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Complex computer codes are widely used in science and engineering to model physical phenomena. Furthermore, it is common that they have a large number of input parameters. Global sensitivity analysis aims to identify those which have the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-07-09 Loic Le Gratiet , Claire Cannamela , Bertrand Iooss

The R package "sensobol" provides several functions to conduct variance-based uncertainty and sensitivity analysis, from the estimation of sensitivity indices to the visual representation of the results. It implements several…

Computation · Statistics 2021-12-06 Arnald Puy , Samuele Lo Piano , Andrea Saltelli , Simon A. Levin

In the context of air quality control, our objective is to quantify the impact of uncertain inputs such as meteorological conditions and traffic parameters on pollutant dispersion maps. It is worth noting that the majority of sensitivity…

Variance-based Sobol' sensitivity is one of the most well-known measures in global sensitivity analysis (GSA). However, uncertainties with certain distributions, such as highly skewed distributions or those with a heavy tail, cannot be…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-02-12 Jiannan Yang

We show how to apply Sobol's method of global sensitivity analysis to measure the influence exerted by a set of nodes' evidence on a quantity of interest expressed by a Bayesian network. Our method exploits the network structure so as to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-11 Rafael Ballester-Ripoll , Manuele Leonelli

Sensitivity analysis is a process of computing sensitivity indices, which are certain measures of importance of parameters in influencing the outputs of mathematical models. Sensitivity indices computed in variance-based sensitivity…

Computation · Statistics 2013-10-04 Tomasz Badowski

Procedures in assessing the impact of serial dependency on performance analysis are usually built on parametrically specified models. In this paper, we propose a robust, nonparametric approach to carry out this assessment, by computing the…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-06-22 Henry Lam

Recently, the use of Polynomial Chaos Expansion (PCE) has been increasing to study the uncertainty in mathematical models for a wide range of applications and several extensions of the original PCE technique have been developed to deal with…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-06-23 Maria Navarro , Jeroen Witteveen , Joke Blom

In this paper, we develop a numerical approach based on Chaos expansions to analyze the sensitivity and the propagation of epistemic uncertainty through a queueing systems with breakdowns. Here, the quantity of interest is the stationary…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-17 Katia Bachi , Cédric Chauvière , Hacène Djellout , Karim Abbas

Sensitivity analysis of a numerical model, for instance simulating physical phenomena, is useful to quantify the influence of the inputs on the model responses. This paper proposes a new sensitivity index, based upon the modification of the…

Global sensitivity analysis (GSA) is used to quantify the influence of uncertain variables in a mathematical model. Prior to performing GSA, the user must specify (or implicitly assume), a probability distribution to model the uncertainty,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-11-22 Joseph Hart , Pierre Gremaud

Sensitivity analysis (SA) is a procedure for studying how sensitive are the output results of large-scale mathematical models to some uncertainties of the input data. The models are described as a system of partial differential equations.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-01-20 Ivan Dimov , Rayna Georgieva

In the past decade, Sobol's variance decomposition have been used as a tool - among others - in risk management. We show some links between global sensitivity analysis and stochastic ordering theories. This gives an argument in favor of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-22 Areski Cousin , Alexandre Janon , Véronique Maume-Deschamps , Ibrahima Niang

This paper explores the application of active learning strategies to adaptively learn Sobol indices for global sensitivity analysis. We demonstrate that active learning for Sobol indices poses unique challenges due to the definition of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-29 Mohit Chauhan , Mariel Ojeda-Tuz , Ryan Catarelli , Kurtis Gurley , Dimitrios Tsapetis , Michael D. Shields

Development of new multiscale mathematical models often entails considerable complexity and multiple undetermined parameters, typically arising from closure relations. To enable reliable simulations, one must quantify how uncertain physical…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-02-26 Linheng Ruan , Ilja Kröker , Sergey Oladyshkin , Iryna Rybak

Stochastic simulators such as Monte-Carlo estimators are widely used in science and engineering to study physical systems through their probabilistic representation. Global sensitivity analysis aims to identify the input parameters which…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-06-03 Loic Le Gratiet

The main objective of this paper is to estimate optimally Sobol' indices at any order when a unique input/output i.i.d.\ sample is available. Our approach stands on three main ingredients: semi-parametric estimation theory, high-order…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-10 Sébastien Da Veiga , Fabrice Gamboa , Thierry Klein , Agnès Lagnoux , Clémentine Prieur

We propose and assess a new global (derivative-free) optimization algorithm, inspired by the LIPO algorithm, which uses variance-based sensitivity analysis (Sobol indices) to reduce the number of calls to the objective function. This method…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-06-13 Alexandre Janon

This paper presents an approach for estimating Shapley effects for use as global sensitivity metrics to quantify the relative importance of uncertain model parameters. Polynomial Chaos expansion, a well established approach for developing…

Applications · Statistics 2023-01-12 Adrian Stein , Tarunraj Singh

The growing complexity of the power grid, driven by increasing share of distributed energy resources and by massive deployment of intelligent internet-connected devices, requires new modelling tools for planning and operation. Physics-based…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-26 Francesco Fusco