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Probabilistic intraday electricity price forecasting is becoming increasingly important for short-term power-system operation. With increasing renewable generation, demand-side flexibility, and storage assets, market participants need to…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-12 Runyao Yu , Yuchen Tao , Fabian Leimgruber , Tara Esterl , Jochen Stiasny , Derek W. Bunn , Qingsong Wen , Hongye Guo , Jochen L. Cremer

In this paper we consider a class of generalized Kyle-Back strategic insider trading models in which the insider is able to use the dynamic information obtained by observing the instantaneous movement of an underlying asset that is allowed…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-29 Jin Ma , Ying Tan

The rising share of volatile renewable generation increases the demand for flexibility in the electricity grid. Flexible capacity can be offered by industrial energy systems through participation on either the continuous intraday,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-12-26 Niklas Nolzen , Alissa Ganter , Nils Baumgärtner , Ludger Leenders , André Bardow

We propose and analyze a day-ahead reserve market model that handles bids from flexible loads. This pool market model takes into account the fact that a load modulation in one direction must usually be compensated later by a modulation of…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2014-05-28 Sébastien Mathieu , Quentin Louveaux , Damien Ernst , Bertrand Cornélusse

We investigate activities that have different periods of duration. We define the profit intensity as a measure of this economic category. The profit intensity in a repeated trading has a unique property of attaining its maximum at a fixed…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-13 Edward W. Piotrowski , Jan Sladkowski

A commonly used approach to study stability in a complex system is by analyzing the Jacobian matrix at an equilibrium point of a dynamical system. The equilibrium point is stable if all eigenvalues have negative real parts. Here, by…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-09-02 James P. L. Tan

In this paper we develop a model of an order-driven market where traders set bids and asks and post market or limit orders according to exogenously fixed rules. Agents are assumed to have three components to the expectation of future asset…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2009-02-16 Carl Chiarella , Giulia Iori , Josep Perello

We study the continuous time Kyle-Back model with a risk averse informed trader.We show that in a market with multiple assets and non-Gaussian prices an equilibrium exists. The equilibrium is constructed by considering a Fokker-Planck…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-04 Shreya Bose , Ibrahim Ekren

We study the high-frequency limit of an $n$-trader optimal execution game in discrete time. Traders face transient price impact of Obizhaeva--Wang type in addition to quadratic instantaneous trading costs $\theta(\Delta X_t)^2$ on each…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-15 Marcel Nutz , Alessandro Prosperi

We consider a financial market model which consists of a financial asset and a large number of interacting agents classified into many types. Different types of agents are heterogeneous in their price expectations. Each agent can change its…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-02 Biao Wu

We propose a microscopic model to describe the dynamics of the fundamental events in the limit order book (LOB): order arrivals and cancellations. It is based on an operator algebra for individual orders and describes their effect on the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-05-06 Johannes Bleher , Michael Bleher , Thomas Dimpfl

We study the optimal execution of market and limit orders with permanent and temporary price impacts as well as uncertainty in the filling of limit orders. Our continuous-time model incorporates a trade speed limiter and a trader director…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-04-13 Brian Bulthuis , Julio Concha , Tim Leung , Brian Ward

We study a risk-sharing economy where an arbitrary number of heterogenous agents trades an arbitrary number of risky assets subject to quadratic transaction costs. For linear state dynamics, the forward-backward stochastic differential…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-11-30 Johannes Muhle-Karbe , Xiaofei Shi , Chen Yang

We develop a behavioral model for liquidity and volatility based on empirical regularities in trading order flow in the London Stock Exchange. This can be viewed as a very simple agent based model in which all components of the model are…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Szabolcs Mike , J. Doyne Farmer

This paper considers a class of stochastic control problems with implicitly defined objective functions, which are the sources of time-inconsistency. We study the closed-loop equilibrium solutions in a general controlled diffusion…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-12-29 Zongxia Liang , Jianming Xia , Keyu Zhang

We consider the consumption-based asset pricing model, derive a new modified basic pricing equation, and present its successive approximations using the Taylor series expansions of the investor's utility during the averaging time interval.…

General Economics · Economics 2024-01-18 Victor Olkhov

This paper characterizes the equilibrium in a continuous time financial market populated by heterogeneous agents who differ in their rate of relative risk aversion and face convex portfolio constraints. The model is studied in an…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-06-19 Tyler Abbot

We study the competition of two strategic agents for liquidity in the benchmark portfolio tracking setup of Bank, Soner, Vo{\ss} (2017). Specifically, both agents track their own stochastic running trading targets while interacting through…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-07-07 Moritz Voß

We construct an equilibrium for the continuous time Kyle's model with stochastic liquidity, a general distribution of the fundamental price, and correlated stock and volatility dynamics. For distributions with positive support, our…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2022-04-26 Ibrahim Ekren , Brad Mostowski , Gordan Žitković

In this paper we investigate discrete time trading under integer constraints, that is, we assume that the offered goods or shares are traded in integer quantities instead of the usual real quantity assumption. For finite probability spaces…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-08-28 Stefan Gerhold , Paul Krühner