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Evaluating mathematical reasoning in LLMs is constrained by limited benchmark sizes and inherent model stochasticity, yielding high-variance accuracy estimates and unstable rankings across platforms. On difficult problems, an LLM may fail…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-04 Zihan Dong , Zhixian Zhang , Yang Zhou , Can Jin , Ruijia Wu , Linjun Zhang

The predictions of mean-field electrodynamics can now be probed using direct numerical simulations of random flows and magnetic fields. When modelling astrophysical MHD, it is important to verify that such simulations are in agreement with…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-09-12 Irina Makarenko , Paul Bushby , Andrew Fletcher , Robin Henderson , Nikolay Makarenko , Anvar Shukurov

The statistical problem of parameter estimation in partially observed hypoelliptic diffusion processes is naturally occurring in many applications. However, due to the noise structure, where the noise components of the different coordinates…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-11-13 Susanne Ditlevsen , Adeline Samson

We introduce estimation and test procedures through divergence minimization for models satisfying linear constraints with unknown parameter. Several statistical examples and motivations are given. These procedures extend the empirical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-11-24 Michel Broniatowski , Amor Keziou

This work studies the problem of time series analysis with generalist (or foundation) models, which are models trained across many data domains. Drawing inspiration from the widespread success of large language models, we consider the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-03 Sabera Talukder , Yisong Yue , Georgia Gkioxari

It is of importance to develop statistical techniques to analyze high-dimensional data in the presence of both complex dependence and possible outliers in real-world applications such as imaging data analyses. We propose a new robust…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-01 Bingyuan Liu , Qi Zhang , Lingzhou Xue , Peter X. K. Song , Jian Kang

This article deals with the analysis of high dimensional data that come from multiple sources (experiments) and thus have different possibly correlated responses, but share the same set of predictors. The measurements of the predictors may…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-01 Guorong Dai , Ursula U. Müller , Raymond J. Carroll

Accounting for both rare events and complex sampling presents challenges when quantifying uncertainty for rate estimation in autonomous vehicle performance evaluation. In this paper, we introduce a statistical formulation of this problem…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-07 Aiyou Chen , Ruixuan Rachel Zhou , Joseph J. Lee , Nicholas Chamandy , Henning Hohnhold

Pursuing invariant prediction from heterogeneous environments opens the door to learning causality in a purely data-driven way and has several applications in causal discovery and robust transfer learning. However, existing methods such as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-30 Yihong Gu , Cong Fang , Yang Xu , Zijian Guo , Jianqing Fan

Terahertz Time Domain Spectroscopy (THz-TDS) systems have emerged as mature technologies with significant potential across various research fields and industries. However, the lack of standardized methods for signal and noise estimation and…

The random coefficients model is an extension of the linear regression model that allows for unobserved heterogeneity in the population by modeling the regression coefficients as random variables. Given data from this model, the statistical…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-03-15 Fabian Dunker , Konstantin Eckle , Katharina Proksch , Johannes Schmidt-Hieber

Analysis of low-degree polynomial algorithms is a powerful, newly-popular method for predicting computational thresholds in hypothesis testing problems. One limitation of current techniques for this analysis is their restriction to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-10 Dmitriy Kunisky

Motivated by applications in high-dimensional data analysis where strong signals often stand out easily and weak ones may be indistinguishable from the noise, we develop a statistical framework to provide a novel categorization of the data…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-05-02 X. Jessie Jeng

We develop a new tool, the time inhomogeneous Poisson equation in the whole space and with a terminal condition at infinity, to study the asymptotic behavior of the non-autonomous multi-scale stochastic system with irregular coefficients,…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-13 Ling Wang , Pengcheng Xia , Longjie Xie , Li Yang

This note presents a unified analysis of the identification of dynamical systems with low-rank constraints under high-dimensional scaling. This identification problem for dynamic systems are challenging due to the intrinsic dependency of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-23 Junlin Li

Hierarchical inference in (generalized) regression problems is powerful for finding significant groups or even single covariates, especially in high-dimensional settings where identifiability of the entire regression parameter vector may be…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-22 Claude Renaux , Peter Bühlmann

We show how to deal with uncertainties on the Standard Model predictions in an agnostic new physics search strategy that exploits artificial neural networks. Our approach builds directly on the specific Maximum Likelihood ratio treatment of…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2021-11-29 Raffaele Tito d'Agnolo , Gaia Grosso , Maurizio Pierini , Andrea Wulzer , Marco Zanetti

In this paper, we consider inference and uncertainty quantification for low Tucker rank tensors with additive noise in the high-dimensional regime. Focusing on the output of the higher-order orthogonal iteration (HOOI) algorithm, a commonly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-10 Joshua Agterberg , Anru Zhang

This work is devoted to studying normally hyperbolic invariant manifolds (NHIMs) for a class of quasi-periodically forced systems subject to additional stochastic noise. These systems can be understood as skew-product systems. The existence…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-03-18 Pingyuan Wei , Lei Zhang

Shape-valued data are of interest in applied sciences, particularly in medical imaging. In this paper, inspired by a specific medical imaging example, we introduce a hypothesis testing method via the smooth Euler characteristic transform to…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-15 Jinyu Wang , Kun Meng , Fenghai Duan