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This paper addresses the problem of inferring circulation of information between multiple stochastic processes. We discuss two possible frameworks in which the problem can be studied: directed information theory and Granger causality. The…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2011-11-02 Pierre-Olivier Amblard , Olivier J. J. Michel

In modeling time series data, we often need to augment the existing data records to increase the modeling accuracy. In this work, we describe a number of techniques to extract dynamic information about the current state of a large…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-20 Jeeyung Kim , Mengtian Jin , Youkow Homma , Alex Sim , Wilko Kroeger , Kesheng Wu

In this paper, we focus on estimating the causal effect of an intervention over time on a dynamical system. To that end, we formally define causal interventions and their effects over time on discrete-time stochastic processes (DSPs). Then,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-05-28 Martina Cinquini , Isacco Beretta , Salvatore Ruggieri , Isabel Valera

A method for data-driven interpolatory model reduction is presented in this extended abstract. This framework enables the computation of the transfer function values at given interpolation points based on time-domain input-output data only,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-05-12 Azka Muji Burohman , Bart Besselink , Jacquelien M. A. Scherpen , M. Kanat Camlibel

In an intelligent transportation system, the effects and relations of traffic flow at different points in a network are valuable features which can be exploited for control system design and traffic forecasting. In this paper, we define the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-11-24 Sina Molavipour , Germán Bassi , Mladen Čičić , Mikael Skoglund , Karl Henrik Johansson

We present a theory of causality in dynamical systems using Koopman operators. Our theory is grounded on a rigorous definition of causal mechanism in dynamical systems given in terms of flow maps. In the Koopman framework, we prove that…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-11-06 Adam Rupe , Derek DeSantis , Craig Bakker , Parvathi Kooloth , Jian Lu

In this review paper, we will present different data-driven dimension reduction techniques for dynamical systems that are based on transfer operator theory as well as methods to approximate transfer operators and their eigenvalues,…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-02-26 Stefan Klus , Feliks Nüske , Péter Koltai , Hao Wu , Ioannis Kevrekidis , Christof Schütte , Frank Noé

Time series data is a collection of chronological observations which is generated by several domains such as medical and financial fields. Over the years, different tasks such as classification, forecasting, and clustering have been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-12 Raha Moraffah , Paras Sheth , Mansooreh Karami , Anchit Bhattacharya , Qianru Wang , Anique Tahir , Adrienne Raglin , Huan Liu

Recent developments enable the quantification of causal control given a structural causal model (SCM). This has been accomplished by introducing quantities which encode changes in the entropy of one variable when intervening on another.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-20 Francisco N. F. Q. Simoes , Mehdi Dastani , Thijs van Ommen

In this paper, we propose a data-driven approach for uncertainty propagation and reachability analysis in a dynamical system. The proposed approach relies on the linear lifting of a nonlinear system using linear Perron-Frobenius (P-F) and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-01-22 Amarsagar Reddy Ramapuram Matavalam , Umesh Vaidya , Venkataramana Ajjarapu

Network dynamics are typically presented as a time series of network properties captured at each period. The current approach examines the dynamical properties of transmission via novel measures on an integrated, temporally extended network…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-05-08 Aaron Bramson , Benjamin Vandermarliere

Data-driven models are becoming essential parts in modern mechanical systems, commonly used to capture the behavior of various equipment and varying environmental characteristics. Despite the advantages of these data-driven models on…

Transfer entropy is a widely used measure for quantifying directed information flows in complex systems. While the challenges of estimating transfer entropy for continuous data are well known, it has two major shortcomings for data of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2025-11-27 Alec Kirkley

Recently, the permutation-information theoretic approach has been used in a broad range of research fields. In particular, in the study of highdimensional dynamical systems, it has been shown that this approach can be effective in…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2014-06-24 Kohei Nakajima , Taichi Haruna

A general theory for computing information transfers in nonlinear stochastic systems driven by deterministic forcing and additive and/or multiplicative noises, is presented. It extends the Liang-Kleeman framework of causality inference to…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2023-10-12 Carlos A. Pires , David Docquier , Stéphane Vannitsem

From ancient philosophers to modern economists, biologists, and other researchers, there has been a continuous effort to unveil causal relations. The most formidable challenge lies in deducing the nature of the causal relationship: whether…

Most neural models of causality assume static causal graphs, failing to capture the dynamic and sparse nature of physical interactions where causal relationships emerge and dissolve over time. We introduce the Causal Process Framework and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-07 Turan Orujlu , Christian Gumbsch , Martin V. Butz , Charley M Wu

Data-based inference of directed interactions in complex dynamical systems is a problem common to many disciplines of science. In this work, we study networks of spatially separate dynamical entities, which could represent physical systems…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-03-15 Tim Hempel , Sarah A. M. Loos

Understanding directed temporal interactions in multivariate time series is essential for interpreting complex dynamical systems and the predictive models trained on them. We present Causal-INSIGHT, a model-agnostic, post-hoc interpretation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-27 Benjamin Redden , Hui Wang , Shuyan Li

We introduce a geometric method for online transfer identification of a deterministic linear time-invariant system. At the beginning of the identification process, we assume access to abundant data from a system that is similar, though not…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-23 N. Naveen Mukesh , Debraj Chakraborty