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The effectiveness of non-parametric, kernel-based methods for function estimation comes at the price of high computational complexity, which hinders their applicability in adaptive, model-based control. Motivated by approximation techniques…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-17 Anna Scampicchio , Elena Arcari , Melanie N. Zeilinger

Network models have been popular for modeling and representing complex relationships and dependencies between observed variables. When data comes from a dynamic stochastic process, a single static network model cannot adequately capture…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-04-03 Mladen Kolar , Eric P. Xing

This paper introduces a data-adaptive non-parametric approach for the estimation of time-varying spectral densities from nonstationary time series. Time-varying spectral densities are commonly estimated by local kernel smoothing. The…

Computation · Statistics 2020-07-21 Anne van Delft , Michael Eichler

In some real world applications, such as spectrometry, functional models achieve better predictive performances if they work on the derivatives of order m of their inputs rather than on the original functions. As a consequence, the use of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-05-04 Fabrice Rossi , Nathalie Villa-Vialaneix

Kernel methods give powerful, flexible, and theoretically grounded approaches to solving many problems in machine learning. The standard approach, however, requires pairwise evaluations of a kernel function, which can lead to scalability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-08 Danica J. Sutherland , Jeff Schneider

This paper studies the identification and estimation of weighted average derivatives of conditional location functionals including conditional mean and conditional quantiles in settings where either the outcome variable or a regressor is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-24 Hiroaki Kaido

In order to fully utilize "big data", it is often required to use "big models". Such models tend to grow with the complexity and size of the training data, and do not make strong parametric assumptions upfront on the nature of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-04-17 Vikas Sindhwani , Haim Avron

Let X be a second order random process indexed by a compact interval [0,T]. Assume that n independent realizations of X are observed on a fixed grid of p time points. Under mild regularity assumptions on the sample paths of X, we show the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-05-25 David Degras

This work incorporates the multi-modality of the data distribution into a Gaussian Process regression model. We approach the problem from a discriminative perspective by learning, jointly over the training data, the target space variance in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-03-20 Silvia L. Pintea , Jan C. van Gemert , Arnold W. M. Smeulders

We study kernel-based estimation of nonparametric time-varying parameters (TVPs) in linear models. Our contributions are threefold. First, we establish consistency and asymptotic normality of the kernel-based estimator for a broad class of…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-26 Mikihito Nishi

We study the asymptotic behavior of the fluctuations of smooth and rough linear statistics for determinantal point processes on the sphere and on the Euclidean space. The main tool is the generalization of some norm representation results…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2024-10-18 Matteo Levi , Jordi Marzo , Joaquim Ortega-Cerdà

Time series are an interesting frontier for kernel-based methods, for the simple reason that there is no kernel designed to represent them and their unique characteristics in full generality. Existing sequential kernels ignore the time…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-04-21 Ahmed Guecioueur , Franz J. Király

We propose a generalized partially linear functional single index risk score model for repeatedly measured outcomes where the index itself is a function of time. We fuse the nonparametric kernel method and regression spline method, and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-15 Fei Jiang , Yanyuan Ma , Yuanjia Wang

Strongly lensed variable quasars can serve as precise cosmological probes, provided that time delays between the image fluxes can be accurately measured. A number of methods have been proposed to address this problem. In this paper, we…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2016-03-15 Sultanah AL Otaibi , Peter Tiňo , Juan C Cuevas-Tello , Ilya Mandel , Somak Raychaudhury

A variational inference-based framework for training a multi-output Gaussian process latent variable model, specifically tailored to the tails-up spatio-temporal stream network, is developed. Training, given a censored observational data…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-21 Marno Basson , Tobias M. Louw , Theresa R. Smith

We consider the problem of streaming kernel regression, when the observations arrive sequentially and the goal is to recover the underlying mean function, assumed to belong to an RKHS. The variance of the noise is not assumed to be known.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-08-03 Audrey Durand , Odalric-Ambrym Maillard , Joelle Pineau

This paper presents uniform convergence rates for kernel regression estimators, in the setting of a structural nonlinear cointegrating regression model. We generalise the existing literature in three ways. First, the domain to which these…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-05-08 James A. Duffy

In this article, we introduce a kernel-based consensual aggregation method for regression problems. We aim to flexibly combine individual regression estimators $r_1, r_2, \ldots, r_M$ using a weighted average where the weights are defined…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-29 Sothea Has

In the mean-median-mode triad of univariate centrality measures, the mode has been overlooked for estimating the center of symmetry in continuous and unimodal settings. This paper expands on the connection between kernel mode estimators and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-05 José E. Chacón , Javier Fernández Serrano

We consider the problem of uncertainty quantification for prediction in a time series: if we use past data to forecast the next time point, can we provide valid prediction intervals around our forecasts? To avoid placing distributional…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-13 Rina Foygel Barber , Ashwin Pananjady