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Accurate electrical consumption forecasting is crucial for efficient energy management and resource allocation. While traditional time series forecasting relies on historical patterns and temporal dependencies, incorporating external…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-18 Fabien Bernier , Maxime Cordy , Yves Le Traon

This paper presents a machine learning approach to model the electric consumption of electric vehicles at macroscopic level, i.e., in the absence of a speed profile, while preserving microscopic level accuracy. For this work, we leveraged a…

Power systems operate under uncertainty originating from multiple factors that are impossible to account for deterministically. Distributional forecasting is used to control and mitigate risks associated with this uncertainty. Recent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-07 Slawek Smyl , Boris N. Oreshkin , Paweł Pełka , Grzegorz Dudek

Renewable energy sources, especially wind energy, are to play a larger role in providing electricity to industrial and domestic consumers. This is already the case today for a number of European countries, closely followed by the US and…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-12-24 Pierre Pinson

In this paper we propose a new method for probabilistic forecasting of electricity prices. It is based on averaging point forecasts from different models combined with expectile regression. We show that deriving the predicted distribution…

Applications · Statistics 2024-02-13 Joanna Janczura

Energy consumption and energy ananlytics has gained increased focus and consideration in industrial applications especially process lines to upgrade their performance and efficiency in the competitive world. A competent analytics method…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-11-18 Parvathy Sobha , Nita R Patne

The widespread adoption of distributed energy resources, and the advent of smart grid technologies, have allowed traditionally passive power system users to become actively involved in energy trading. Recognizing the fact that the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-08-29 Ashutosh Timilsina , Simone Silvestri

Safely meeting Worst Case Energy Consumption (WCEC) criteria requires accurate energy modeling of software. We investigate the impact of instruction operand values upon energy consumption in cacheless embedded processors. Existing…

Performance · Computer Science 2017-05-15 James Pallister , Steve Kerrison , Jeremy Morse , Kerstin Eder

To meet widely recognised carbon neutrality targets, over the last decade metropolitan regions around the world have implemented policies to promote the generation and use of sustainable energy. Nevertheless, there is an availability gap in…

General Economics · Economics 2022-12-15 Chunmeng Yang , Siqi Bu , Yi Fan , Wayne Xinwei Wan , Ruoheng Wang , Aoife Foley

While deep learning gradually penetrates operational planning, its inherent prediction errors may significantly affect electricity prices. This letter examines how prediction errors propagate into electricity prices, revealing notable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-14 Vladimir Dvorkin , Ferdinando Fioretto

Today, deep learning optimization is primarily driven by research focused on achieving high inference accuracy and reducing latency. However, the energy efficiency aspect is often overlooked, possibly due to a lack of sustainability mindset…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2024-06-11 Xiaolong Tu , Anik Mallik , Dawei Chen , Kyungtae Han , Onur Altintas , Haoxin Wang , Jiang Xie

Seasonal climate variations affect electricity demand, which in turn affects month-to-month electricity planning and operations. Electricity system planning at the monthly timescale can be improved by adapting climate forecasts to estimate…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-11-12 A. R. de Queiroz , D. Mulcahy , A. Sankarasubramanian , J. P. Deane , G. Mahinthakumar , N. Lu , J. F. DeCarolis

The role of numerical accuracy in training and evaluating neural network-based potential energy surfaces is examined for different experimental observables. For observables that require third- and fourth-order derivatives of the total…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2023-11-30 Silvan Käser , Markus Meuwly

Solar based electricity generations have experienced strong and impactful growth in recent years. The regulation, scheduling, dispatching, and unit commitment of intermittent solar power is dependent on the accuracy of the forecasting…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-03-30 Shaktinarayana Mishra , Lokanath Tripathy , Prachitara Satapathy , P. K. Dash , Nitasha Sahani

Data analytics and machine learning techniques are being rapidly adopted into the power system, including power system control as well as electricity market design. In this paper, from an adversarial machine learning point of view, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-19 Jingshi Cui , Haoxiang Wang , Chenye Wu , Yang Yu

Owing to the call for energy efficiency, the need to optimize the energy consumption of commercial buildings-- responsible for over 40% of US energy consumption--has recently gained significant attention. Moreover, the ability to…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-06-04 Mohammad Ostadijafari , Anamika Dubey , Yang Liu , Jie Shi , Nanpeng Yu

This paper proposes a method to predict received power in urban area deterministically, which can learn a prediction model from small amount of measurement data by a simulation-aided transfer learning and data augmentation. Recent…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2020-05-05 Masahiro Iwasaki , Takayuki Nishio , Masahiro Morikura , Koji Yamamoto

Undoubtedly, the increase of available data and competitive machine learning algorithms has boosted the popularity of data-driven modeling in energy systems. Applications are forecasts for renewable energy generation and energy consumption.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-27 Stefan Meisenbacher , Janik Pinter , Tim Martin , Veit Hagenmeyer , Ralf Mikut

Deep energy-based models are powerful, but pose challenges for learning and inference (Belanger and McCallum, 2016). Tu and Gimpel (2018) developed an efficient framework for energy-based models by training "inference networks" to…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-10-13 Lifu Tu , Richard Yuanzhe Pang , Kevin Gimpel

The increasing use of renewable energy sources with variable output, such as solar photovoltaic and wind power generation, calls for Smart Grids that effectively manage flexible loads and energy storage. The ability to forecast consumption…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-04-02 Andreas Veit , Christoph Goebel , Rohit Tidke , Christoph Doblander , Hans-Arno Jacobsen