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Data assimilation leads naturally to a Bayesian formulation in which the posterior probability distribution of the system state, given the observations, plays a central conceptual role. The aim of this paper is to use this Bayesian…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-01-01 K. J. H. Law , A. M. Stuart

Stochastic filtering is defined as the estimation of a partially observed dynamical system. A massive scientific and computational effort is dedicated to the development of numerical methods for approximating the solution of the filtering…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-06-04 Dan Crisan , Kai Li

We present an efficient algorithm to compute tight upper bounds of collision probability between two objects with positional uncertainties, whose error distributions are represented with non-Gaussian forms. Our approach can handle noisy…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-12-17 Jae Sung Park , Dinesh Manocha

This work investigates the information loss in a decimation system, i.e., in a downsampler preceded by an anti-aliasing filter. It is shown that, without a specific signal model in mind, the anti-aliasing filter cannot reduce information…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2014-07-08 Bernhard C. Geiger , Gernot Kubin

Stochastic averaging problems with Gaussian forcing have been studied thoroughly for many years, but far less attention has been paid to problems where the stochastic forcing has infinite variance, such as an {\alpha}-stable noise forcing.…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-05-24 William F. Thompson , Rachel A. Kuske , Adam. H. Monahan

Data assimilation is an iterative approach to the problem of estimating the state of a dynamical system using both current and past observations of the system together with a model for the system's time evolution. Rather than solving the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Brian R. Hunt , Eric J. Kostelich , Istvan Szunyogh

We describe a general approach to detection of transient gravitational-wave signals in the presence of non-Gaussian background noise. We prove that under quite general conditions, the ratio of the likelihood of observed data to contain a…

This paper is devoted to the problem of sampling Gaussian fields in high dimension. Solutions exist for two specific structures of inverse covariance : sparse and circulant. The proposed approach is valid in a more general case and…

Computation · Statistics 2011-05-31 F. Orieux , O. Féron , J. -F. Giovannelli

We study a family of dynamical systems obtained by coupling an Anosov map on the two-dimensional torus -- the chaotic system -- with the identity map on the one-dimensional torus -- the neutral system -- through a dissipative interaction.…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-02-26 Federico Bonetto , Guido Gentile

We propose a Bayesian nonparametric mixture model for the reconstruction and prediction from observed time series data, of discretized stochastic dynamical systems, based on Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods (MCMC). Our results can be used…

Applications · Statistics 2017-10-03 Christos Merkatas , Konstantinos Kaloudis , Spyridon J. Hatjispyros

Low-order thermoacoustic models are qualitatively correct, but they are typically quantitatively inaccurate. We propose a time-domain bias-aware method to make qualitatively low--order models quantitatively (more) accurate. First, we…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-11-10 Andrea Nóvoa , Luca Magri

This paper deals with the analysis of stochastic systems which can be described by a Langevin equation. By the method presented in this paper drift and diffusion terms of the corresponding Fokker-Planck equation can be extracted from the…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-31 S. Siegert , R. Friedrich , J. Peinke

We develop further ideas on how to construct low-dimensional models of stochastic dynamical systems. The aim is to derive a consistent and accurate model from the originally high-dimensional system. This is done with the support of centre…

chao-dyn · Physics 2008-02-03 Chao Xu , A. J. Roberts

A conceptual model for microscopic-macroscopic slow-fast stochastic systems is considered. A dynamical reduction procedure is presented in order to extract effective dynamics for this kind of systems. Under appropriate assumptions, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-11-15 Jian Ren , Hongbo Fu , Daomin Cao , Jinqiao Duan

Data assimilation is a central problem in many geophysical applications, such as weather forecasting. It aims to estimate the state of a potentially large system, such as the atmosphere, from sparse observations, supplemented by prior…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-24 Matthieu Blanke , Ronan Fablet , Marc Lelarge

Gaussian process regression is a powerful Bayesian nonlinear regression method. Recent research has enabled the capture of many types of observations using non-Gaussian likelihoods. To deal with various tasks in spatial modeling, we benefit…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-26 Yuta Shikuri

A dynamical system may be defined by a simple transition law - such as a map or a vector field. The objective of most learning techniques is to reconstruct this dynamic transition law. This is a major shortcoming, as most dynamic properties…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-09-10 Suddhasattwa Das

This paper presents an adaptive Kalman filter for a linear dynamic system perturbed by an additive disturbance. The objective is to estimate both of the state and the unknown disturbance concurrently, while learning the disturbance as a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-10-23 Taeyoung Lee

Considering trajectory curves, integral of n-dimensional dynamical systems, within the framework of Differential Geometry as curves in Euclidean n-space, it will be established in this article that the curvature of the flow, i.e. the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2014-08-11 Jean-Marc Ginoux , Bruno Rossetto , Leon Chua

In the standard picture of structure formation, initially random-phase fluctuations are amplified by non-linear gravitational instability to produce a final distribution of mass which is highly non-Gaussian and has highly coupled Fourier…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-10-31 Peter Coles , Lung-Yih Chiang