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Properly estimating correlations between objects at different spatial scales necessitates $\mathcal{O}(n^2)$ distance calculations. For this reason, most widely adopted packages for estimating correlations use clustering algorithms to…

Precise probabilistic forecasts are fundamental for energy risk management, and there is a wide range of both statistical and machine learning models for this purpose. Inherent to these probabilistic models is some form of uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-10 Andreas Lebedev , Abhinav Das , Sven Pappert , Stephan Schlüter

The paper deals with the density estimation on Rd under sup- norm loss. We provide with fully data-driven estimation procedure and establish for it so called sup-norm oracle inequality. The pro- posed estimator allows to take into account…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-10-29 Lepski Oleg

Coarse-scale surrogate models in the context of numerical homogenization of linear elliptic problems with arbitrary rough diffusion coefficients rely on the efficient solution of fine-scale sub-problems on local subdomains whose solutions…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-09-07 Fabian Kröpfl , Roland Maier , Daniel Peterseim

We present a probabilistic deep learning methodology that enables the construction of predictive data-driven surrogates for stochastic systems. Leveraging recent advances in variational inference with implicit distributions, we put forth a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-16 Yibo Yang , Paris Perdikaris

Uncertainty estimation is important for deploying LLMs in high-stakes applications such as healthcare and finance, where hallucinations can appear fluent and plausible while being factually incorrect, making it difficult for users to judge…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-08 Mingcheng Zhu , Yu Liu , Tingting Zhu

Consider the problem when $X_1,X_2,..., X_n$ are distributed on a circle following an unknown distribution $F$ on $S^1$. In this article we have consider the absolute general set-up where the density can have local features such as…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-26 Kinjal Basu , Debapriya Sengupta

In ultrasound shear wave elasticity (SWE) imaging, a number of algorithms exist for estimating the shear wave speed (SWS) from spatiotemporal displacement data. However, no method provides a well-calibrated and practical uncertainty metric,…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-03-22 Felix Q. Jin , Lindsey C. Carlson , Helen Feltovich , Timothy J. Hall , Mark L. Palmeri

Parametric density estimation, for example as Gaussian distribution, is the base of the field of statistics. Machine learning requires inexpensive estimation of much more complex densities, and the basic approach is relatively costly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-02-21 Jarek Duda

Machine learning classification techniques have been used widely to recognize the feasible design domain and discover hidden patterns in engineering design. An accurate classification model needs a large dataset; however, generating a large…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-07-13 Xianping Du , Kai Zhang , Onur Bilgen , Laurent Burlion , Hongyi Xu

Traditional nonparametric estimation methods often lead to a slow convergence rate in large dimensions and require unrealistically enormous sizes of datasets for reliable conclusions. We develop an approach based on partial derivatives,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-20 Xiaowu Dai

We present results of the investigations of the statistical properties of a joint density and velocity divergence probability distribution function (PDF) in the mildly non-linear regime. For that purpose we use both perturbation theory…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-10-31 F. Bernardeau , M. J. Chodorowski , E. L. Lokas , R. Stompor , A. Kudlicki

Given $iid$ observations from an unknown absolute continuous distribution defined on some domain $\Omega$, we propose a nonparametric method to learn a piecewise constant function to approximate the underlying probability density function.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-03-13 Dangna Li , Kun Yang , Wing Hung Wong

Numerical solutions of partial differential equations (PDEs) require expensive simulations, limiting their application in design optimization, model-based control, and large-scale inverse problems. Surrogate modeling techniques seek to…

Computational Physics · Physics 2022-05-18 James Duvall , Karthik Duraisamy , Shaowu Pan

Due to the growing adoption of deep neural networks in many fields of science and engineering, modeling and estimating their uncertainties has become of primary importance. Despite the growing literature about uncertainty quantification in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-15 Brian Staber , Sébastien Da Veiga

This paper describes novel algorithms for the identification of (almost-)resonant behavior in scattering problems. Our methods, relying on rational approximation, aim at building surrogate models of what we call "field amplification",…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-08-12 Davide Pradovera , Ralf Hiptmair , Ilaria Perugia

Uncertainty quantification is an important and challenging problem in deep learning. Previous methods rely on dropout layers which are not present in modern deep architectures or batch normalization which is sensitive to batch sizes. In…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-07-10 Lukasz Wandzik , Raul Vicente Garcia , Jörg Krüger

The emphasis of this paper is to investigate the high-order approximation of a class of SPDEs with cubic nonlinearity driven by multiplicative noise with the help of the amplitude equations. The highlight of our work is that we improve the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-31 Shiduo Qu , Hongjun Gao

Most of the existing methods for estimating the local intrinsic dimension of a data distribution do not scale well to high-dimensional data. Many of them rely on a non-parametric nearest neighbors approach which suffers from the curse of…

In this paper, we develop convergence analysis of a modified line search method for objective functions whose value is computed with noise and whose gradient estimates are inexact and possibly random. The noise is assumed to be bounded in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-03-05 Albert S. Berahas , Liyuan Cao , Katya Scheinberg
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