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Random forest regression is a powerful non-parametric method that adapts to local data characteristics through data-driven partitioning, making it effective across diverse application domains. However, the piecewise constant nature of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Ziyi Liu , Phuc Luong , Mario Boley , Daniel F. Schmidt

This paper proposes a financial fraud detection system based on improved Random Forest (RF) and Gradient Boosting Machine (GBM). Specifically, the system introduces a novel model architecture called GBM-SSRF (Gradient Boosting Machine with…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-25 Tianzuo Hu

This work develops formal statistical inference procedures for machine learning ensemble methods. Ensemble methods based on bootstrapping, such as bagging and random forests, have improved the predictive accuracy of individual trees, but…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-09-11 Lucas Mentch , Giles Hooker

Random forest and deep neural network are two schools of effective classification methods in machine learning. While the random forest is robust irrespective of the data domain, the deep neural network has advantages in handling high…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-06-26 Manqing Dong , Lina Yao , Xianzhi Wang , Boualem Benatallah , Shuai Zhang

Although the methods of bagging and random forests are some of the most widely used prediction methods, relatively little is known about their algorithmic convergence. In particular, there are not many theoretical guarantees for deciding…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-23 Miles E. Lopes

Differential evolution possesses a multitude of various strategies for generating new trial solutions. Unfortunately, the best strategy is not known in advance. Moreover, this strategy usually depends on the problem to be solved. This paper…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2013-07-04 Iztok Fister , Iztok Fister , Janez Brest

In this paper, we introduce a new machine learning (ML) model for nonlinear regression called the Boosted Smooth Transition Regression Trees (BooST), which is a combination of boosting algorithms with smooth transition regression trees. The…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-04-08 Yuri Fonseca , Marcelo Medeiros , Gabriel Vasconcelos , Alvaro Veiga

We introduce a boosting algorithm to pre-process data for fairness. Starting from an initial fair but inaccurate distribution, our approach shifts towards better data fitting while still ensuring a minimal fairness guarantee. To do so, it…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-08-16 Alexander Soen , Hisham Husain , Richard Nock

Random forest (RF) methodology is one of the most popular machine learning techniques for prediction problems. In this article, we discuss some cases where random forests may suffer and propose a novel generalized RF method, namely…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-04-24 Haozhe Zhang , Dan Nettleton , Zhengyuan Zhu

Technology and collaboration enable dramatic increases in the size of psychological and psychiatric data collections, but finding structure in these large data sets with many collected variables is challenging. Decision tree ensembles like…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-02-15 Patrick J. Miller , Gitta H. Lubke , Daniel B. McArtor , C. S. Bergeman

We introduce a novel way to combine boosting with Gaussian process and mixed effects models. This allows for relaxing, first, the zero or linearity assumption for the prior mean function in Gaussian process and grouped random effects models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-06 Fabio Sigrist

Model selection aims to identify a sufficiently well performing model that is possibly simpler than the most complex model among a pool of candidates. However, the decision-making process itself can inadvertently introduce non-negligible…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-08 Yann McLatchie , Aki Vehtari

This paper presents a brand new nonparametric density estimation strategy named the best-scored random forest density estimation whose effectiveness is supported by both solid theoretical analysis and significant experimental performance.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-10 Hanyuan Hang , Hongwei Wen

In this article, we propose a novel strategy for conducting variable selection without prior model topology knowledge using the knockoff method with boosted tree models. Our method is inspired by the original knockoff method, where the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-24 Tao Jiang , Yuanyuan Li , Alison A. Motsinger-Reif

In the presence of grouped covariates, we propose a framework for boosting that allows to enforce sparsity within and between groups. By using component-wise and group-wise gradient boosting at the same time with adjusted degrees of…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-09 Fabian Obster , Christian Heumann

In learning to rank area, industry-level applications have been dominated by gradient boosting framework, which fits a tree using least square error principle. While in classification area, another tree fitting principle, weighted least…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2019-09-16 Tian Xia , Shaodan Zhai , Shaojun Wang

Random forests construct each tree with a different, randomised representation of the feature space. Their uniform voting cannot correct errors in regions where trees with incorrect representations probabilistically outnumber correct ones,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-28 Youngjoon Park

We study contextual stochastic optimization problems, where we leverage rich auxiliary observations (e.g., product characteristics) to improve decision making with uncertain variables (e.g., demand). We show how to train forest decision…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-03-17 Nathan Kallus , Xiaojie Mao

Random forests are popular methods for regression and classification analysis, and many different variants have been proposed in recent years. One interesting example is the Mondrian random forest, in which the underlying constituent trees…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-10 Matias D. Cattaneo , Jason M. Klusowski , William G. Underwood

Forward stagewise regression is a simple algorithm that can be used to estimate regularized models. The updating rule adds a small constant to a regression coefficient in each iteration, such that the underlying optimization problem is…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-29 Mattias Wetscher , Johannes Seiler , Reto Stauffer , Nikolaus Umlauf
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