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Related papers: Aggregating Strategies for Long-term Forecasting

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We study the problem of prediction with expert advice with adversarial corruption where the adversary can at most corrupt one expert. Using tools from viscosity theory, we characterize the long-time behavior of the value function of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-02 Erhan Bayraktar , Ibrahim Ekren , Xin Zhang

We consider distributed iterative algorithms for the averaging problem over time-varying topologies. Our focus is on the convergence time of such algorithms when complete (unquantized) information is available, and on the degradation of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2009-01-14 Angelia Nedić , Alex Olshevsky , Asuman Ozdaglar , John Tsitsiklis

This paper studies an online optimal resource reservation problem in communication networks with job transfers where the goal is to minimize the reservation cost while maintaining the blocking cost under a certain budget limit. To tackle…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-05-07 Ahmed Sid-Ali , Ioannis Lambadaris , Yiqiang Q. Zhao , Gennady Shaikhet , Amirhossein Asgharnia

We consider the problem of transfer learning in an online setting. Different tasks are presented sequentially and processed by a within-task algorithm. We propose a lifelong learning strategy which refines the underlying data representation…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-14 Pierre Alquier , The Tien Mai , Massimiliano Pontil

Thompson Sampling, one of the oldest heuristics for solving multi-armed bandits, has recently been shown to demonstrate state-of-the-art performance. The empirical success has led to great interests in theoretical understanding of this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-10-29 Lihong Li

We consider the forecast aggregation problem in repeated settings, where the forecasts are done on a binary event. At each period multiple experts provide forecasts about an event. The goal of the aggregator is to aggregate those forecasts…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-02-21 Yakov Babichenko , Dan Garber

We study Online Convex Optimization (OCO) with adversarial constraints, where an online algorithm must make sequential decisions to minimize both convex loss functions and cumulative constraint violations. We focus on a setting where the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-14 Jordan Lekeufack , Michael I. Jordan

We present a new online learning algorithm for cumulative discounted gain. This learning algorithm does not use exponential weights on the experts. Instead, it uses a weighting scheme that depends on the regret of the master algorithm…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2008-07-01 Yoav Freund , Daniel Hsu

We study the prediction with expert advice setting, where the aim is to produce a decision by combining the decisions generated by a set of experts, e.g., independently running algorithms. We achieve the min-max optimal dynamic regret under…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-09 Hakan Gokcesu , Suleyman S. Kozat

This work studies external regret in sequential prediction games with both positive and negative payoffs. External regret measures the difference between the payoff obtained by the forecasting strategy and the payoff of the best action. In…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Nicolo Cesa-Bianchi , Yishay Mansour , Gilles Stoltz

This paper considers a variant of the online paging problem, where the online algorithm has access to multiple predictors, each producing a sequence of predictions for the page arrival times. The predictors may have occasional prediction…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2020-11-20 Yuval Emek , Shay Kutten , Yangguang Shi

We consider an online two-stage stochastic optimization with long-term constraints over a finite horizon of $T$ periods. At each period, we take the first-stage action, observe a model parameter realization and then take the second-stage…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-21 Jiashuo Jiang

We study the problem of robust forecast aggregation: combining expert forecasts with provable accuracy guarantees compared to the best possible aggregation of the underlying information. Prior work shows strong impossibility results, e.g.…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-12-08 Rafael Frongillo , Mary Monroe , Eric Neyman , Bo Waggoner

The problem of combining individual forecasters to produce a forecaster with improved performance is considered. The connections between probability elicitation and classification are used to pose the combining forecaster problem as that of…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-11 Hamed Masnadi-Shirazi

Forecast combinations have flourished remarkably in the forecasting community and, in recent years, have become part of the mainstream of forecasting research and activities. Combining multiple forecasts produced from single (target) series…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-26 Xiaoqian Wang , Rob J Hyndman , Feng Li , Yanfei Kang

We consider an online two-stage stochastic optimization with long-term constraints over a finite horizon of $T$ periods. At each period, we take the first-stage action, observe a model parameter realization and then take the second-stage…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-03 Piao Hu , Jiashuo Jiang , Guodong Lyu , Hao Su

In this paper, we focus on the solution of online optimization problems that arise often in signal processing and machine learning, in which we have access to streaming sources of data. We discuss algorithms for online optimization based on…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-05-05 Nicola Bastianello , Ruggero Carli , Andrea Simonetto

We introduce and study the problem of online omniprediction with long-term constraints. At each round, a forecaster is tasked with generating predictions for an underlying (adaptively, adversarially chosen) state that are broadcast to a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-16 Yahav Bechavod , Jiuyao Lu , Aaron Roth

This paper delves into the investigation of a distributed aggregative optimization problem within a network. In this scenario, each agent possesses its own local cost function, which relies not only on the local state variable but also on…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-01 Jiaxu Liu , Song Chen , Shengze Cai , Chao Xu , Jian Chu

Consider a sequence of bits where we are trying to predict the next bit from the previous bits. Assume we are allowed to say 'predict 0' or 'predict 1', and our payoff is +1 if the prediction is correct and -1 otherwise. We will say that at…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2012-10-11 Michael Kapralov , Rina Panigrahy