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The purpose of this paper is to estimate the limiting variance of asymptotically stationary Gaussian processes observed at high frequency, using the second moment estimator (SME). We study rates of convergence of the central limit theorem…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-06 Khalifa Es-Sebaiy , Yong Chen

In this paper, we study the asymptotic behaviour of one-dimensional integrated Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes driven by $\alpha$-stable L\'{e}vy processes of small amplitude. We prove that the integrated Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process converges…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-06 Robert Hintze , Ilya Pavlyukevich

We consider the parameter estimation problem for the non-ergodic fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process defined as $dX_t=\theta X_tdt+dB_t,\ t\geq0$, with a parameter $\theta>0$, where $B$ is a fractional Brownian motion of Hurst index…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-03-01 Rachid Belfadli , Khalifa Es-Sebaiy , Youssef Ouknine

We derive the posterior contraction rate for non-parametric Bayesian estimation of the intensity function of a Poisson point process.

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-17 Shota Gugushvili , Peter Spreij

Via a Bismut-Elworthy-Li formula from [KPP23], we derive uniform gradient estimates for transition semigroups associated with stochastic differential equations driven by a large class of cylindrical L\'{e}vy processes which includes the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-09 Thanh Dang , Lingjiong Zhu

Here we develop a method for performing nonparametric Bayesian inference on quantiles. Relying on geometric measure theory and employing a Hausdorff base measure, we are able to specify meaningful priors for the quantile while treating the…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-12 Luke Bornn , Neil Shephard , Reza Solgi

The Berry-Ess\'{e}en upper bounds of moment estimators and least squares estimators of the mean and drift coefficients in Vasicek models driven by general Gaussian processes are studied. When studying the parameter estimation problem of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-31 Yong Chen , Yumin Cheng

The Gaussian mixed-effects model driven by a stationary integrated Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process has been used for analyzing longitudinal data having an explicit and simple serial-correlation structure in each individual. However, the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-07 Takumi Imamura , Hiroki Masuda , Hayato Tajima

From a wavelet analysis, one derives a nonparametrical estimator for the spectral density of a Gaussian process with stationary increments. First, the idealistic case of a continuous time path of the process is considered. A punctual…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-07-03 Jean-Marc Bardet , Pierre Bertrand , Véronique Billat

Generalisations of the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process defined through Langevin equation $dU_t = - \Theta U_t dt + dG_t,$ such as fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes, have recently received a lot of attention in the literature. In…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-20 Marko Voutilainen , Lauri Viitasaari , Pauliina Ilmonen , Soledad Torres , Ciprian Tudor

The paper considers the problem of robust estimating a periodic function in a continuous time regression model with dependent disturbances given by a general square integrable semimartingale with unknown distribution. An example of such a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-20 Victor Konev , Serguei Pergamenchtchikov

We present a survey of some of our recent results on Bayesian nonparametric inference for a multitude of stochastic processes. The common feature is that the prior distribution in the cases considered is on suitable sets of piecewise…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-04 Denis Belomestny , Frank van der Meulen , Peter Spreij

The design of a nonlinear Luenberger observer for a parametrized linear SISO (single-input single-output) system is studied. From an observability assumption of the system, the existence of such an observer is concluded. In a second step, a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-05-11 Chouaib Afri , Vincent Andrieu , Laurent Bako , Pascal Dufour

In this paper we develop a framework for estimating Probability of Default (PD) based on stochastic models governing an appropriate asset value processes. In particular, we build upon a L\'evy-driven Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process and consider…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-25 Kyriakos Georgiou , Athanasios N. Yannacopoulos

We study stationary max-stable processes $\{\eta(t)\colon t\in\mathbb R\}$ admitting a representation of the form $\eta(t)=\max_{i\in\mathbb N}(U_i+ Y_i(t))$, where $\sum_{i=1}^{\infty} \delta_{U_i}$ is a Poisson point process on $\mathbb…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-03 Sebastian Engelke , Zakhar Kabluchko

An Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process can be considered as a continuous time interpolation of the discrete time AR$(1)$ process. Departing from this fact, we analyse in this work the effect of iterating OU treated as a linear operator that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-10-02 Argimiro Arratia , Alejandra Cabaña , Enrique M. Cabaña

Contrary to standard statistical models, unnormalised statistical models only specify the likelihood function up to a constant. While such models are natural and popular, the lack of normalisation makes inference much more difficult. Here…

Computation · Statistics 2014-12-01 Simon Barthelmé , Nicolas Chopin

We obtain strong consistency and asymptotic normality of a least squares estimator of the drift coefficient for complex-valued Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes disturbed by fractional noise, extending the result of Y. Hu and D. Nualart,…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-27 Yong Chen , Yaozhong Hu , Zhi Wang

We study rates of convergence in central limit theorems for the partial sum of squares of general Gaussian sequences, using tools from analysis on Wiener space. No assumption of stationarity, asymptotically or otherwise, is made. The main…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-09 Soukaina Douissi , Khalifa Es-Sebaiy , Frederi G. Viens

We propose two classes of nonparametric point estimators of $\theta=P(X<Y)$ in the case where $(X,Y)$ are paired, possibly dependent, absolutely continuous random variables. The proposed estimators are based on nonparametric estimators of…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-03-27 J. A. Montoya , F. J. Rubio
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