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Systems out of equilibrium, in stationary as well as in nonstationary regimes, display a linear response to energy impulses simply expressed as the sum of two specific temporal correlation functions. There is a natural interpretation of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2010-06-16 Marco Baiesi , Christian Maes , Bram Wynants

In this paper, we develop a general theory for the estimation of the transition probabilities of reversible Markov chains using the maximum entropy principle. A broad range of physical models can be studied within this approach. We use…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-14 Erik Van der Straeten

Time-integrated state observables, which quantify the fraction of time spent by the system in a specific pool of states, are important in many fields, such as chemical sensing or the theory of fluorescence spectroscopy. We derive exact…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-02-23 Krzysztof Ptaszynski , Timur Aslyamov , Massimiliano Esposito

Complex systems are often non-stationary, typical indicators are continuously changing statistical properties of time series. In particular, the correlations between different time series fluctuate. Models that describe the multivariate…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2021-05-26 Thomas Guhr , Andreas Schell

A time-dependent finite-state Markov chain that uses doubly stochastic transition matrices, is considered. Entropic quantities that describe the randomness of the probability vectors, and also the randomness of the discrete paths, are…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-03-18 A. Vourdas

In systems of diffusing particles, we investigate large deviations of a time-averaged measure of clustering around one particle. We focus on biased ensembles of trajectories, which realise large-deviation events. The bias acts on a single…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-06-02 Jakub Dolezal , Robert L. Jack

We present the umbrella sampling (US) technique and show that it can be used to sample extremely low probability areas of the posterior distribution that may be required in statistical analyses of data. In this approach sampling of the…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2018-08-15 Charles Matthews , Jonathan Weare , Andrey Kravtsov , Elise Jennings

Many natural systems exhibit dynamics characterized by alternating phases or recurring sets of states. Describing the fluctuations of such systems over stochastic trajectories is necessary across diverse fields, from biological motors to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-12-17 Guilherme Fiusa , Pedro E. Harunari , Abhaya S. Hegde , Gabriel T. Landi

The probability distribution of the total entropy production in the non-equilibrium steady state follows a symmetry relation called the fluctuation theorem. When a certain part of the system is masked or hidden, it is difficult to infer the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-04-29 Deepak Gupta , Sanjib Sabhapandit

Time-homogeneous Markov chains are often used as disease progression models in studies of cost-effectiveness and optimal decision-making. Maximum likelihood estimation of these models can be challenging when data are collected at a time…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-26 Duncan Ermini Leaf

Multitype branching processes (MTBP) model branching structures, where the nodes of the resulting tree are objects of different types. One field of application of such models in biology is in studies of cell proliferation. A sampling scheme…

Computation · Statistics 2012-06-19 Nina Daskalova

We review a recent development at the interface between discrete mathematics on one hand and probability theory and statistics on the other, specifically the use of Markov chains and their boundary theory in connection with the asymptotics…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-03 Rudolf Grübel

To quantify the complexity of a system, entropy-based methods have received considerable critical attentions in real-world data analysis. Among numerous entropy algorithms, amplitude-based formulas, represented by Sample Entropy, suffer…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-01-12 Hongjian Xiao , Danilo P. Mandic

Understanding transport processes in complex nanoscale systems, like ionic conductivities in nanofluidic devices or heat conduction in low dimensional solids, poses the problem of examining fluctuations of currents within nonequilibrium…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2021-08-04 David T. Limmer , Chloe Y. Gao , Anthony R. Poggioli

We study a variable length Markov chain model associated with a group of stationary processes that share the same context tree but each process has potentially different conditional probabilities. We propose a new model selection and…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-01-01 Alexandre Belloni , Roberto I. Oliveira

Predicting how systems respond to external perturbations far from equilibrium remains a fundamental challenge across physics, chemistry, and biology. We present a unified response framework for stochastic Markov dynamics that integrates…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-05-13 Jiming Zheng , Zhiyue Lu

Temporal networks model how the interaction between elements in a complex system evolve over time. Just like complex systems display collective dynamics, here we interpret temporal networks as trajectories performing a collective motion in…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-10-18 Lucas Lacasa , Jorge P. Rodriguez , Victor M. Eguiluz

This article reviews the concepts and methods of variational path sampling. These methods allow computational studies of rare events in systems driven arbitrarily far from equilibrium. Based upon a statistical mechanics of trajectory space…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2025-02-05 Aditya N. Singh , Avishek Das , David T. Limmer

Understanding fluctuations of observables across stochastic trajectories is essential for various fields of research, from quantum thermal machines to biological motors. We introduce a framework to analyze the statistics of counting…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-12-17 Guilherme Fiusa , Pedro E. Harunari , Abhaya S. Hegde , Gabriel T. Landi

We discuss the phenomenon of universal fluctuations in mesoscopic systems and nuclei. For this purpose we use Random Matrix Theory (RMT). The statistical $S$-matrix is used to obtain the physical observables in the case of Quantum Dots,…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2018-05-29 M. S. Hussein , J. G. G. S. Ramos