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Unmeasured confounding and selection bias are often of concern in observational studies and may invalidate a causal analysis if not appropriately accounted for. Under outcome-dependent sampling, a latent factor that has causal effects on…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-03 Kendrick Qijun Li , Xu Shi , Wang Miao , Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen

Hybrid randomized controlled trials (hybrid RCTs) integrate external control data, such as historical or concurrent data, with data from randomized trials. While numerous frequentist and Bayesian methods, such as the test-then-pool and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-07 Han Chang Chiam , Franz König , Martin Posch

Mendelian randomization (MR) has become an essential tool for causal inference in biomedical and public health research. By using genetic variants as instrumental variables, MR helps address unmeasured confounding and reverse causation,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-04 Minhao Yao , Anqi Wang , Xihao Li , Zhonghua Liu

The intuitive motivation for employing a sibling comparison design is to adjust for confounding that is constant within families. Such confounding can be caused by variables that otherwise might prove difficult to measure, for example…

Human understanding of randomness and variation is shaped by a number of cognitive biases. Here we relate a lesser-known cognitive bias, the "outcome orientation", to medical questions and describe the harm that the outcome orientation can…

Physics Education · Physics 2017-02-20 Parris Taylor Humphrey , Joanna Masel

Suppose we are interested in the effect of variable $X$ on variable $Y$. If $X$ and $Y$ both influence, or are associated with variables that influence, a common outcome, called a collider, then conditioning on the collider (or on a…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-13 Trang Quynh Nguyen , Allan Dafoe , Elizabeth L. Ogburn

Combining patient-level data from clinical trials can connect rare phenomena with clinical endpoints, but statistical techniques applied to a single trial may become problematical when trials are pooled. Estimating the hazard of a binary…

Algorithmic fairness has emphasized the role of biased data in automated decision outcomes. Recently, there has been a shift in attention to sources of bias that implicate fairness in other stages in the ML pipeline. We contend that one…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-09 Jessica Zosa Forde , A. Feder Cooper , Kweku Kwegyir-Aggrey , Chris De Sa , Michael Littman

As statistical classifiers become integrated into real-world applications, it is important to consider not only their accuracy but also their robustness to changes in the data distribution. In this paper, we consider the case where there is…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-01-12 Virgile Landeiro , Aron Culotta

The contribution to an organism's phenotype from one genetic locus may depend upon the status of other loci. Such epistatic interactions among loci are now recognized as fundamental to shaping the process of adaptation in evolving…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-12-18 Jeremy A. Draghi , Joshua B. Plotkin

We consider the problem of variable selection in Bayesian multivariate linear regression models, involving multiple response and predictor variables, under multivariate normal errors. In the absence of a known covariance structure,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-25 Joyee Ghosh , Xun Li

Quantitative research relies heavily on coding, and coding errors are relatively common even in published research. In this paper, we examine whether individuals are more or less likely to check their code depending on the results they…

General Economics · Economics 2025-09-26 Bruno Ferman , Lucas Finamor

A commonly observed pattern in machine learning models is an underprediction of the target feature, with the model's predicted target rate for members of a given category typically being lower than the actual target rate for members of that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-06 Owen O'Neill , Fintan Costello

Mendelian Randomization (MR) is a popular method in epidemiology and genetics that uses genetic variation as instrumental variables for causal inference. Existing MR methods usually assume most genetic variants are valid instrumental…

Applications · Statistics 2022-06-15 Daniel Iong , Qingyuan Zhao , Yang Chen

Nonlinear longitudinal proportional effect models have been proposed to improve power and provide direct estimates of the proportional treatment effect in randomized clinical trials. These models assume a fixed proportional treatment effect…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-23 Michael C. Donohue , Philip S. Insel , Oliver Langford

The discovery of discriminatory bias in human or automated decision making is a task of increasing importance and difficulty, exacerbated by the pervasive use of machine learning and data mining. Currently, discrimination discovery largely…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2019-11-05 Bilal Qureshi , Faisal Kamiran , Asim Karim , Salvatore Ruggieri , Dino Pedreschi

This paper addresses the critical issue of sample selection bias in cross-country comparisons based on international assessments such as the Programme for International Student Assessment (PISA). Although PISA is widely used to benchmark…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-08 Onil Boussim

When estimating population prevalence from a non-random sample, it is important to adjust for differences between sample and population. However, adjustment for multiple factors requires analysis that can be difficult to understand and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-01 Swen Kuh , Lauren Kennedy , Qixuan Chen , Andrew Gelman

Multivariable Mendelian randomization (MVMR) uses genetic variants as instrumental variables to infer the direct effects of multiple exposures on an outcome. However, unlike univariable Mendelian randomization, MVMR often faces greater…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-19 Yinxiang Wu , Hyunseung Kang , Ting Ye

Many causal and structural effects depend on regressions. Examples include policy effects, average derivatives, regression decompositions, average treatment effects, causal mediation, and parameters of economic structural models. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-25 Victor Chernozhukov , Whitney K Newey , Rahul Singh
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