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We investigate the problem of estimating a smooth invertible transformation f when observing independent samples X_1, ..., X_n ~ P \circ f, where P is a known measure. We focus on the two dimensional case where P and f are defined on R^2.…

Methodology · Statistics 2008-07-16 Ethan Anderes , Marc Coram

Probabilistic image segmentation encodes varying prediction confidence and inherent ambiguity in the segmentation problem. While different probabilistic segmentation models are designed to capture different aspects of segmentation…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-03-31 Steffen Czolbe , Kasra Arnavaz , Oswin Krause , Aasa Feragen

Traditionally, spline or kernel approaches in combination with parametric estimation are used to infer the linear coefficient (fixed effects) in a partially linear mixed-effects model for repeated measurements. Using machine learning…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-03 Corinne Emmenegger , Peter Bühlmann

Although neural networks are powerful function approximators, the underlying modelling assumptions ultimately define the likelihood and thus the hypothesis class they are parameterizing. In classification, these assumptions are minimal as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-24 Maria R. Cervera , Rafael Dätwyler , Francesco D'Angelo , Hamza Keurti , Benjamin F. Grewe , Christian Henning

The Lasso is biased. Concave penalized least squares estimation (PLSE) takes advantage of signal strength to reduce this bias, leading to sharper error bounds in prediction, coefficient estimation and variable selection. For prediction and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-29 Long Feng , Cun-Hui Zhang

We give a statement on extension with estimates of convex functions defined on a linear subspace, inspired by similar extension results concerning metrics on positive line bundles

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2008-06-10 Bo Berndtsson

This paper studies the asymptotic behavior of penalized spline estimates of derivatives. In particular, we show that simply differentiating the penalized spline estimator of the mean regression function itself to estimate the corresponding…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-24 Bright Antwi Boasiako , John Staudenmayer

Despite substantial improvement in the development of forecasting approaches, conditional and dynamic uncertainty estimates ought to be accommodated in decision-making in power system operation and market, in order to yield either…

Applications · Statistics 2018-08-20 Faranak Golestaneh , Pierre Pinson , Hoay Beng Gooi

This paper deals with the problem of accurately determining guaranteed suboptimal values of an unknown cost function on the basis of noisy measurements. We consider a set-valued variant to regression where, instead of finding a best…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-07-29 Jaap Eising , Jorge Cortes

Sparse estimation methods are aimed at using or obtaining parsimonious representations of data or models. They were first dedicated to linear variable selection but numerous extensions have now emerged such as structured sparsity or kernel…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2011-11-24 Francis Bach , Rodolphe Jenatton , Julien Mairal , Guillaume Obozinski

Uncertainty quantification is a key pillar of trustworthy machine learning. It enables safe reactions under unsafe inputs, like predicting only when the machine learning model detects sufficient evidence, discarding anomalous data, or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-27 Michael Kirchhof

We construct valuations on the space of finite-valued convex functions using integration of differential forms over the differential cycle associated to a convex function. We describe the kernel of this procedure and show that the…

Metric Geometry · Mathematics 2021-10-18 Jonas Knoerr

Mixed-effect models are very popular for analyzing data with a hierarchical structure, e.g. repeated observations within subjects in a longitudinal design, patients nested within centers in a multicenter design. However, recently, due to…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-09 Abhik Ghosh , Magne Thoresen

This paper proposes a new approach to address the problem of unmeasured confounding in spatial designs. Spatial confounding occurs when some confounding variables are unobserved and not included in the model, leading to distorted…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-05 Carlo Zaccardi , Pasquale Valentini , Luigi Ippoliti , Alexandra M. Schmidt

We derive an exact and efficient Bayesian regression algorithm for piecewise constant functions of unknown segment number, boundary location, and levels. It works for any noise and segment level prior, e.g. Cauchy which can handle outliers.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Marcus Hutter

In this paper we provide a priori error estimates with explicit constants for both the $L^2$-projection and the Ritz projection onto spline spaces of arbitrary smoothness defined on arbitrary grids. This extends the results recently…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-02-06 Espen Sande , Carla Manni , Hendrik Speleers

Nonconvex penalty methods for sparse modeling in linear regression have been a topic of fervent interest in recent years. Herein, we study a family of nonconvex penalty functions that we call the trimmed Lasso and that offers exact control…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-16 Dimitris Bertsimas , Martin S. Copenhaver , Rahul Mazumder

From an optimizer's perspective, achieving the global optimum for a general nonconvex problem is often provably NP-hard using the classical worst-case analysis. In the case of Cox's proportional hazards model, by taking its statistical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-07 Jianqing Fan , Wenyan Gong , Qiang Sun

The smooth piecewise-linear models cover a wide range of applications nowadays. Basically, there are two classes of them: models are transitional or hyperbolic according to their behaviour at the phase-transition zones. This study explored…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-17 Ferreira , Iuri Emmanuel de Paula , Zocchi , Silvio Sandoval

Multilinear embedding estimates for the fractional Laplacian are obtained in terms of functionals defined over a hyperbolic surface. Convolution estimates used in the proof enlarge the classical framework of the convolution algebra for…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2012-04-26 William Beckner