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The gradient boosting machine is a powerful ensemble-based machine learning method for solving regression problems. However, one of the difficulties of its using is a possible discontinuity of the regression function, which arises when…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-22 Andrei V. Konstantinov , Lev V. Utkin

Random forest is widely exploited as an ensemble learning method. In many practical applications, however, there is still a significant challenge to learn from imbalanced data. To alleviate this limitation, we propose a deep dynamic boosted…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-08 Haixin Wang , Xingzhang Ren , Jinan Sun , Wei Ye , Long Chen , Muzhi Yu , Shikun Zhang

Boosting is a method for finding a highly accurate hypothesis by linearly combining many ``weak" hypotheses, each of which may be only moderately accurate. Thus, boosting is a method for learning an ensemble of classifiers. While boosting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-30 Sai Saketh Rambhatla , Michael Jones , Rama Chellappa

Existing guarantees in terms of rigorous upper bounds on the generalization error for the original random forest algorithm, one of the most frequently used machine learning methods, are unsatisfying. We discuss and evaluate various…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-07 Stephan Sloth Lorenzen , Christian Igel , Yevgeny Seldin

Gradient boosting algorithms construct a regression predictor using a linear combination of ``base learners''. Boosting also offers an approach to obtaining robust non-parametric regression estimators that are scalable to applications with…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-11 Xiaomeng Ju , Matías Salibián-Barrera

Random forests are a learning algorithm proposed by Breiman [Mach. Learn. 45 (2001) 5--32] that combines several randomized decision trees and aggregates their predictions by averaging. Despite its wide usage and outstanding practical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-08-11 Erwan Scornet , Gérard Biau , Jean-Philippe Vert

Random forest regression (RF) is an extremely popular tool for the analysis of high-dimensional data. Nonetheless, its benefits may be lessened in sparse settings due to weak predictors, and a pre-estimation dimension reduction (targeting)…

The random forest (RF) algorithm has become a very popular prediction method for its great flexibility and promising accuracy. In RF, it is conventional to put equal weights on all the base learners (trees) to aggregate their predictions.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-18 Xinyu Chen , Dalei Yu , Xinyu Zhang

We propose an unsupervised tree boosting algorithm for inferring the underlying sampling distribution of an i.i.d. sample based on fitting additive tree ensembles in a fashion analogous to supervised tree boosting. Integral to the algorithm…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-11 Naoki Awaya , Li Ma

The prevailing mindset is that a single decision tree underperforms classic random forests in testing accuracy, despite its advantages in interpretability and lightweight structure. This study challenges such a mindset by significantly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-27 Qiangqiang Mao , Yankai Cao

This paper investigates the integration of gradient boosted decision trees and varying coefficient models. We introduce the tree boosted varying coefficient framework which justifies the implementation of decision tree boosting as the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-03 Yichen Zhou , Giles Hooker

The infinitesimal jackknife (IJ) has recently been applied to the random forest to estimate its prediction variance. These theorems were verified under a traditional random forest framework which uses classification and regression trees…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-08-05 Cole Brokamp , MB Rao , Patrick Ryan , Roman Jandarov

Often machine learning methods are applied and results reported in cases where there is little to no information concerning accuracy of the output. Simply because a computer program returns a result does not insure its validity. If…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-25 Jerome H. Friedman

This paper analyzes comparatively the performance of Random Forests and Gradient Boosting algorithms in the field of forecasting the energy consumption based on historical data. The two algorithms are applied in order to forecast the energy…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-07-26 Cristina Bianca Pop , Viorica Rozina Chifu , Corina Cordea , Emil Stefan Chifu , Octav Barsan

Structured additive distributional copula regression allows to model the joint distribution of multivariate outcomes by relating all distribution parameters to covariates. Estimation via statistical boosting enables accounting for…

Several studies have shown that combining machine learning models in an appropriate way will introduce improvements in the individual predictions made by the base models. The key to make well-performing ensemble model is in the diversity of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-01 Mohsen Shahhosseini , Guiping Hu

Random forests perform bootstrap-aggregation by sampling the training samples with replacement. This enables the evaluation of out-of-bag error which serves as a internal cross-validation mechanism. Our motivation lies in using the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-20 Kiran Bangalore Ravi , Jean Serra

Boosting techniques from the field of statistical learning have grown to be a popular tool for estimating and selecting predictor effects in various regression models and can roughly be separated in two general approaches, namely gradient…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-16 Colin Griesbach , Andreas Groll , Elisabeth Waldmann

A decision tree is one of the most popular approaches in machine learning fields. However, it suffers from the problem of overfitting caused by overly deepened trees. Then, a meta-tree is recently proposed. It solves the problem of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-12 Ryota Maniwa , Naoki Ichijo , Yuta Nakahara , Toshiyasu Matsushima

Gradient boosting is a state-of-the-art prediction technique that sequentially produces a model in the form of linear combinations of simple predictors---typically decision trees---by solving an infinite-dimensional convex optimization…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-07-18 Gérard Biau , Benoît Cadre