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We introduce a new actuarial tail-shape index, the $\theta$-index, based on a probability equal level relationship between Value at Risk and Expected Shortfall. The index is defined at each tail probability level as the parameter value for…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-29 Georgios I. Papayiannis , Georgios Psarrakos

We consider a model for multivariate data with heavy-tailed marginal distributions and a Gaussian dependence structure. The different marginals in the model are allowed to have non-identical tail behavior in contrast to most popular…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-23 Bikramjit Das

We obtain asymptotic approximations for the probability density function of the product of two correlated normal random variables with non-zero means and arbitrary variances. As a consequence, we deduce asymptotic approximations for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-22 Robert E. Gaunt , Zixin Ye

We present a novel procedure for scaling relatively high frequency tail probability and quantile estimates for the conditional distribution of returns.

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2011-03-31 John Cotter

Distance covariance and distance correlation are scalar coefficients that characterize independence of random vectors in arbitrary dimension. Properties, extensions, and applications of distance correlation have been discussed in the recent…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-07-10 Gabor J. Szekely , Maria L. Rizzo

We study the class of dependence models for spatial data obtained from Cauchy convolution processes based on different types of kernel functions. We show that the resulting spatial processes have appealing tail dependence properties, such…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-09 Pavel Krupskii , Raphaël Huser

Linear quantile regression is a powerful tool to investigate how predictors may affect a response heterogeneously across different quantile levels. Unfortunately, existing approaches find it extremely difficult to adjust for any dependency…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-30 Xu Chen , Surya T. Tokdar

We present sharp tail asymptotics for the density and the distribution function of linear combinations of correlated log-normal random variables, that is, exponentials of components of a correlated Gaussian vector. The asymptotic behavior…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-07 Archil Gulisashvili , Peter Tankov

The statistical theory of extremes is extended to observations that are non-stationary and not independent. The non-stationarity over time and space is controlled via the scedasis (tail scale) in the marginal distributions. Spatial…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-10 John H. J. Einmahl , Ana Ferreira , Laurens de Haan , Claudia Neves , Chen Zhou

In this paper, the defining properties of a valid measure of the dependence between two random variables are reviewed and complemented with two original ones, shown to be more fundamental than other usual postulates. While other popular…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-03 Gery Geenens , Pierre Lafaye de Micheaux

In this paper, a robust non-parametric measure of statistical dependence, or correlation, between two random variables is presented. The proposed coefficient is a permutation-like statistic that quantifies how much the observed sample S_n :…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-27 Rami Mahdi

The well-known "Janson's inequality" gives Poisson-like upper bounds for the lower tail probability \Pr(X \le (1-\eps)\E X) when X is the sum of dependent indicator random variables of a special form. We show that, for large deviations,…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-12 Svante Janson , Lutz Warnke

Economic and financial crises are characterised by unusually large events. These tail events co-move because of linear and/or nonlinear dependencies. We introduce TailCoR, a metric that combines (and disentangles) these linear and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-01 Slađana Babić , Christophe Ley , Lorenzo Ricci , David Veredas

The magnitude of Pearson correlation between two scalar random variables can be visually judged from the two-dimensional scatter plot of an independent and identically distributed sample drawn from the joint distribution of the two…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-14 Shanjun Mao , Xiaodan Fan , Jie Hu

The classical tail dependence coefficient (TDC) may fail to capture non-exchangeable features of bivariate tail dependence since it evaluates the underlying copula only along the diagonal. To address this limitation, several measures of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-26 Takaaki Koike , Marius Hofert , Haruki Tsunekawa

In this paper we provide a new criterion for the comparison of claims, when we have conditional claims arising in stop loss contracts or contracts with franchise deductible. These stochastic comparisons are made on the basis of the Tail…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-12-12 Félix Belzunce , Alba M. Franco-Pereira , Julio Mulero

We study the tail asymptotics of the sum of two heavy-tailed random variables. The dependence structure is modeled by copulas with the so-called tail order property. Examples are presented to illustrate the approach. Further for each…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-15 Fan Yang , Yi Zhang

(To appear in The American Statistician.) Distance covariance (Sz\'ekely, Rizzo, and Bakirov, 2007) is a fascinating recent notion, which is popular as a test for dependence of any type between random variables $X$ and $Y$. This approach…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-08 Jakob Raymaekers , Peter J. Rousseeuw

Based on the notion of maximal correlation, Kimeldorf, May and Sampson (1980) introduce a measure of correlation between two random variables, called the "concordant monotone correlation" (CMC). We revisit, generalize and prove new…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-06-23 Omid Etesami , Amin Gohari

Correlations play a pivotal role in various fields of science, particularly in quantum mechanics, yet their proper quantification remains a subject of debate. In this work, we aim to discuss the challenge of defining a reliable measure of…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-04-02 Gabriel L. Moraes , Renato M. Angelo , Ana C. S. Costa