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Random survival forests (RSF) are a powerful method for risk prediction of right-censored outcomes in biomedical research. RSF use the log-rank split criterion to form an ensemble of survival trees. The most common approach to evaluate the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-07-20 Matthias Schmid , Marvin Wright , Andreas Ziegler

Determining subgroups that respond especially well (or poorly) to specific interventions (medical or policy) requires new supervised learning methods tailored specifically for causal inference. Bayesian Causal Forest (BCF) is a recent…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-16 Nikolay Krantsevich , Jingyu He , P. Richard Hahn

We introduce a semi-parametric Bayesian model for survival analysis. The model is centred on a parametric baseline hazard, and uses a Gaussian process to model variations away from it nonparametrically, as well as dependence on covariates.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-04 Tamara Fernández , Nicolás Rivera , Yee Whye Teh

Discrimination and calibration represent two important properties of survival analysis, with the former assessing the model's ability to accurately rank subjects and the latter evaluating the alignment of predicted outcomes with actual…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-04 Shi-ang Qi , Yakun Yu , Russell Greiner

Learning from an imbalanced dataset is a tricky proposition. Because these datasets are biased towards one class, most existing classifiers tend not to perform well on minority class examples. Conventional classifiers usually aim to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-18 Tanujit Chakraborty , Ashis Kumar Chakraborty

Learning unbiased models on imbalanced datasets is a significant challenge. Rare classes tend to get a concentrated representation in the classification space which hampers the generalization of learned boundaries to new test examples. In…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-04-11 Salman Khan , Munawar Hayat , Waqas Zamir , Jianbing Shen , Ling Shao

Minimising a spectral risk objective, defined as a convex combination of expected cost and Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR), is challenging when the uncertainty distribution is decision-dependent, making both surrogate modelling and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-16 Marcell T. Kurbucz

In cancer epidemiology, the \emph{relative survival framework} is used to quantify the hazard associated with cancer by comparing the all-cause mortality hazard in cancer patients to that of the general population. This framework assumes…

Applications · Statistics 2024-11-05 Piyali Basak , Antonio R. Linero , Camille Maringe , F. Javier Rubio

Biomedical data are widely accepted in developing prediction models for identifying a specific tumor, drug discovery and classification of human cancers. However, previous studies usually focused on different classifiers, and overlook the…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2019-11-05 Shigang Liu , Jun Zhang , Yang Xiang , Wanlei Zhou , Dongxi Xiang

Due to the dynamic nature of financial markets, maintaining models that produce precise predictions over time is difficult. Often the goal isn't just point prediction but determining uncertainty. Quantifying uncertainty, especially the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-06 Mingshu Li , Bhaskarjit Sarmah , Dhruv Desai , Joshua Rosaler , Snigdha Bhagat , Philip Sommer , Dhagash Mehta

The instability in the selection of models is a major concern with data sets containing a large number of covariates. This paper deals with variable selection methodology in the case of high-dimensional problems where the response variable…

Applications · Statistics 2012-03-23 Marie Walschaerts , Eve Leconte , Philippe Besse

Software is becoming an indigenous part of human life with the rapid development of software engineering, demands the software to be most reliable. The reliability check can be done by efficient software testing methods using historical…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2023-11-13 Mrutyunjaya Panda

One of the most pressing challenges facing the fusion community is adequately mitigating or, even better, avoiding disruptions of tokamak plasmas. However, before this can be done, disruptions must first be predicted with sufficient warning…

Plasma Physics · Physics 2019-09-04 R. A. Tinguely , K. J. Montes , C. Rea , R. Sweeney , R. S. Granetz

This paper presents a novel ensemble learning approach called Residual Likelihood Forests (RLF). Our weak learners produce conditional likelihoods that are sequentially optimized using global loss in the context of previous learners within…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-05 Yan Zuo , Tom Drummond

Since their introduction by Breiman, Random Forests (RFs) have proven to be useful for both classification and regression tasks. The RF prediction of a previously unseen observation can be represented as a weighted sum of all training…

Applications · Statistics 2025-08-21 Nils Koster , Fabian Krüger

Heart failure (HF) is a critical condition in which the accurate prediction of mortality plays a vital role in guiding patient management decisions. However, clinical datasets used for mortality prediction in HF often suffer from an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-29 Hanif Kia , Mansour Vali , Hadi Sabahi

In this paper, we predict conditional survival functions through a combined regression strategy. We take weak learners as different random survival trees. We propose to maximize concordance in the right-censored set up to find the optimal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-12 Rahul Goswami , Arabin Kumar Dey

One of the central goals in precision health is the understanding and interpretation of high-dimensional biological data to identify genes and markers associated with disease initiation, development, and outcomes. Though significant effort…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2020-09-18 Zhi Huang , Paul Salama , Wei Shao , Jie Zhang , Kun Huang

Survival analysis is a crucial semi-supervised task in machine learning with numerous real-world applications, particularly in healthcare. Currently, the most common approach to survival analysis is based on Cox's partial likelihood, which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-27 Andre Vauvelle , Benjamin Wild , Aylin Cakiroglu , Roland Eils , Spiros Denaxas

Random forests are a sensible non-parametric model to predict competing risk data according to some covariates. However, there are currently no packages that can adequately handle large datasets ($n > 100,000$). We introduce a new R…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-26 Joel Therrien , Jiguo Cao
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