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Systemic risk refers to the risk that the financial system is susceptible to failures due to the characteristics of the system itself. The tremendous cost of systemic risk requires the design and implementation of tools for the efficient…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-06 Zachary Feinstein , Birgit Rudloff , Stefan Weber

Extreme environmental phenomena such as major precipitation events manifestly exhibit spatial dependence. Max-stable processes are a class of asymptotically-justified models that are capable of representing spatial dependence among extreme…

Applications · Statistics 2013-01-09 Brian J. Reich , Benjamin A. Shaby

Candidates for random network media include, e.g., systems consisting of long, flexible macromolecules cross-linked (i.e., permanently bonded) together at random to form the network. Owing to the random architecture, the characteristics of…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2024-12-18 Boli Zhou , Ziqi Zhou , Paul M. Goldbart

The extremogram, proposed by Davis and Mikosch (2008), is a useful tool for measuring extremal dependence and checking model adequacy in a time series. We define the extremogram in the spatial domain when the data is observed on a lattice…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-09 Yongbum Cho , Richard A. Davis , Souvik Ghosh

We give a complete characterization of both comonotone and not comonotone coherent risk measures in the discrete finite probability space, where each outcome is equally likely. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first work that…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-12-25 Kerem Ugurlu

Extreme values geostatistics make it possible to model the asymptotic behaviors of random phenomena which depends on space or time parameters. In this paper, we propose new models of the extremal coefficient within a spatial stationary…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-05 Ouoba Fabrice , Diakarya Barro , Hay Yoba Talkibing

This paper develops a general asymptotic theory of local polynomial (LP) regression for spatial data observed at irregularly spaced locations in a sampling region $R_n \subset \mathbb{R}^d$. We adopt a stochastic sampling design that can…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-12-27 Daisuke Kurisu , Yasumasa Matsuda

In this paper we present results on scalar risk measures in markets with transaction costs. Such risk measures are defined as the minimal capital requirements in the cash asset. First, some results are provided on the dual representation of…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-02-05 Zachary Feinstein , Birgit Rudloff

The increasing recognition of the association between adverse human health conditions and many environmental substances as well as processes has led to the need to monitor them. An important problem that arises in environmental statistics…

Applications · Statistics 2020-02-05 Yu Wang , Nhu D. Le , James V. Zidek

When we use the normal mixture model, the optimal number of the components describing the data should be determined. Testing homogeneity is good for this purpose; however, to construct its theory is challenging, since the test statistic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-24 Natsuki Kariya , Sumio Watanabe

The stability criteria for spatially flat homogeneous and isotropic cosmological dynamical system is investigated with the interaction of a scalar field endowed with a perfect fluid.In this paper, we depict the dynamical system perspective…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2021-01-25 S. Surendra Singh , Chingtham Sonia

The spatial modeling of extreme snow is important for adequate risk management in Alpine and high altitude countries. A natural approach to such modeling is through the theory of max-stable processes, an infinite-dimensional extension of…

Applications · Statistics 2011-12-01 Juliette Blanchet , Anthony C. Davison

We consider the extremal shot noise defined by $$M(y)=\sup\{mh(y-x);(x,m)\in\Phi\},$$ where $\Phi$ is a Poisson point process on $\bbR^d\times (0,+\infty)$ with intensity $\lambda dxG(dm)$ and $h:\bbR^d\to [0,+\infty]$ is a measurable…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-06-01 Clément Dombry

Models of invasive species spread often assume that landscapes are spatially homogeneous; thus simplifying analysis but potentially reducing accuracy. We extend a recently developed partial differential equation model for invasive conifer…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-09-14 Elliott Hughes , Miguel Moyers-Gonzalez , Rua Murray , Phillip L. Wilson

With the establishment of global biological monitor network and development of remote sensing technology, data won't be a limitation, but the variance brought by spatial heterogeneous and fractal will influence correlation coefficient…

Applications · Statistics 2017-10-02 Xiatong Cai , Guangpeng Pei , Yuen Zhu , Donggang Guo , Hua Li

Recent extreme value theory literature has seen significant emphasis on the modelling of spatial extremes, with comparatively little consideration of spatio-temporal extensions. This neglects an important feature of extreme events: their…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-19 Emma S. Simpson , Jennifer L. Wadsworth

In this paper monetary risk measures that are positively superhomogeneous, called star-shaped risk measures, are characterized and their properties studied. The measures in this class, which arise when the controversial subadditivity…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-05-03 Erio Castagnoli , Giacomo Cattelan , Fabio Maccheroni , Claudio Tebaldi , Ruodu Wang

This work employs variational techniques to revisit and expand the construction and analysis of extreme value processes. These techniques permit a novel study of spatial statistics of the location of minimizing events. We develop integral…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-10 Nicolas Garcia Trillos , Ryan Murray , Daniel Sanz-Alonso

Regional socioeconomic indicators are critical across various domains, yet their acquisition can be costly. Inferring global socioeconomic indicators from a limited number of regional samples is essential for enhancing management and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-03 Xingchen Zou , Jiani Huang , Xixuan Hao , Yuhao Yang , Haomin Wen , Yibo Yan , Chao Huang , Chao Chen , Yuxuan Liang

Systemic risk measures have been shown to be predictive of financial crises and declines in real activity. Thus, forecasting them is of major importance in finance and economics. In this paper, we propose a new forecasting method for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-23 Yannick Hoga
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