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In this paper, we provide a multiscale perspective on the problem of maximum marginal likelihood estimation. We consider and analyse a diffusion-based maximum marginal likelihood estimation scheme using ideas from multiscale dynamics. Our…

Computation · Statistics 2024-06-11 O. Deniz Akyildiz , Michela Ottobre , Iain Souttar

We study asymptotic properties of maximum likelihood estimators of drift parameters for a jump-type Heston model based on continuous time observations, where the jump process can be any purely non-Gaussian L\'evy process of not necessarily…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-08 Matyas Barczy , Mohamed Ben Alaya , Ahmed Kebaier , Gyula Pap

We study the problem of lateral diffusion on a static, quasi-planar surface generated by a stationary, ergodic random field possessing rapid small-scale spatial fluctuations. The aim is to study the effective behaviour of a particle…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-03 A. B. Duncan

Diffusion and rectification of Brownian particles powered by a rotating wheel are numerically investigated in a two-dimensional channel. The nonequilibrium driving comes from the rotating wheel, which can break thermodynamical equilibrium…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-07-24 Bao-quan Ai

A hidden Markov model with trends is a hidden Markov model whose emission distributions are translated by a trend that depends on the current hidden state and on the current time. Contrary to standard hidden Markov models, such processes…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-17 Luc Lehéricy , Augustin Touron

We consider the adaptive test for the parameter change in discretely observed ergodic diffusion processes based on the cusum test. Using two test statistics based on the two quasi-log likelihood functions of the diffusion parameter and the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-30 Yozo Tonaki , Yusuke Kaino , Masayuki Uchida

The purpose of the article is twofold. Firstly, we review some recent results on the maximum likelihood estimation in the regression model of the form $X_t = \theta G(t) + B_t$, where $B$ is a Gaussian process, $G(t)$ is a known function,…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-27 Yuliya Mishura , Kostiantyn Ralchenko , Sergiy Shklyar

The notion of drift refers to the phenomenon that the distribution, which is underlying the observed data, changes over time. Albeit many attempts were made to deal with drift, formal notions of drift are application-dependent and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-05 Fabian Hinder , André Artelt , Barbara Hammer

We investigate the extreme value statistics of a one-dimensional Brownian motion (with the diffusion constant $D$) during a time interval $\left[0, t \right]$ in the presence of a reflective boundary at the origin, starting from a positive…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-01-26 Feng Huang , Hanshuang Chen

An explicit first-order drift-randomized Milstein scheme for a regime switching stochastic differential equation is proposed and its bi-stability and rate of strong convergence are investigated for a non-differentiable drift coefficient.…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-11 Divyanshu Vashistha , Chaman Kumar

This paper solves a Bayes sequential impulse control problem for a diffusion, whose drift has an unobservable parameter with a change point. The partially-observed problem is reformulated into one with full observations, via a change of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-08-19 Lokman A. Abbas-Turki , Ioannis Karatzas , Qinghua Li

This paper investigates a financial market where returns depend on an unobservable Gaussian drift process. While the observation of returns yields information about the underlying drift, we also incorporate discrete-time expert opinions as…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-04 Jörn Sass , Dorothee Westphal , Ralf Wunderlich

Diffusive transport properties of a quantum Brownian particle moving in a tilted spatially periodic potential and strongly interacting with a thermostat are explored. Apart from the average stationary velocity, we foremost investigate the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 L. Machura , M. Kostur , P. Talkner , J. Luczka , P. Hänggi

Transport phenomena are ubiquitous in nature and known to be important for various scientific domains. Examples can be found in physics, electrochemistry, heterogeneous catalysis, physiology, etc. To obtain new information about diffusive…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Denis S. Grebenkov

We construct an estimator of the unknown drift parameter $\theta\in {\mathbb{R}}$ in the linear model \[X_t=\theta t+\sigma_1B^{H_1}(t)+\sigma_2B^{H_2}(t),\;t\in[0,T],\] where $B^{H_1}$ and $B^{H_2}$ are two independent fractional Brownian…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-13 Yuliya Mishura , Ivan Voronov

In this study, we develop a stochastic optimal control approach with reinforcement learning structure to learn the unknown parameters appeared in the drift and diffusion terms of the stochastic differential equation. By choosing an…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-08-22 Shuzhen Yang

Single-molecule localization microscopy allows practitioners to locate and track labeled molecules in biological systems. When extracting diffusion coefficients from the resulting trajectories, it is common practice to perform a linear fit…

Biological Physics · Physics 2024-06-19 Jakob Tómas Bullerjahn , Gerhard Hummer

A Langevin process diffusing in a periodic potential landscape has a time dependent diffusion constant which means that its average mean squared displacement (MSD) only becomes linear at late times. The long time, or effective diffusion…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-19 David S. Dean , Gleb Oshanin

We study one-dimensional stochastic differential equations of form $dX_t = \sigma(X_t)dY_t$, where $Y$ is a suitable H\"older continuous driver such as the fractional Brownian motion $B^H$ with $H>\frac12$. The innovative aspect of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-09 Soledad Torres , Lauri Viitasaari

Among all generalized Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes which sample the same invariant measure and for which the same amount of randomness (a $N$-dimensional Brownian motion) is injected in the system, we prove that the asymptotic rate of…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-07 Arnaud Guillin , Pierre Monmarché