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We introduce a new goodness-of-fit test for regular vine (R-vine) copula models. R-vine copulas are a very flexible class of multivariate copulas based on a pair-copula construction (PCC). The test arises from the information matrix…

Computation · Statistics 2013-06-05 Ulf Schepsmeier

Parametric factor copula models typically work well in modeling multivariate dependencies due to their flexibility and ability to capture complex dependency structures. However, accurately estimating the linking copulas within these models…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-22 Bahareh Ghanbari , Pavel Krupskiy , Laleh Tafakori , Yan Wang

Testing the simplifying assumption in high-dimensional vine copulas is a difficult task. Tests must be based on estimated observations and check constraints on high-dimensional distributions. So far, corresponding tests have been limited to…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-10 Malte S. Kurz , Fabian Spanhel

A novel approach for dynamic modeling and forecasting of realized covariance matrices is proposed. Realized variances and realized correlation matrices are jointly estimated. The one-to-one relationship between a positive definite…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-18 Nicole Barthel , Claudia Czado , Yarema Okhrin

Variational Bayes methods approximate the posterior density by a family of tractable distributions whose parameters are estimated by optimisation. Variational approximation is useful when exact inference is intractable or very costly. Our…

Computation · Statistics 2023-08-15 David Gunawan , Robert Kohn , David Nott

When scholars study joint distributions of multiple variables, copulas are useful. However, if the variables are not linearly correlated with each other yet are still not independent, most of conventional copulas are not up to the task.…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-08 Kentaro Fukumoto

Vine pair-copula constructions exist for a mix of continuous and ordinal variables. In some steps, this can involve estimating a bivariate copula for a pair of mixed continuous-ordinal variables. To assess the adequacy of copula fits for…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-13 Shenyi Pan , Harry Joe

The majority of model-based clustering techniques is based on multivariate Normal models and their variants. In this paper copulas are used for the construction of flexible families of models for clustering applications. The use of copulas…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-16 Ioannis Kosmidis , Dimitris Karlis

Copulas are a powerful tool for modeling multivariate distributions as they allow to separately estimate the univariate marginal distributions and the joint dependency structure. However, known parametric copulas offer limited flexibility…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-11 Tim Janke , Mohamed Ghanmi , Florian Steinke

This paper proposes different methods to consistently detect multiple breaks in copula-based dependence measures, mainly focusing on Spearman's $\rho$. The leading model is a factor copula model due to its usefulness for analyzing data in…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-13 Marvin Borsch , Alexander Mayer , Dominik Wied

The aim of this work is studying the use of copulas and vines in the optimization with Estimation of Distribution Algorithms (EDAs). Two EDAs are built around the multivariate product and normal copulas, and other two are based on…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2015-01-14 Marta Soto , Yasser González-Fernández , Alberto Ochoa

The composite likelihood (CL) is amongst the computational methods used for the estimation of high-dimensional multivariate normal (MVN) copula models with discrete responses. Its computational advantage, as a surrogate likelihood method,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-10 Aristidis K. Nikoloulopoulos

Copula models have been widely used to model the dependence between continuous random variables, but modeling count data via copulas has recently become popular in the statistics literature. Spearman's rho is an appropriate and effective…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-21 Hadi Safari-Katesari , S. Yaser Samadi , Samira Zaroudi

Vine copulas are a useful statistical tool to describe the dependence structure between several random variables, especially when the number of variables is very large. When modeling data with vine copulas, one often is confronted with a…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-10 Matthias Killiches , Daniel Kraus , Claudia Czado

While there is considerable effort to identify signaling pathways using linear Gaussian Bayesian networks from data, there is less emphasis of understanding and quantifying conditional densities and probabilities of nodes given its parents…

Applications · Statistics 2021-11-22 Claudia Czado , Sebastian Scharl

Despite the major progress of deep models as learning machines, uncertainty estimation remains a major challenge. Existing solutions rely on modified loss functions or architectural changes. We propose to compensate for the lack of built-in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-27 Nataša Tagasovska , Firat Ozdemir , Axel Brando

The Copula is widely used to describe the relationship between the marginal distribution and joint distribution of random variables. The estimation of high-dimensional Copula is difficult, and most existing solutions rely either on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-02 Zhi Zeng , Ting Wang

Copula models have become one of the most widely used tools in the applied modelling of multivariate data. Similarly, Bayesian methods are increasingly used to obtain efficient likelihood-based inference. However, to date, there has been…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-10-13 Michael Stanley Smith

Simplified vine copulas are flexible tools over standard multivariate distributions for modeling and understanding different dependence properties in high-dimensional data. Their conditional distributions are of utmost importance, from…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-26 Ariane Hanebeck , Özge Şahin , Petra Havlíčková , Claudia Czado

Many risk-sensitive applications require well-calibrated prediction sets over multiple, potentially correlated target variables, for which the prediction algorithm may report correlated errors. In this work, we aim to construct the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-12 Ji Won Park , Robert Tibshirani , Kyunghyun Cho