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In the setting of multi-armed trials, adaptive designs are a popular way to increase estimation efficiency, identify optimal treatments, or maximize rewards to individuals. Recent work has considered the case of estimating the effects of K…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-10 Evan T. R. Rosenman , Kristen B. Hunter

We describe a new family of coupling designs, extending the basic principle of stratified randomization to experiments with continuous, constrained multivariate, text/image and other irregular treatment spaces. Our approach is to first…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-14 Max Cytrynbaum , Fredrik Sävje

Clinical trials with time-to-event endpoints, such as overall survival (OS) or progression-free survival (PFS), are fundamental for evaluating new treatments, particularly in immuno-oncology. However, modern therapies, such as…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-10 James Salsbury , Jeremy Oakley , Steven Julious , Lisa Hampson

Background: Screening trials require large sample sizes and long time-horizons to demonstrate mortality reductions. We recently proposed increasing statistical power by testing stored control-arm specimens, called the Intended Effect (IE)…

Applications · Statistics 2024-11-11 Hormuzd A. Katki , Li C. Cheung

We develop a model-based boosting approach for multivariate distributional regression within the framework of generalized additive models for location, scale, and shape. Our approach enables the simultaneous modeling of all distribution…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-19 Annika Strömer , Nadja Klein , Christian Staerk , Hannah Klinkhammer , Andreas Mayr

In applications such as clinical safety analysis, the data of the experiments usually consists of frequency counts. In the analysis of such data, researchers often face the problem of multiple testing based on discrete test statistics,…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-15 Yalin Zhu , Wenge Guo

In a split conformal framework with $K$ classes, a calibration sample of $n$ labeled examples is observed for inference on the label of a new unlabeled example. We explore the setting where a `batch' of $m$ independent such unlabeled…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-19 Ulysse Gazin , Ruth Heller , Etienne Roquain , Aldo Solari

In small sample studies with binary outcome data, use of a normal approximation for hypothesis testing can lead to substantial inflation of the type-I error-rate. Consequently, exact statistical methods are necessitated, and accordingly,…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-29 Michael Grayling , Adrian Mander , James Wason

A test is adaptive when its sequence and number of questions is dynamically tuned on the basis of the estimated skills of the taker. Graphical models, such as Bayesian networks, are used for adaptive tests as they allow to model the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-09-29 Alessandro Antonucci , Francesca Mangili , Claudio Bonesana , Giorgia Adorni

This article discusses $A$-, $D$- and $E$-optimality results for multivariate crossover designs, where more than one response is measured from every period for each subject. The motivation for these multivariate designs comes from a $3…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-22 Shubham Niphadkar , Siuli Mukhopadhyay

Adapting pretrained diffusion models to downstream objectives such as inverse problems often requires expensive test-time guidance or optimization. We propose a principled framework for generating high-quality reward-aligned samples at…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-22 Kushagra Pandey , Farrin Marouf Sofian , Jan Niklas Groeneveld , Felix Draxler , Stephan Mandt

Performance of adaptive control policies is assessed through the regret with respect to the optimal regulator, which reflects the increase in the operating cost due to uncertainty about the dynamics parameters. However, available results in…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2020-03-24 Mohamad Kazem Shirani Faradonbeh , Ambuj Tewari , George Michailidis

We study how to efficiently estimate average treatment effects (ATEs) using adaptive experiments. In adaptive experiments, experimenters sequentially assign treatments to experimental units while updating treatment assignment probabilities…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-21 Masahiro Kato , Takuya Ishihara , Junya Honda , Yusuke Narita

Adaptive therapy improves cancer treatment by controlling the competition between sensitive and resistant cells through treatment holidays. This study highlights the critical role of treatment-holiday thresholds in adaptive therapy for…

Other Quantitative Biology · Quantitative Biology 2025-07-15 Lanfei Sun , Haifeng Zhang , Kai Kang , Xiaoxin Wang , Leyi Zhang , Yanan Cai , Changjing Zhuge , Lei Zhang

We propose a powerful adaptive contrast test with ordinal constraint contrast coefficients determined by observed responses. The adaptive contrast test can perform using easily calculated contrast coefficients and existing statistical…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-23 Masahiro Kojima

Group testing is a well known search problem that consists in detecting the defective members of a set of objects O by performing tests on properly chosen subsets (pools) of the given set O. In classical group testing the goal is to find…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2016-06-13 Annalisa De Bonis

There has been a growing interest in covariate adjustment in the analysis of randomized controlled trials in past years. For instance, the U.S. Food and Drug Administration recently issued guidance that emphasizes the importance of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-12 Kelly Van Lancker , Frank Bretz , Oliver Dukes

With the increasing number of compute components, failures in future exa-scale computer systems are expected to become more frequent. This motivates the study of novel resilience techniques. Here, we extend a recently proposed…

Mathematical Software · Computer Science 2018-04-18 Markus Huber , Ulrich Rüde , Barbara Wohlmuth

Covariate adjustment can enhance precision and power in clinical trials, yet its application to the win odds remains unclear. The win odds is an extension of the win ratio that counts ties as half a win for the treatment and the control…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-08 Cyrill Scheidegger , Simon Wandel , Tobias Mütze

Randomized experiments play a major role in data-driven decision making across many different fields and disciplines. In medicine, for example, randomized controlled trials (RCTs) are the backbone of clinical trial methodology for testing…

Applications · Statistics 2016-08-30 Andrew W. Correia