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Temporal Point Processes (TPP) with partial likelihoods involving a latent structure often entail an intractable marginalization, thus making inference hard. We propose a novel approach to Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) involving…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-20 Amrith Setlur , Barnabás Póczós

The aim of this note is to state a couple of general results about the properties of the penalized maximum likelihood estimators (pMLE) and of the posterior distribution for parametric models in a non-asymptotic setup and for possibly large…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-12-13 Vladimir Spokoiny

Upper bound limit analysis allows one to evaluate directly the ultimate load of structures without performing a cumbersome incremental analysis. In order to numerically apply this method to thin plates in bending, several authors have…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-10-02 Jérémy Bleyer , Guillaume Carlier , Vincent Duval , Jean-Marie Mirebeau , Gabriel Peyré

We study two types of probability measures on the set of integer partitions of $n$ with at most $m$ parts. The first one chooses the random partition with a chance related to its largest part only. We then obtain the limiting distributions…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-03 Tiefeng Jiang , Ke Wang

We study the problem of estimating the joint probability mass function (pmf) over two random variables. In particular, the estimation is based on the observation of $m$ samples containing both variables and $n$ samples missing one fixed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-16 Hasan Sabri Melihcan Erol , Lizhong Zheng

We consider the initial boundary value problem for the inhomogeneous time-fractional diffusion equation with a homogeneous Dirichlet boundary condition and a nonsmooth right hand side data in a bounded convex polyhedral domain. We analyze…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2013-07-04 Bangti Jin , Raytcho Lazarov , Joseph Pasciak , Zhi Zhou

This paper presents a new estimator of the intercept of a linear regression model in cases where the outcome varaible is observed subject to a selection rule. The intercept is often in this context of inherent interest; for example, in a…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-09-26 Chuan Goh

Recent years have witnessed the success of adaptive (or unified) approaches in estimating symmetric properties of discrete distributions, where one first obtains a distribution estimator independent of the target property, and then plugs…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-04 Yanjun Han

The question of optimally approximating an arbitrary probability measure in the Wasserstein distance by a discrete one with uniform weights is considered. Estimates are obtained for the optimal approximation distance, with an explicit rate…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-14 Benjamin Seeger

We consider the fundamental problem of estimating a discrete distribution on a domain of size $K$ with high probability in Kullback-Leibler divergence. We provide upper and lower bounds on the minimax estimation rate, which show that the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-23 Dirk van der Hoeven , Julia Olkhovskaia , Tim van Erven

We rigorously quantify the improvement in the sample complexity of variational divergence estimations for group-invariant distributions. In the cases of the Wasserstein-1 metric and the Lipschitz-regularized $\alpha$-divergences, the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-26 Ziyu Chen , Markos A. Katsoulakis , Luc Rey-Bellet , Wei Zhu

Computing the reachability probability in infinite state probabilistic models has been the topic of numerous works. Here we introduce a new property called \emph{divergence} that when satisfied allows to compute reachability probabilities…

Formal Languages and Automata Theory · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Alain Finkel , Serge Haddad , Lina Ye

The rate of convergence of weighted kernel herding (WKH) and sequential Bayesian quadrature (SBQ), two kernel-based sampling algorithms for estimating integrals with respect to some target probability measure, is investigated. Under…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-02 Rajiv Khanna , Liam Hodgkinson , Michael W. Mahoney

In a multiple testing context, we consider a semiparametric mixture model with two components where one component is known and corresponds to the distribution of $p$-values under the null hypothesis and the other component $f$ is…

Applications · Statistics 2013-04-04 Van Hanh Nguyen , Catherine Matias

We present exponential error estimates and demonstrate an algebraic convergence rate for the homogenization of level-set convex Hamilton-Jacobi equations in i.i.d. random environments, the first quantitative homogenization results for these…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2013-07-08 Scott N. Armstrong , Pierre Cardaliaguet , Panagiotis E. Souganidis

We prove risk bounds for binary classification in high-dimensional settings when the sample size is allowed to be smaller than the dimensionality of the training set observations. In particular, we prove upper bounds for both 'compressive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-09-29 Ata Kaban , Robert J. Durrant

The gapped local alignment score of two random sequences follows a Gumbel distribution. If computers could estimate the parameters of the Gumbel distribution within one second, the use of arbitrary alignment scoring schemes could increase…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-04 Yonil Park , Sergey Sheetlin , John L. Spouge

The maximum entropy principle is a powerful tool for solving underdetermined inverse problems. This paper considers the problem of discretizing a continuous distribution, which arises in various applied fields. We obtain the approximating…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-08-05 Ken'ichiro Tanaka , Alexis Akira Toda

Extreme Value Theory plays an important role to provide approximation results for the extremes of a sequence of independent random variables when their distribution is unknown. An important one is given by the {generalised Pareto…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-08 Simone A. Padoan , Stefano Rizzelli

Relative error approaches are more of concern compared to absolute error ones such as the least square and least absolute deviation, when it needs scale invariant of output variable, for example with analyzing stock and survival data. An…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-21 Zhanfeng Wang , Zhuojian Chen , Zimu Chen