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Causal inference for observational longitudinal studies often requires the accurate estimation of treatment effects on time-to-event outcomes in the presence of time-dependent patient history and time-dependent covariates. To tackle this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-17 Jie Zhu , Blanca Gallego

Stopping times are used in applications to model random arrivals. A standard assumption in many models is that they are conditionally independent, given an underlying filtration. This is a widely useful assumption, but there are…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-21 Philip Protter , Alejandra Quintos

The integration of high-dimensional genomic data and clinical data into time-to-event prediction models has gained significant attention due to the growing availability of these datasets. Traditionally, a Cox regression model is employed,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-03 Dayasri Ravi , Andreas Groll

The classical approach to analyze time-to-event data, e.g. in clinical trials, is to fit Kaplan-Meier curves yielding the treatment effect as the hazard ratio between treatment groups. Afterwards commonly a log-rank test is performed in…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-16 Kathrin Möllenhoff , Achim Tresch

We present new estimators for the statistical analysis of the dependence of the mean gap time length between consecutive recurrent events, on a set of explanatory random variables and in the presence of right censoring. The dependence is…

Applications · Statistics 2021-09-10 Ioana Schiopu-Kratina , Hai Yan Liu , Mayer Alvo , Pierre-Jerome Bergeron

Modeling the ratio of two dependent components as a function of covariates is a frequently pursued objective in observational research. Despite the high relevance of this topic in medical studies, where biomarker ratios are often used as…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-04 Moritz Berger , Nadja Klein , Michael Wagner , Matthias Schmid

Background: Accurate survival prediction in breast cancer is essential for patient stratification and personalized therapy. Integrating gene expression data with clinical factors may enhance prognostic performance and support precision…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-08-26 Robert Amevor , Emmanuel Kubuafor , Dennis Baidoo , Junaidu Salifu , Koshali Muthunama Gonnage , Onyedikachi Joshua Okeke

Cross validation is commonly used for selecting tuning parameters in penalized regression, but its use in penalized Cox regression models has received relatively little attention in the literature. Due to its partial likelihood…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-13 Biyue Dai , Patrick Breheny

In clinical trials, the observation of participant outcomes may frequently be hindered by death, leading to ambiguity in defining a scientifically meaningful final outcome for those who die. Principal stratification methods are valuable…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-01 Jiaqi Tong , Chao Cheng , Guangyu Tong , Michael O. Harhay , Fan Li

Objectives: Prior event rate ratio (PERR) is a method shown to perform well in mitigating confounding in real-world evidence research but it depends on several model assumptions. We propose an analytic strategy to correct biases arising…

Applications · Statistics 2026-03-03 Xiangmei Ma , Grace Meijuan Yang , Qingyuan Zhuang , Yin Bun Cheung

In this article we study the estimation of the location of jump points in the first derivative (referred to as kinks) of a regression function \mu in two random design models with different long-range dependent (LRD) structures. The method…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-03-09 Justin Wishart , Rafal Kulik

The study of survival data often requires taking proper care of the censoring mechanism that prohibits complete observation of the data. Under right censoring, only the first occurring event is observed: either the event of interest, or a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-25 Myrthe D'Haen , Ingrid Van Keilegom , Anneleen Verhasselt

The hazard ratio from the Cox proportional hazards model is a ubiquitous summary of treatment effect. However, when hazards are non-proportional, the hazard ratio can lose a stable causal interpretation and become study-dependent because it…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-17 Xiang Meng , Lu Tian , Kenneth Kehl , Hajime Uno

We present a conformal inference method for constructing lower prediction bounds for survival times from right-censored data, extending recent approaches designed for more restrictive type-I censoring scenarios. The proposed method imputes…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-26 Matteo Sesia , Vladimir Svetnik

Evolutionary games on graphs have been extensively studied. A variety of graph structures, graph dynamics, and behaviours of replicators have been explored. These models have primarily been studied in the framework of facilitation of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-06-29 Bryce Morsky , Chris T. Bauch

Treatment policy estimands are frequently favored by regulators, as they assess the effect of treatment assignment regardless of post-randomization events. Despite best efforts, missing data due to study discontinuation cannot be fully…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-13 Ajmal Oodally , Craig Wang , Zheng Li , Tim Morris , Tobias Mütze , Arunava Chakravartty

Partially observed cured data occur in the analysis of spontaneous abortion (SAB) in observational studies in pregnancy. In contrast to the traditional cured data, such data has an observable `cured' portion as women who do not abort…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-09-02 Jue Hou , Christina D. Chambers , Ronghui Xu

This paper introduces new effect parameters for factorial survival designs with possibly right-censored time-to-event data. In the special case of a two-sample design it coincides with the concordance or Wilcoxon parameter in survival…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-30 Dennis Dobler , Markus Pauly

Estimating causal effects from randomized experiments is central to clinical research. Reducing the statistical uncertainty in these analyses is an important objective for statisticians. Registries, prior trials, and health records…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-12-06 Alejandro Schuler , David Walsh , Diana Hall , Jon Walsh , Charles Fisher

When choosing estimands and estimators in randomized clinical trials, caution is warranted as intercurrent events, such as - due to patients who switch treatment after disease progression, are often extreme. Statistical analyses may then…

Applications · Statistics 2023-03-13 Hege Michiels , An Vandebosch , Stijn Vansteelandt
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