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Related papers: Aggregating Strategies for Long-term Forecasting

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Regret-based algorithms are highly efficient at finding approximate Nash equilibria in sequential games such as poker games. However, most regret-based algorithms, including counterfactual regret minimization (CFR) and its variants, rely on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-28 Chung-Wei Lee , Christian Kroer , Haipeng Luo

We study the problem of uncertainty quantification via prediction sets, in an online setting where the data distribution may vary arbitrarily over time. Recent work develops online conformal prediction techniques that leverage regret…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-16 Aadyot Bhatnagar , Huan Wang , Caiming Xiong , Yu Bai

This paper considers an opportunistic scheduling problem over a renewal system. A controller observes a random event at the beginning of each renewal frame and then chooses an action in response to the event, which affects the duration of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-06-10 Xiaohan Wei , Michael J. Neely

Local explanation methods highlight the input tokens that have a considerable impact on the outcome of classifying the document at hand. For example, the Anchor algorithm applies a statistical analysis of the sensitivity of the classifier…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-15 Alon Mor , Yonatan Belinkov , Benny Kimelfeld

We analyse a version of the policy iteration algorithm for the discounted infinite-horizon problem for controlled multidimensional diffusion processes, where both the drift and the diffusion coefficient can be controlled. We prove that,…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-26 Saul D. Jacka , Aleksandar Mijatovic , Dejan Siraj

Temporal aggregation is an intuitively appealing approach to deal with demand uncertainty. There are two types of temporal aggregation: non-overlapping and overlapping. Most of the supply chain forecasting literature has focused so far on…

Applications · Statistics 2021-03-31 Bahman Rostami-Tabar , Mohamed Zied Babai , Aris Syntetos

Learning optimal policies from historical data enables personalization in a wide variety of applications including healthcare, digital recommendations, and online education. The growing policy learning literature focuses on settings where…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-17 Ruohan Zhan , Zhimei Ren , Susan Athey , Zhengyuan Zhou

We aim to design strategies for sequential decision making that adjust to the difficulty of the learning problem. We study this question both in the setting of prediction with expert advice, and for more general combinatorial decision…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-03-02 Wouter M. Koolen , Tim van Erven

We study online learning problems in which a decision maker has to take a sequence of decisions subject to $m$ long-term constraints. The goal of the decision maker is to maximize their total reward, while at the same time achieving small…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-16 Matteo Castiglioni , Andrea Celli , Alberto Marchesi , Giulia Romano , Nicola Gatti

We consider the setting of online logistic regression and consider the regret with respect to the 2-ball of radius B. It is known (see [Hazan et al., 2014]) that any proper algorithm which has logarithmic regret in the number of samples…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-04 Rémi Jézéquel , Pierre Gaillard , Alessandro Rudi

This paper investigates distributed online convex optimization in the presence of an aggregative variable without any global/central coordinators over a multi-agent network, where each individual agent is only able to access partial…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-07-15 Xiuxian Li , Xinlei Yi , Lihua Xie

Logistic Bandits have recently undergone careful scrutiny by virtue of their combined theoretical and practical relevance. This research effort delivered statistically efficient algorithms, improving the regret of previous strategies by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-20 Louis Faury , Marc Abeille , Kwang-Sung Jun , Clément Calauzènes

We propose a versatile and computationally efficient estimating equation method for a class of hierarchical multiplicative generalized linear mixed models with additive dispersion components, based on explicit modelling of the covariance…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-08-18 René Holst , Bent Jørgensen

When applying aggregating strategies to Prediction with Expert Advice, the learning rate must be adaptively tuned. The natural choice of sqrt(complexity/current loss) renders the analysis of Weighted Majority derivatives quite complicated.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Marcus Hutter , Jan Poland

We consider a general framework of online learning with expert advice where regret is defined with respect to sequences of experts accepted by a weighted automaton. Our framework covers several problems previously studied, including…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-10-24 Mehryar Mohri , Scott Yang

Evolutionary algorithms have been frequently applied to constrained continuous optimisation problems. We carry out feature based comparisons of different types of evolutionary algorithms such as evolution strategies, differential evolution…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-09-24 Shayan Poursoltan , Frank Neumann

This article investigates a distributed aggregative optimization problem subject to coupled affine inequality constraints, in which local objective functions depend not only on their own decision variables but also on an aggregation of all…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-06-13 Kaixin Du , Min Meng

We investigate constrained online convex optimization, in which decisions must belong to a fixed and typically complicated domain, and are required to approximately satisfy additional time-varying constraints over the long term. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-28 Yibo Wang , Yuanyu Wan , Lijun Zhang

In the problem of aggregation, the aim is to combine a given class of base predictors to achieve predictions nearly as accurate as the best one. In this flexible framework, no assumption is made on the structure of the class or the nature…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-30 Jaouad Mourtada , Tomas Vaškevičius , Nikita Zhivotovskiy

This paper considers online convex optimization over a complicated constraint set, which typically consists of multiple functional constraints and a set constraint. The conventional online projection algorithm (Zinkevich, 2003) can be…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-05-19 Hao Yu , Michael J. Neely