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We present an offline, iterated particle filter to facilitate statistical inference in general state space hidden Markov models. Given a model and a sequence of observations, the associated marginal likelihood L is central to…

Computation · Statistics 2016-06-16 Pieralberto Guarniero , Adam M. Johansen , Anthony Lee

Particle filters are a group of algorithms to solve inverse problems through statistical Bayesian methods when the model does not comply with the linear and Gaussian hypothesis. Particle filters are used in domains like data assimilation,…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2023-01-10 Sebastian Friedemann , Kai Keller , Yen-Sen Lu , Bruno Raffin , Leonardo Bautista Gomez

This article discusses a partially adapted particle filter for estimating the likelihood of a nonlinear structural econometric state space models whose state transition density cannot be expressed in closed form. The filter generates the…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-09-05 Jamie Hall , Michael K. Pitt , Robert Kohn

We introduce a probabilistic approach to the LMS filter. By means of an efficient approximation, this approach provides an adaptable step-size LMS algorithm together with a measure of uncertainty about the estimation. In addition, the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-04-11 Jesus Fernandez-Bes , Víctor Elvira , Steven Van Vaerenbergh

In many particle physics experiments the data processing is based on the analysis of the digitized waveforms provided by the detector. While the waveform amplitude is usually correlated to the event energy, the shape may carry useful…

Instrumentation and Detectors · Physics 2024-06-26 Matteo Cappelli , Giorgio del Castello , Marco Vignati

We show on theoretical grounds that, even in the presence of noise, probabilistic measurement strategies (which have a certain probability of failure or abstention) can provide, upon a heralded successful outcome, estimates with a precision…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2016-10-27 J. Calsamiglia , B. Gendra , R. Munoz-Tapia , E. Bagan

A standard approach to approximate inference in state-space models isto apply a particle filter, e.g., the Condensation Algorithm.However, the performance of particle filters often varies significantlydue to their stochastic nature.We…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-14 Dirk Ormoneit , Christiane Lemieux , David J. Fleet

Most Markov chain Monte Carlo methods operate in discrete time and are reversible with respect to the target probability. Nevertheless, it is now understood that the use of non-reversible Markov chains can be beneficial in many contexts. In…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-23 Chris Sherlock , Alexandre H. Thiery

Particle filtering algorithms have enabled practical solutions to problems in autonomous robotics (self-driving cars, UAVs, warehouse robots), target tracking, and econometrics, with further applications in speech processing and medicine…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-03 Orestis Kaparounakis , Yunqi Zhang , Phillip Stanley-Marbell

This paper presents new results concerning the observer design for wide classes of nonlinear systems with both sampled and delayed measurements. By using a small gain approach we provide sufficient conditions, which involve both the delay…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2012-07-05 Tarek Ahmed-Ali , Iasson Karafyllis , Francoise Lamnabhi-Lagarrigue

Particle probability hypothesis density filtering has become a promising means for multi-target tracking due to its capability of handling an unknown and time-varying number of targets in non-linear non-Gaussian system. However, its…

Computation · Statistics 2015-03-13 Wang Junjie , Zhao Lingling , Su Xiaohong , Ma Peijun

"Particle methods" are sequential Monte Carlo algorithms, typically involving importance sampling, that are used to estimate and sample from joint and marginal densities from a collection of a, presumably increasing, number of random…

Computation · Statistics 2014-07-17 J. N. Corcoran , D. Jennings

The discovery of particle filtering methods has enabled the use of nonlinear filtering in a wide array of applications. Unfortunately, the approximation error of particle filters typically grows exponentially in the dimension of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-10 Patrick Rebeschini , Ramon van Handel

Model-based algorithms are deeply rooted in modern control and systems theory. However, they usually come with a critical assumption - access to an accurate model of the system. In practice, models are far from perfect. Even precisely tuned…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-04-06 Sebastian Schlor , Friedrich Solowjow , Sebastian Trimpe

Problem of an adaptive state observer design for nonlinear system with unknown time-varying parameters and under condition of delayed measurements is considered. State observation problem was raised by many researchers (see for example Sanx…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-11-17 Olga Kozachek , Alexey Bobtsov , Nikolay Nikolaev

The robust estimation of dynamically changing features, such as the position of prey, is one of the hallmarks of perception. On an abstract, algorithmic level, nonlinear Bayesian filtering, i.e. the estimation of temporally changing signals…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2022-01-05 Anna Kutschireiter , Simone Carlo Surace , Henning Sprekeler , Jean-Pascal Pfister

We develop a supervised machine learning model that detects anomalies in systems in real time. Our model processes unbounded streams of data into time series which then form the basis of a low-latency anomaly detection model. Moreover, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-11-16 Derek Farren , Thai Pham , Marco Alban-Hidalgo

A filter for universal real-time prediction of band-limited signals is presented. The filter consists of multiple time-delayed feedback terms in order to accomplish anticipatory coupling, which again leads to a negative group delay for…

Sound · Computer Science 2017-11-29 Henning U. Voss

This paper deals with the parametric inference for integrated signals embedded in an additive Gaussian noise and observed at deterministic discrete instants which are not necessarily equidistant. The unknown parameter is multidimensional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-18 Dominique Dehay , Khalil El Waled , Vincent Monsan

Particle MCMC involves using a particle filter within an MCMC algorithm. For inference of a model which involves an unobserved stochastic process, the standard implementation uses the particle filter to propose new values for the stochastic…

Computation · Statistics 2016-09-26 Paul Fearnhead , Loukia Meligkotsidou