary condition to observe abrupt shifts of ecosystems. A few previous studies have shown that demographic noise -- arising from the probabilistic and discrete nature of birth and death processes…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-06-22 Sabiha Majumder , Ayan Das , Appilineni Kushal , Sumithra Sankaran , Vishwesha Guttal

Environmental degradation, global pandemic and severing natural resource related problems cater to increase demand resulting from migration is nightmare for all of us. Huge flocks of people are rushing towards to earn, to live and to lead a…

General Economics · Economics 2022-09-26 Soumik Ghosh , Arpan Chakraborty

Analysing age-specific mortality, fertility, and migration patterns is a crucial task in demography with significant policy relevance. In practice, such analysis is challenging when studying a large number of subpopulations, due to small…

Applications · Statistics 2025-05-29 Gregor Zens

This study presents a novel demographics informed deep learning framework designed to forecast urban spatial transformations by jointly modeling geographic satellite imagery, socio-demographics, and travel behavior dynamics. The proposed…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-06-23 Eugene Kofi Okrah Denteh , Andrews Danyo , Joshua Kofi Asamoah , Blessing Agyei Kyem , Armstrong Aboah

Evolution occurs in populations of reproducing individuals. It is well known that population structure can affect evolutionary dynamics. Traditionally, natural selection is studied between mutants that differ in reproductive rate, but are…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-11-23 Josef Tkadlec , Kamran Kaveh , Krishnendu Chatterjee , Martin A. Nowak

This paper is mainly devoted to lay an empirical foundation for further research on complex spatial dynamics of two-population interaction. Based on the US population census data, a rural and urban population interaction model is developed.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-06-14 Yanguang Chen , Feng Xu