English
Related papers

Related papers: Efficient construction of Bayes optimal designs fo…

200 papers

Bayesian optimization (BO) is a powerful technology for optimizing noisy expensive-to-evaluate black-box functions, with a broad range of real-world applications in science, engineering, economics, manufacturing, and beyond. In this paper,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-30 Joel A. Paulson , Calvin Tsay

Bayesian optimization (BO) provides a powerful framework for optimizing black-box, expensive-to-evaluate functions. It is therefore an attractive tool for engineering design problems, typically involving multiple objectives. Thanks to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-06 Navid Ansari , Alireza Javanmardi , Eyke Hüllermeier , Hans-Peter Seidel , Vahid Babaei

In many high-throughput experimental design settings, such as those common in biochemical engineering, batched queries are more cost effective than one-by-one sequential queries. Furthermore, it is often not possible to directly choose…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-18 Kevin K. Yang , Yuxin Chen , Alycia Lee , Yisong Yue

In this article, we consider a stochastic numerical simulator to assess the impact of some factors on a phenomenon. The simulator is seen as a black box with inputs and outputs. The quality of a simulation, hereafter referred to as…

Computation · Statistics 2017-07-27 Rémi Stroh , Séverine Demeyer , Nicolas Fischer , Julien Bect , Emmanuel Vazquez

Bayesian optimization (BO) is a principled approach to molecular design tasks. In this paper we explain three pitfalls of BO which can cause poor empirical performance: an incorrect prior width, over-smoothing, and inadequate acquisition…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-26 Austin Tripp , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato

The design of an experiment can be always be considered at least implicitly Bayesian, with prior knowledge used informally to aid decisions such as the variables to be studied and the choice of a plausible relationship between the…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-01-03 David C. Woods , Antony M. Overstall , Maria Adamou , Timothy W. Waite

The past century has seen a steady increase in the need of estimating and predicting complex systems and making (possibly critical) decisions with limited information. Although computers have made possible the numerical evaluation of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-01-13 Houman Owhadi , Clint Scovel

The analysis of computer models can be aided by the construction of surrogate models, or emulators, that statistically model the numerical computer model. Increasingly, computer models are becoming stochastic, yielding different outputs…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-10 Evan Baker , Peter Challenor , Matt Eames

Computer models are widely used to study complex real world physical systems. However, there are major limitations to their direct use including: their complex structure; large numbers of inputs and outputs; and long evaluation times.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-05 Jonathan Owen , Ian Vernon

Bayesian optimization is a sequential method for minimizing objective functions that are expensive to evaluate and about which few assumptions can be made. By using all gathered data to train a Gaussian process model for the function and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-07 Jesse Schneider , William J. Welch

Control algorithms such as model predictive control (MPC) and state estimators rely on a number of different parameters. The performance of the closed loop usually depends on the correct setting of these parameters. Tuning is often done…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-10-15 David Stenger , Muzaffer Ay , Dirk Abel

Integrating measurements and historical data can enhance control systems through learning-based techniques, but ensuring performance and safety is challenging. Robust model predictive control strategies, like stochastic model predictive…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-03-28 J. Pohlodek , H. Alsmeier , B. Morabito , C. Schlauch , A. Savchenko , R. Findeisen

Bayesian optimization is a sample-efficient method for solving expensive, black-box optimization problems. Stochastic programming concerns optimization under uncertainty where, typically, average performance is the quantity of interest. In…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-19 Jack M. Buckingham , Ivo Couckuyt , Juergen Branke

One way to reduce the time of conducting optimization studies is to evaluate designs in parallel rather than just one-at-a-time. For expensive-to-evaluate black-boxes, batch versions of Bayesian optimization have been proposed. They work by…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-04-04 Mickael Binois , Nicholson Collier , Jonathan Ozik

Recent work has shown constrained Bayesian optimization to be a powerful technique for the optimization of industrial processes. In complex manufacturing processes, the possibility to run extensive sequences of experiments with the goal of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-05-12 Xavier Guidetti , Alisa Rupenyan , Lutz Fassl , Majid Nabavi , John Lygeros

Optimal design facilitates intelligent data collection. In this paper, we introduce a fully Bayesian design approach for spatial processes with complex covariance structures, like those typically exhibited in natural ecosystems. Coordinate…

The power system of the future will be governed by complex interactions and non-linear phenomena at small time-scales, that should be studied more and more through computationally expensive software simulations. To solve the abovementioned…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-02-26 Marius Kuhn , Evelyn Heylen , Willem Leterme

Computational models are powerful tools for understanding human cognition and behavior. They let us express our theories clearly and precisely, and offer predictions that can be subtle and often counter-intuitive. However, this same…

In experiments to estimate parameters of a parametric model, Bayesian experiment design allows measurement settings to be chosen based on utility, which is the predicted improvement of parameter distributions due to modeled measurement…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-26 Robert D. McMichael , Sean M. Blakley

Bayesian modelling enables us to accommodate complex forms of data and make a comprehensive inference, but the effect of partial misspecification of the model is a concern. One approach in this setting is to modularize the model, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-18 Yang Liu , Robert J. B. Goudie