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We introduce a performance-driven framework for constructing strictly causal forward-oriented observables in strongly non-stationary time series. The method combines a robustly normalized composite of heterogeneous indicators with a…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-17 Lucas A. Souza

Monitoring AIs at runtime can help us detect and stop harmful actions. In this paper, we study how to efficiently combine multiple runtime monitors into a single monitoring protocol. The protocol's objective is to maximize the probability…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-10-22 Tim Tian Hua , James Baskerville , Henri Lemoine , Mia Hopman , Aryan Bhatt , Tyler Tracy

Formal verification provides assurances that a probabilistic system satisfies its specification--conditioned on the system model being aligned with reality. We propose alignment monitoring to watch that this assumption is justified. We…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2025-08-04 Thomas A. Henzinger , Konstantin Kueffner , Vasu Singh , I Sun

Many real-world decision processes are modeled by optimization problems whose defining parameters are unknown and must be inferred from observable data. The Predict-Then-Optimize framework uses machine learning models to predict unknown…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-23 James Kotary , Vincenzo Di Vito , Jacob Christopher , Pascal Van Hentenryck , Ferdinando Fioretto

Organizations rely heavily on time series metrics to measure and model key aspects of operational and business performance. The ability to reliably detect issues with these metrics is imperative to identifying early indicators of major…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-11 Sayan Chakraborty , Smit Shah , Kiumars Soltani , Anna Swigart , Luyao Yang , Kyle Buckingham

In many engineering systems, proper predictive maintenance and operational control are essential to increase efficiency and reliability while reducing maintenance costs. However, one of the major challenges is that many sensors are used for…

Applications · Statistics 2025-12-09 Boyang Xu , Yunyi Kang , Xinyu Zhao , Hao Yan , Feng Ju

Performance antipatterns document bad design patterns that have negative influence on system performance. In our previous work we formalized such antipatterns as logical predicates that predicate on four views: (i) the static view that…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2014-04-04 Antinisca Di Marco , Catia Trubiani

Model predictive control (MPC) has become the most widely used advanced control method in process industry. In many cases, forecasts of the disturbances are available, e.g., predicted renewable power generation based on weather forecast.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-06-08 Ryan McCloy , Lai Wei , Jie Bao

The safe trajectory planning of intelligent and connected vehicles is a key component in autonomous driving technology. Modeling the environment risk information by field is a promising and effective approach for safe trajectory planning.…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-07-01 Zeyu Han , Mengchi Cai , Chaoyi Chen , Qingwen Meng , Guangwei Wang , Ying Liu , Qing Xu , Jianqiang Wang , Keqiang Li

The problem of detecting a single anomalous process among multiple independent processes is considered. Under a constraint on the number of processes that can be probed simultaneously, the decision maker should decide which processes to…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-01-15 Fengfan Qin , Da Chen , Hui Feng , Qing Zhao , Tao Yang , Bo Hu

This paper presents a new parameter estimation algorithm for the adaptive control of a class of time-varying plants. The main feature of this algorithm is a matrix of time-varying learning rates, which enables parameter estimation error…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-11-18 Joseph E. Gaudio , Anuradha M. Annaswamy , Eugene Lavretsky , Michael A. Bolender

In this paper, we study the problem of procedure planning in instructional videos. Here, an agent must produce a plausible sequence of actions that can transform the environment from a given start to a desired goal state. When learning…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-05-06 He Zhao , Isma Hadji , Nikita Dvornik , Konstantinos G. Derpanis , Richard P. Wildes , Allan D. Jepson

Model-based process simulation can be used to derive designs and operating conditions of chemical processes that optimally balance multiple objectives, such as quality, costs, or environmental impacts. This work focuses on identifying…

Machine learning techniques are effective for building predictive models because they identify patterns in large datasets. Development of a model for complex real-life problems often stop at the point of publication, proof of concept or…

Prediction-powered inference is a framework for performing valid statistical inference when an experimental dataset is supplemented with predictions from a machine-learning system. The framework yields simple algorithms for computing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-10 Anastasios N. Angelopoulos , Stephen Bates , Clara Fannjiang , Michael I. Jordan , Tijana Zrnic

Analysis of execution traces plays a fundamental role in many program analysis approaches, such as runtime verification, testing, monitoring, and specification mining. Execution traces are frequently parametric, i.e., they contain events…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2015-07-01 Grigore Rosu , Feng Chen

Predictive processing has become an influential framework in cognitive sciences. This framework turns the traditional view of perception upside down, claiming that the main flow of information processing is realized in a top-down…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-01-25 Alejandra Ciria , Guido Schillaci , Giovanni Pezzulo , Verena V. Hafner , Bruno Lara

In this paper, we focus on the problem of dynamically analysing concurrent software against high-level temporal specifications. Existing techniques for runtime monitoring against such specifications are primarily designed for sequential…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2026-01-09 Zhendong Ang , Umang Mathur

Reliable predictions of the behaviour of chemical systems are essential across many industries, from nanoscale engineering over validation of advanced materials to nanotoxicity assessment in health and medicine. For the future we therefore…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2021-03-05 Judith B. Rommel

This two-part paper presents a new approach to predictive analysis for social processes. Part I identifies a class of social processes, called positive externality processes, which are both important and difficult to predict, and introduces…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2016-11-17 Richard Colbaugh , Kristin Glass