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The risk of extreme environmental events is of great importance for both the authorities and the insurance industry. This paper concerns risk measures in a spatial setting, in order to introduce the spatial features of damages stemming from…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-12 Erwan Koch

A meticulous assessment of the risk of impacts associated with extreme wind events is of great necessity for populations, civil authorities as well as the insurance industry. Using the concept of spatial risk measure and related set of…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-19 Erwan Koch

In this paper, we consider isotropic and stationary max-stable, inverse max-stable and max-mixture processes $X=(X(s))\_{s\in\bR^2}$ and the damage function $\cD\_X^{\nu}= |X|^\nu$ with $0<\nu<1/2$. We study the quantitative behavior of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-06-27 Ahmed Manaf , Véronique Maume-Deschamps , Pierre Ribereau , Céline Vial

We axiomatically introduce risk-consistent conditional systemic risk measures defined on multidimensional risks. This class consists of those conditional systemic risk measures which can be decomposed into a state-wise conditional…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-09-27 Hannes Hoffmann , Thilo Meyer-Brandis , Gregor Svindland

In this paper, we study the quantitative behavior of a spatial risk measure corresponding to a damage function and a region, taking into account the spatial dependence of the underlying process. This kind of risk measure has already been…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-01-02 M Ahmed , V Maume-Deschamps , P Ribereau , Céline Vial

The analysis of spatial extremes requires the joint modeling of a spatial process at a large number of stations and max-stable processes have been developed as a class of stochastic processes suitable for studying spatial extremes. Spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-09-28 Soyoung Jeon , Richard L. Smith

The modeling of risk situations that occur in a space-time framework can be done using max-stable random fields on lattices. Although the summary coefficients for the spatial and temporal behaviour do not characterize the finite-dimensional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-14 Helena Ferreira , Marta Ferreira , Luís A. Alexandre

In environmental science applications, extreme events frequently exhibit a complex spatio-temporal structure, which is difficult to describe flexibly and estimate in a computationally efficient way using state-of-art parametric…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-22 Marco Oesting , Raphaël Huser

Starting from the global financial crisis to the more recent disruptions brought about by geopolitical tensions and public health crises, the volatility of risk in financial markets has increased significantly. This underscores the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-22 Fei Sun , Jingchao Li , Jieming Zhou

We introduce the extremal range, a local statistic for studying the spatial extent of extreme events in random fields on $\mathbb{R}^d$. Conditioned on exceedance of a high threshold at a location $s$, the extremal range at $s$ is the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-06 Ryan Cotsakis , Elena Di Bernardino , Thomas Opitz

As part of global climate change an accelerated hydrologic cycle (including an increase in heavy precipitation) is anticipated. So, it is of great importance to be able to quantify high-impact hydrologic relationships, for example, the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-06-07 C. Fonseca , H. Ferreira , L. Pereira A. P. , Martins

Spatial heterogeneity plays an important role in complex ecosystem dynamics, and therefore is also an important consideration in sustainable resource management. However, little is known about how spatial effects can influence management…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-09-29 Nao Takashina , Akihiko Mougi

The study of systemic risk is often presented through the analysis of several measures referring to quantities used by practitioners and policy makers. Almost invariably, those measures evaluate the size of the impact that exogenous events…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-04-13 Luka Klinčić , Vinko Zlatić , Guido Caldarelli , Hrvoje Štefančić

Risk management is particularly concerned with extreme events, but analysing these events is often hindered by the scarcity of data, especially in a multivariate context. This data scarcity complicates risk management efforts. Various tools…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-15 Nisrine Madhar , Juliette Legrand , Maud Thomas

Many physical processes involve spatio-temporal observations, which can be studied at different spatial and temporal scales. For example, rainfall data measured daily by rain gauges can be considered at daily, monthly or annual temporal…

Applications · Statistics 2017-11-02 Adway Mitra

As a rule statistical measures are often vulnerable to the presence of outliers and spatial correlation coefficients, critical in the assessment of spatial data, remain susceptible to this inherent flaw. In contexts where data originates…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-13 Vincenzo Nardelli , Giuseppe Arbia

Statistical models used to estimate the spatio-temporal pattern in disease risk from areal unit data represent the risk surface for each time period with known covariates and a set of spatially smooth random effects. The latter act as a…

Applications · Statistics 2016-04-19 Alastair Rushworth , Duncan Lee , Christophe Sarran

Correlated random fields are a common way to model dependence struc- tures in high-dimensional data, especially for data collected in imaging. One important parameter characterizing the degree of dependence is the asymp- totic variance…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-03-20 Annabel Prause , Ansgar Steland

Extreme value analysis is an essential methodology in the study of rare and extreme events, which hold significant interest in various fields, particularly in the context of environmental sciences. Models that employ the exceedances of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-16 Lorenzo Dell'Oro , Carlo Gaetan

In this paper, the development of a mathematical method is presented to explore spatially non-uniform phases with no long-range order in mathematical models of first order phase transitions. We use essential results regarding the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-09-08 Gyula I. Toth
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