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Multivariate Poisson processes have many important applications in Insurance, Finance, and many other areas of Applied Probability. In this paper we study the backward simulation approach to modelling multivariate Poisson processes and…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-30 Michael Chiu , Kenneth R. Jackson , Alexander Kreinin

After a brief review of option pricing theory, we introduce various methods proposed for extracting the statistical information implicit in options prices. We discuss the advantages and drawbacks of each method, the interpretation of their…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Rama Cont

We consider directed weighted graphs and define various families of path counting functions. Our main results are explicit formulas for the main term of the asymptotic growth rate of these counting functions, under some irrationality…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2019-09-26 Avner Kiro , Yotam Smilansky , Uzy Smilansky

Under a generalized skew normal distribution we consider the problem of European option pricing. Existence of the martingale measure is proved. An explicit expression for a given European option price is presented in terms of the cumulative…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2017-08-01 Mahdi Doostparast

In an observed generalized semi-Markov regime, estimation of transition rate of regime switching leads towards calculation of locally risk minimizing option price. Despite the uniform convergence of estimated step function of transition…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2016-09-27 Anindya Goswami , Sanket Nandan

This research presents a novel approach to predicting option movements by analyzing residual transactions, which are trades that deviate from standard hedging activities. Unlike traditional methods that primarily focus on open interest and…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-23 Carl von Havighorst , Vincil Bishop

A method is introduced for studying large deviations in the context of statistical physics of disordered systems. The approach, based on an extension of the cavity method to atypical realizations of the quenched disorder, allows us to…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-11 Olivier Rivoire

Recently, diffusion probabilistic models (DPMs) have achieved promising results in diverse generative tasks. A typical DPM framework includes a forward process that gradually diffuses the data distribution and a reverse process that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Tianyu Pang , Cheng Lu , Chao Du , Min Lin , Shuicheng Yan , Zhijie Deng

In this paper we propose a framework that enables the study of large deviations for point processes based on stationary sequences with regularly varying tails. This framework allows us to keep track not of the magnitude of the extreme…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-08-21 Henrik Hult , Gennady Samorodnitsky

In this paper, in a multivariate setting we derive near optimal rates of convergence in the minimax sense for estimating partial derivatives of the mean function for functional data observed under a fixed synchronous design over H\"older…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-25 Max Berger , Hajo Holzmann

The purpose of the present paper is to establish moderate deviation principles for a rather general class of random variables fulfilling certain bounds of the cumulants. We apply a celebrated lemma of the theory of large deviations…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-09-28 Hanna Doering , Peter Eichelsbacher

We consider a stable but nearly unstable autoregressive process of any order. The bridge between stability and instability is expressed by a time-varying companion matrix $A_{n}$ with spectral radius $\rho(A_{n}) < 1$ satisfying…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-17 Frédéric Proïa

Real data are constrained to finite sampling rates, which calls for a suitable mathematical description of the corrections to the finite-time estimations of the dynamic equations. Often in the literature, lower order discrete time…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-05-13 C. Anteneodo , R. Riera

Instrumental variable methods are often used for parameter estimation in the presence of confounding. They can also be applied in stochastic processes. Instrumental variable analysis exploits moment equations to obtain estimators for causal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-22 Søren Wengel Mogensen

Representations based on random walks can exploit discrete data distributions for clustering and classification. We extend such representations from discrete to continuous distributions. Transition probabilities are now calculated using a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-12-12 Chen-Hsiang Yeang , Martin Szummer

In backward error analysis, an approximate solution to an equation is compared to the exact solution to a nearby modified equation. In numerical ordinary differential equations, the two agree up to any power of the step size. If the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-07-21 Robert I McLachlan , Christian Offen

In this paper, we focus on option pricing models based on space-time fractional diffusion. We briefly revise recent results which show that the option price can be represented in the terms of rapidly converging double-series and apply these…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-04-09 Jean-Philippe Aguilar , Jan Korbel

We apply path integration techniques to obtain option pricing with stochastic volatility using a generalized Black-Scholes equation known as the Merton and Garman equation. We numerically simulate the option prices using the technique of…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Belal E. Baaquie , L. C. Kwek , M. Srikant

An adaptive proximal method for a special class of variational inequalities and related problems is proposed. For example, the so-called mixed variational inequalities and composite saddle problems are considered. Some estimates of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-08-25 Fedor S. Stonyakin

Precise asymptotics for moderate deviation probabilities are established for open convex sets in both the finite- and infinite-dimensional settings. Our results are based on the existence of dominating points for these sets, a related…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-07 Uwe Einmahl , James Kuelbs