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Let I_1,...,I_n be independent but not necessarily identically distributed Bernoulli random variables, and let X_n=\sum_{j=1}^nI_j. For \nu in a bounded region, a local central limit theorem expansion of P(X_n=EX_n+\nu) is developed to any…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Richard Arratia , Larry Goldstein , Bryan Langholz

We prove ergodicity for random dynamics satisfying some expansion and irreducibility conditions. As a particular application, we show that if $R_1,R_2\in \mathrm{SO}(d+1)$, $d\ge 2$, generate a dense subgroup, then the random dynamics of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-05-21 Jonathan DeWitt , Dmitry Dolgopyat , Zhiyuan Zhang

We present a central limit theorem for stationary random fields that are short-range dependent and asymptotically independent. As an application, we present a central limit theorem for an infinite family of interacting It\^o-type diffusion…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-19 Le Chen , Davar Khoshnevisan , David Nualart , Fei Pu

The asymptotic variance is an important criterion to evaluate the performance of Markov chains, especially for the central limit theorems. We give the variational formulas for the asymptotic variance of discrete-time (non-reversible) Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-29 Lu-Jing Huang , Yong-Hua Mao

We develop inference procedures robust to general forms of weak dependence. The procedures utilize test statistics constructed by resampling in a manner that does not depend on the unknown correlation structure of the data. We prove that…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-08-26 Michael P. Leung

In this paper, we consider semi-Markov processes whose transition times and transition probabilities depend on a small parameter $\varepsilon$. Understanding the asymptotic behavior of such processes is needed in order to study the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-08 Leonid Koralov , Ishfaaq Mohammed Imtiyas

We adapt arguments concerning information-theoretic convergence in the Central Limit Theorem to the case of dependent random variables under Rosenblatt mixing conditions. The key is to work with random variables perturbed by the addition of…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-10-06 Oliver Johnson

In bandit algorithms, the randomly time-varying adaptive experimental design makes it difficult to apply traditional limit theorems to off-policy evaluation of the treatment effect. Moreover, the normal approximation by the central limit…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-11 Yechan Park , Nakahiro Yoshida

Markov branching systems form a fundamental class of stochastic models that are extensively applied in biology, physics, finance, and other domains. These systems are distinguished by their continuous-time evolution and inherent branching…

We study a Edgeworth-type refinement of the central limit theorem for the discretizacion error of It\^o integrals. Towards this end, we introduce a new approach, based on the anticipating It\^o formula. This alternative technique allows us…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-22 Elisa Alòs , Masaaki Fukasawa

One of the first steps in applications of statistical network analysis is frequently to produce summary charts of important features of the network. Many of these features take the form of sequences of graph statistics counting the number…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-14 Jonathan R. Stewart

Wald-type tests are convenient because they allow one to test a wide array of linear and nonlinear restrictions from a single unrestricted estimator; we focus on the problem of implementing Wald-type tests for nonlinear restrictions. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-03 Jean-Marie Dufour , Eric Renault , Victoria Zinde-Walsh

Here we obtain the exact asymptotics for large and moderate deviations, strong law of large numbers and central limit theorem for chains with unbounded variable length memory.

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-18 A. Logachev , A. Mogulskii , A. Yambartsev

We extend the recent spectral approach for quenched limit theorems developed for piecewise expanding dynamics under general random driving [DrFrGTVa18] to quenched random piecewise hyperbolic dynamics including some classes of billiards.…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-12-19 D. Dragičević , G. Froyland , C. González-Tokman , S. Vaienti

In this paper, we study mixed power-exponential moment functionals of nonlinearly perturbed semi-Markov processes in discrete time. Conditions under which the moment functionals of interest can be expanded in asymptotic power series with…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-28 Mikael Petersson

Let $\mathbf{X}(n) \in \mathbb{R}^d$ be a sequence of random vectors, where $n\in\mathbb{N}$ and $d = d(n)$. Under certain weakly dependence conditions, we prove that the distribution of the maximal component of $\mathbf{X}$ and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-22 Mikhail Isaev , Igor Rodionov , Rui-Ray Zhang , Maksim Zhukovskii

We derive the exact asymptotic distribution of the conditional likelihood-ratio test in instrumental variables regression under weak instrument asymptotics and for multiple endogenous variables. The distribution is conditional on all…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-09-09 Malte Londschien

We consider time-inhomogeneous ODEs whose parameters are governed by an underlying ergodic Markov process. When this underlying process is accelerated by a factor $\varepsilon^{-1}$, an averaging phenomenon occurs and the solution of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-13 Pierre Monmarché , Edouard Strickler

Limit theorems for non-additive probabilities or non-linear expectations are challenging issues which have raised progressive interest recently. The purpose of this paper is to study the strong law of large numbers and the law of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-03 Li-Xin Zhang

We study the limit behaviour of upper and lower bounds on expected time averages in imprecise Markov chains; a generalised type of Markov chain where the local dynamics, traditionally characterised by transition probabilities, are now…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-10 Natan T'Joens , Jasper De Bock