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Kalman filter is a key tool for time-series forecasting and analysis. We show that the dependence of a prediction of Kalman filter on the past is decaying exponentially, whenever the process noise is non-degenerate. Therefore, Kalman filter…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-24 Mark Kozdoba , Jakub Marecek , Tigran Tchrakian , Shie Mannor

In this work, we present methods for state estimation in continuous-discrete nonlinear systems involving stochastic differential equations. We present the extended Kalman filter, the unscented Kalman filter, the ensemble Kalman filter, and…

We present a numerically-stable parallel-in-time linear Kalman smoother. The smoother uses a novel highly-parallel QR factorization for a class of structured sparse matrices for state estimation, and an adaptation of the SelInv…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2025-03-07 Shahaf Gargir , Sivan Toledo

Online estimation of electromechanical oscillation parameters provides essential information to prevent system instability and blackout and helps to identify event categories and locations. We formulate the problem as a state space model…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-06-19 Zhe Yu , Di Shi , Zhiwei Wang , Qibing Zhang , Junhui Huang , Sen Pan

The optimal predictor for a linear dynamical system (with hidden state and Gaussian noise) takes the form of an autoregressive linear filter, namely the Kalman filter. However, a fundamental problem in reinforcement learning and control…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-27 Holden Lee , Cyril Zhang

The controllability of advection-diffusion systems, subject to uncertain initial values and emission rates, is estimated, given sparse and error affected observations of prognostic state variables. In predictive geophysical model systems,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-03-24 Xueran Wu , Hendrik Elbern , Birgit Jacob

A diffusion model of the time evolution of loss rates caused by a step in collimator position is presented. It builds upon the model of Seidel (1994) and its assumptions: (1) constant diffusion rate within the range of the step and (2)…

Accelerator Physics · Physics 2011-09-15 Giulio Stancari

Recently, it has been demonstrated experimentally that adaptive estimation of a continuously varying optical phase provides superior accuracy in the phase estimate compared to static estimation. Here, we show that the mean-square error in…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2012-12-12 Shibdas Roy , Ian R. Petersen , Elanor H. Huntington

We present an advanced thermal response model for micro- and nanomechanical systems in photothermal sensing, designed to balance speed and precision. Our model considers the two time constants of the nanomechanical element and the…

We consider the problem of state estimation in dynamical systems and propose a different mechanism for handling unmodeled system uncertainties. Instead of injecting random process noise, we assign different weights to measurements so that…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-09-08 Yaron Shulami , Daniel Sigalov

The Ensemble Kalman Filter method can be used as an iterative particle numerical scheme for state dynamics estimation and control--to--observable identification problems. In applications it may be required to enforce the solution to satisfy…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-08-26 Michael Herty , Giuseppe Visconti

In this paper, state and noise covariance estimation problems for linear system with unknown multiplicative noise are considered. The measurement likelihood is modelled as a mixture of two Gaussian distributions and a Student's t…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-08-29 Xingkai Yu , Ziyang Meng

Kalman Filter (KF) is an optimal linear state prediction algorithm, with applications in fields as diverse as engineering, economics, robotics, and space exploration. Here, we develop an extension of the KF, called a Pathspace Kalman Filter…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-04-03 Chaitra Agrahar , William Poole , Simone Bianco , Hana El-Samad

Data assimilation schemes are confronted with the presence of model errors arising from the imperfect description of atmospheric dynamics. These errors are usually modeled on the basis of simple assumptions such as bias, white noise, first…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-13 A. Carrassi , S. Vannitsem , C. Nicolis

State-space smoothing has found many applications in science and engineering. Under linear and Gaussian assumptions, smoothed estimates can be obtained using efficient recursions, for example Rauch-Tung-Striebel and Mayne-Fraser algorithms.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-09-27 A. Y. Aravkin , J. V. Burke , L. Ljung , A. Lozano , G. Pillonetto

This paper investigates the distributed Kalman filter (DKF) for linear systems, with specific attention on measurement fusion, which is a typical way of information sharing and is vital for enhancing stability and improving estimation…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-14 Tuo Yang , Jiachen Qian , Zhisheng Duan , Zhiyong Sun

In areas such as finance, engineering, and science, we often face situations that change quickly and unpredictably. These situations are tough to handle and require special tools and methods capable of understanding and predicting what…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-04-23 Wencheng Bao , Shi Feng , Kaiwen Zhang

Differentiable programming, enabled by automatic differentiation (AD), provides a robust framework for gradient-based optimization in computational plasma physics. While optimization is often only used towards design, we demonstrate that it…

Plasma Physics · Physics 2026-03-13 A. S. Joglekar , A. G. R. Thomas , A. L. Milder , K. G. Miller , J. P. Palastro , D. H. Froula

This paper extends the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) for inverse problems to identify trending model coefficients. This is done by repeatedly inflating the ensemble while maintaining the mean of the particles. As a benchmark serves a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-01-30 M. Schwenzer , G. Visconti , M. Ay , T. Bergs , M. Herty , D. Abel

Inferring latent dynamics from multivariate time-series defined over topological cell complexes is crucial for capturing the complex, higher-order interactions inherent in real-world systems such as in water, sensor, and transportation…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-21 Chengen Liu , Rohan Money , Ting Gao , Mohammad Sabbaqi , Baltasar Beferull-Lozano , Elvin Isufi