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Calibration of predicted probabilities is critical for reliable machine learning, yet it is poorly understood how standard training procedures yield well-calibrated models. This work provides the first theoretical proof that canonical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-16 Masahiro Fujisawa , Futoshi Futami

Multivariate imputation by chained equations (MICE) is one of the most popular approaches to address missing values in a data set. This approach requires specifying a univariate imputation model for every variable under imputation. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-01 Edoardo Costantini , Kyle M. Lang , Klaas Sijtsma

Deep neural networks have long been criticized for being black-box. To unveil the inner workings of modern neural architectures, a recent work \cite{yu2024white} proposed an information-theoretic objective function called Sparse Rate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-27 Yunzhe Hu , Difan Zou , Dong Xu

Uncertainty in probabilistic classifiers predictions is a key concern when models are used to support human decision making, in broader probabilistic pipelines or when sensitive automatic decisions have to be taken. Studies have shown that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-09 Nicolas Posocco , Antoine Bonnefoy

Standard supervised classification trains models to imitate the exact labels provided by a perfect oracle. This imitation happens in a single pass, restricting the model to a fixed compute budget even when inputs vary in complexity.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-27 Mahdi Kallel , Johannes Tölle , Ahmed Hendawy , Carlo D'Eramo

We present a novel method for tuning the regularization hyper-parameter, $\lambda$, of a ridge regression that is faster to compute than leave-one-out cross-validation (LOOCV) while yielding estimates of the regression parameters of equal,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-06 Shu Yu Tew , Mario Boley , Daniel F. Schmidt

Comparative evaluation of multiple dynamic treatment policies is essential for healthcare and policy decisions, yet conventional longitudinal causal inference methods estimate each in isolation, preventing information sharing across…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-28 Wenxin Chen , Weishen Pan , Kyra Gan , Fei Wang

The deployment of machine learning classifiers in high-stakes domains requires well-calibrated confidence scores for model predictions. In this paper we introduce the notion of variable-based calibration to characterize calibration…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-07 Markelle Kelly , Padhraic Smyth

We propose regular expression inference (REI) as a challenge for code/language modelling, and the wider machine learning community. REI is a supervised machine learning (ML) and program optimisation task, and poses the problem of finding…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-13 Mojtaba Valizadeh , Philip John Gorinski , Ignacio Iacobacci , Martin Berger

In this article we study the problem of recovering the unknown solution of a linear ill-posed problem, via iterative regularization methods. We review the problem of projection-regularization from a statistical point of view. A basic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Ana K. Fermin , Carenne Ludena

Understanding generalization and estimation error of estimators for simple models such as linear and generalized linear models has attracted a lot of attention recently. This is in part due to an interesting observation made in machine…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-09 Mojtaba Sahraee-Ardakan , Tung Mai , Anup Rao , Ryan Rossi , Sundeep Rangan , Alyson K. Fletcher

We propose a new estimator for the high-dimensional linear regression model with observation error in the design where the number of coefficients is potentially larger than the sample size. The main novelty of our procedure is that the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-09 Alexandre Belloni , Abhishek Kaul , Mathieu Rosenbaum

The notion of generalization in classical Statistical Learning is often attached to the postulate that data points are independent and identically distributed (IID) random variables. While relevant in many applications, this postulate may…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-15 Simon Foucart , Chunyang Liao , Shahin Shahrampour , Yinsong Wang

Instrumental variables estimation with many instruments is biased. Traditional bias-adjustments are closely connected to the Silverstein equation. Based on the theory of random matrices, we show that Ridge estimation of the first-stage…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-08-25 Helmut Farbmacher , Rebecca Groh , Michael Mühlegger , Gabriel Vollert

This paper studies the finite sample performance of the flexible estimation approach of Farrell, Liang, and Misra (2021a), who propose to use deep learning for the estimation of heterogeneous parameters in economic models, in the context of…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-08-20 Stephan Hetzenecker , Maximilian Osterhaus

This paper presents an integrated framework for estimation and inference from generalized linear models using adjusted score equations that result in mean and median bias reduction. The framework unifies theoretical and methodological…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-15 Ioannis Kosmidis , Euloge Clovis Kenne Pagui , Nicola Sartori

High-dimensional statistical inference deals with models in which the the number of parameters p is comparable to or larger than the sample size n. Since it is usually impossible to obtain consistent procedures unless $p/n\rightarrow0$, a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-03-13 Sahand N. Negahban , Pradeep Ravikumar , Martin J. Wainwright , Bin Yu

High-dimensional sparse modeling via regularization provides a powerful tool for analyzing large-scale data sets and obtaining meaningful, interpretable models. The use of nonconvex penalty functions shows advantage in selecting important…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-12 Zemin Zheng , Yingying Fan , Jinchi Lv

In this paper, we study the trace regression when a matrix of parameters B* is estimated via the convex relaxation of a rank-regularized regression or via regularized non-convex optimization. It is known that these estimators satisfy…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-31 Nima Hamidi , Mohsen Bayati

We derive information-theoretic lower bounds on the Bayes risk and generalization error of realizable machine learning models. In particular, we employ an analysis in which the rate-distortion function of the model parameters bounds the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-09 Matthew Nokleby , Ahmad Beirami