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We propose an unconstrained stochastic approximation method of finding the optimal measure change (in an a priori parametric family) for Monte Carlo simulations. We consider different parametric families based on the Girsanov theorem and…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-20 Vincent Lemaire , Gilles Pagès

In this paper, the uniformly asymptotic normality for sample quantiles of associated random variables is investigated under some conditions on the decay of the covariances. We obtain the rate of normal approximation of order…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-18 L. Douge

This paper proposes a versatile covariate adjustment method that directly incorporates covariate balance in regression discontinuity (RD) designs. The new empirical entropy balancing method reweights the standard local polynomial RD…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-05-29 Jun Ma , Zhengfei Yu

A Bayesian non-parametric framework for studying time-to-event data is proposed, where the prior distribution is allowed to depend on an additional random source, and may update with the sample size. Such scenarios are natural, for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-06 Martin Bladt , Jorge González Cázares

The random coefficients model is an extension of the linear regression model that allows for unobserved heterogeneity in the population by modeling the regression coefficients as random variables. Given data from this model, the statistical…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-03-15 Fabian Dunker , Konstantin Eckle , Katharina Proksch , Johannes Schmidt-Hieber

Bayesian inference provides a flexible way of combining data with prior information. However, quantile regression is not equipped with a parametric likelihood, and therefore, Bayesian inference for quantile regression demands careful…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-07-24 Yunwen Yang , Xuming He

Statistical agencies and other institutions collect data under the promise to protect the confidentiality of respondents. When releasing microdata samples, the risk that records can be identified must be assessed. To this aim, a widely…

Applications · Statistics 2015-06-03 Cinzia Carota , Maurizio Filippone , Roberto Leombruni , Silvia Polettini

Asymptotic properties of Markov Processes, such as steady state probabilities or hazard rate for absorbing states can be efficiently calculated by means of linear algebra even for large-scale problems. This paper discusses the methods for…

Performance · Computer Science 2017-05-17 Vitali Volovoi

Non-asymptotic bounds for Gaussian and bootstrap approximation have recently attracted significant interest in high-dimensional statistics. This paper studies Berry-Esseen bounds for such approximations with respect to the multivariate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-02-08 Miles E. Lopes

For time series with high temporal correlation, the empirical process converges rather slowly to its limiting distribution. Many statistics in change-point analysis, goodness-of-fit testing and uncertainty quantification admit a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-26 Annika Betken , Marie-Christine Düker

Let $\mu$ be a probability measure on $\text{GL}_d(\mathbb{R})$ and denote by $S_n:= g_n \cdots g_1$ the associated random matrix product, where $g_j$ are i.i.d. with law $\mu$. Under the assumptions that $\mu$ has a finite exponential…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-06 Tien-Cuong Dinh , Lucas Kaufmann , Hao Wu

We study the convergence rates of empirical Bayes posterior distributions for nonparametric and high-dimensional inference. We show that as long as the hyperparameter set is discrete, the empirical Bayes posterior distribution induced by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-10 Fengshuo Zhang , Chao Gao

Bayesian estimation is increasingly popular for performing model based inference to support policymaking. These data are often collected from surveys under informative sampling designs where subject inclusion probabilities are designed to…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-13 Luis G. Leon-Novelo , Terrance D. Savitsky

In this paper we obtain new effective results on the Halpern iterations of nonexpansive mappings using methods from mathematical logic or, more specifically, proof-theoretic techniques. We give effective rates of asymptotic regularity for…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2007-10-10 Laurentiu Leustean

In this note, we provide upper bounds on the expectation of the supremum of empirical processes indexed by H\"older classes of any smoothness and for any distribution supported on a bounded set in $\mathbb R^d$. These results can be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-18 Nicolas Schreuder

We describe a measurement device principle based on discrete iterations of Bayesian updating of system state probability distributions. Although purely classical by nature, these measurements are accompanied with a progressive collapse of…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-06-11 Michel Bauer , Denis Bernard , Tristan Benoist

We propose a new approach that combines multiple non-parametric likelihood-type components to build a data-driven approximation of the true likelihood function. Our approach is built on empirical likelihood, a non-parametric approximation…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-15 Adam Jaeger , Nicole Lazar

Composite likelihood inference has gained much popularity thanks to its computational manageability and its theoretical properties. Unfortunately, performing composite likelihood ratio tests is inconvenient because of their awkward…

Computation · Statistics 2014-08-01 Manuela Cattelan , Nicola Sartori

Consider a first-order autoregressive process $X_i=\beta X_{i-1}+\varepsilon_i,$ where $\varepsilon_i=G(\eta_i,\eta_{i-1},\ldots)$ and $\eta_i,i\in\mathbb{Z}$ are i.i.d. random variables. Motivated by two important issues for the inference…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-12 Ngai Hang Chan , Rongmao Zhang

We develop a continuous-time penalized regression framework for the estimation of time-varying coefficients and variable selection when both the response and covariates are It\^o semimartingales with jumps. The coefficient paths are…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-28 Aleksey Kolokolov , Shifan Yu
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