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In the realm of Mobility-on-Demand (MoD) systems, the forecasting of rider demand is a cornerstone for operational decision-making and system optimization. Traditional forecasting methodologies primarily yield point estimates, thereby…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-06 Xiaoming Li , Hubert Normandin-Taillon , Chun Wang , Xiao Huang

Accurate demand forecasting is crucial for optimizing supply chain management. Traditional methods often fail to capture complex patterns from seasonal variability and special events. Despite advancements in deep learning, interpretable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Md Abrar Jahin , Asef Shahriar , Md Al Amin

X-ray reflectivity (XRR) is widely used for thin-film structure analysis, and XRR data analysis involves minimizing the difference between an XRR curve calculated from model parameters describing the thin-film structure. This analysis takes…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2022-03-31 Kook Tae Kim , Dong Ryeol Lee

Neural networks offer a versatile, flexible and accurate approach to loss reserving. However, such applications have focused primarily on the (important) problem of fitting accurate central estimates of the outstanding claims. In practice,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-09 Muhammed Taher Al-Mudafer , Benjamin Avanzi , Greg Taylor , Bernard Wong

Neural networks excel in detecting regular patterns but are less successful in representing and manipulating complex data structures, possibly due to the lack of an external memory. This has led to the recent development of a new line of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-11-29 Trang Pham , Truyen Tran , Svetha Venkatesh

While mixture density networks (MDNs) have been extensively used for regression tasks, they have not been used much for classification tasks. One reason for this is that the usability of MDNs for classification is not clear and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-09 Narendhar Gugulothu , Sanjay P. Bhat , Tejas Bodas

E-commerce websites such as Amazon, Alibaba, Flipkart, and Walmart sell billions of products. Machine learning (ML) algorithms involving products are often used to improve the customer experience and increase revenue, e.g., product…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-09-25 Arijit Biswas , Mukul Bhutani , Subhajit Sanyal

This paper presents a comprehensive study on stock price prediction, leveragingadvanced machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) techniques to improve financial forecasting accuracy. The research evaluates the performance of various…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-25 Daksh Dave , Gauransh Sawhney , Vikhyat Chauhan

This work aims to implement Long Short-Term Memory mixture density networks (LSTM-MDNs) for Value-at-Risk forecasting and compare their performance with established models (historical simulation, CMM, and GARCH) using a defined backtesting…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-01-03 Nico Herrig

This paper investigates two prominent probabilistic neural modeling paradigms: Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) and Mixture Density Networks (MDNs) for uncertainty-aware nonlinear regression. While BNNs incorporate epistemic uncertainty by…

Computation · Statistics 2025-10-30 Riddhi Pratim Ghosh , Ian Barnett

Although Recurrent Neural Network (RNN) has been a powerful tool for modeling sequential data, its performance is inadequate when processing sequences with multiple patterns. In this paper, we address this challenge by introducing a novel…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-28 Kui Zhao , Yuechuan Li , Chi Zhang , Cheng Yang , Huan Xu

One key requirement for effective supply chain management is the quality of its inventory management. Various inventory management methods are typically employed for different types of products based on their demand patterns, product…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-17 Elham Taghizadeh

Using the shared-private paradigm and adversarial training has significantly improved the performances of multi-domain text classification (MDTC) models. However, there are two issues for the existing methods. First, instances from the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-02-02 Yuan Wu , Diana Inkpen , Ahmed El-Roby

Predicting smartphone users activity using WiFi fingerprints has been a popular approach for indoor positioning in recent years. However, such a high dimensional time-series prediction problem can be very tricky to solve. To address this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-22 Weizhu Qian , Fabrice Lauri , Franck Gechter

Gaining a better understanding of how and what machine learning systems learn is important to increase confidence in their decisions and catalyze further research. In this paper, we analyze the predictions made by a specific type of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-24 Kai Olav Ellefsen , Charles Patrick Martin , Jim Torresen

The recent introduction of Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) and their growing popularity in the past few years has enabled the application of deep learning algorithms to non-Euclidean, graph-structured data. GNNs have achieved state-of-the-art…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-27 Tuomas P. Oikarinen , Daniel C. Hannah , Sohrob Kazerounian

The rapid advancement of models based on artificial intelligence demands innovative monitoring techniques which can operate in real time with low computational costs. In machine learning, especially if we consider artificial neural networks…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-10 Anna Malinovskaya , Pavlo Mozharovskyi , Philipp Otto

While several methods for predicting uncertainty on deep networks have been recently proposed, they do not readily translate to large and complex datasets. In this paper we utilize a simplified form of the Mixture Density Networks (MDNs) to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-05 Nicholas Wilkins , Michael Johnson , Ifeoma Nwogu

We present a neural network for predicting purchasing intent in an Ecommerce setting. Our main contribution is to address the significant investment in feature engineering that is usually associated with state-of-the-art methods such as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-07-24 Humphrey Sheil , Omer Rana , Ronan Reilly

Many important NLP problems can be posed as dual-sequence or sequence-to-sequence modeling tasks. Recent advances in building end-to-end neural architectures have been highly successful in solving such tasks. In this work we propose a new…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2016-06-15 Dirk Weissenborn
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