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We investigate the genealogical structure of general critical or subcritical continuous-state branching processes. Analogously to the coding of a discrete tree by its contour function, this genealogical structure is coded by a real-valued…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Thomas Duquesne , Jean-Francois Le Gall

We propose a family of multivariate Gaussian process models for correlated outputs, based on assuming that the likelihood function takes the generic form of the multivariate exponential family distribution (EFD). We denote this model as a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-11-05 Antoni B. Chan

We consider the Markov renewal equation $F(t) = f(t) + \boldsymbol{\mu}*F(t)$ for vector-valued functions $f,F: \mathbb{R} \to \mathbb{R}^{p}$ and a $p \times p$ matrix $\boldsymbol{\mu}$ of locally finite measures $\mu^{i,j}$ on…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-10 Konrad Kolesko , Matthias Meiners , Ivana Tomic

We characterize recurrence and transience of nonnegative multivariate autoregressive processes of order one with random contractive coefficient matrix, of subcritical multitype Galton-Watson branching processes in random environment with…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-18 Martin P. W. Zerner

We give an explicit formula for the most likely path to extinction for the Galton-Watson processes with large initial population. We establish this result with the help of the large deviation principle (LDP) which also recovers the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 F. Klebaner , R. Liptser

The theory of dependency graphs is a powerful toolbox to prove asymptotic normality of sums of random variables. In this article, we introduce a more general notion of weighted dependency graphs and give normality criteria in this context.…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-18 Valentin Féray

Gaussian processes are powerful models for probabilistic machine learning, but are limited in application by their $O(N^3)$ inference complexity. We propose a method for deriving parametric families of kernel functions with compact spatial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-09 Jarred Barber

The Weibull function is widely used to describe skew distributions observed in nature. However, the origin of this ubiquity is not always obvious to explain. In the present paper, we consider the well-known Galton-Watson branching process…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-05-27 Junghyo Jo , Jean-Yves Fortin , M. Y. Choi

There is a well-known sequence of constants c_n describing the growth of supercritical Galton-Watson processes Z_n. With 'lower deviation probabilities' we refer to P(Z_n=k_n) with k_n=o(c_n) as n increases. We give a detailed picture of…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Klaus Fleischmann , Vitali Wachtel

We show the existance of the stationary distributions of subcritical multitype Galton-Watson processes without any conditions on the mean matrix of the offspring distributions. Some additional properties of the stationary distribution are…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-22 Gábor Szűcs

We compute exact values respectively bounds of "distances" - in the sense of (transforms of) power divergences and relative entropy - between two discrete-time Galton-Watson branching processes with immigration GWI for which the offspring…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-21 Niels B. Kammerer , Wolfgang Stummer

Markov chain Monte Carlo methods for exponential family models with intractable normalizing constant, such as the exchange algorithm, require simulations of the sufficient statistics at every iteration of the Markov chain, which often…

Computation · Statistics 2023-02-21 Quan Vu , Matthew T. Moores , Andrew Zammit-Mangion

In the first part of this paper we give easy and intuitive proofs for the small value probabilities of the martingale limit of a supercritical Galton-Watson process in both the Schr\"oder and the B\"ottcher case. These results are…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-10-19 Peter Morters , Marcel Ortgiese

In this paper, we study a Galton-Watson process $(Z_n)$ with infinitely many types in a random ergodic environment $\bar{\xi}=(\xi_n)_{n\geq 0}$. We focus on the supercritical regime of the process, where the quenched average of the size of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-07 Maxime Ligonnière

The perturbed GUE corners ensemble is the joint distribution of eigenvalues of all principal submatrices of a matrix $G+\mathrm{diag}(\mathbf{a})$, where $G$ is the random matrix from the Gaussian Unitary Ensemble (GUE), and…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-30 Leonid Petrov , Mikhail Tikhonov

In this paper, we extend the Perron-Frobenius theory to dual number matrices with primitive and irreducible nonnegative standard parts. One motivation of our research is to consider probabilities as well as perturbation, or error bounds, or…

Rings and Algebras · Mathematics 2023-07-07 Liqun Qi , Chunfeng Cui

We study an iterated temporal and contemporaneous aggregation of $N$ independent copies of a strongly stationary subcritical Galton-Watson branching process with regularly varying immigration having index $\alpha \in (0, 2)$. Limits of…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-09 Matyas Barczy , Fanni K. Nedényi , Gyula Pap

We consider the semi-parametric estimation of a scale parameter of a one-dimensional Gaussian process with known smoothness. We suggest an estimator based on quadratic variations and on the moment method. We provide asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-22 Jean-Marc Azaïs , François Bachoc , Agnès Lagnoux , Thi Mong Ngoc Nguyen

The generalized spectral theory is an effective approach to analyze a linear operator on a Hilbert space $\mathcal{H}$ with a continuous spectrum. The generalized spectrum is computed via analytic continuations of the resolvent operators…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-06-24 Hayato Chiba , Masahiro Ikeda , Isao Ishikawa

We employ the framework of multitype Galton-Watson processes to model a population of dividing cells. The cellular type is represented by its biological age, defined as the count of harmful proteins hosted by the cell. The stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-03 Serik Sagitov , Lotta Eriksson , Marija Cvijovic