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The observation and description of collective excitations in solids is a fundamental issue when seeking to understand the physics of a many-body system. Analysis of these excitations is usually carried out by measuring the dynamical…

Data-driven modeling is useful for reconstructing nonlinear dynamical systems when the underlying process is unknown or too expensive to compute. Having reliable uncertainty assessment of the forecast enables tools to be deployed to predict…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-01 Mengyang Gu , Yizi Lin , Victor Chang Lee , Diana Qiu

Sensitivity analysis (SA) and uncertainty quantification (UQ) are used to assess and improve engineering models. In this study, various methods of SA and UQ are described and applied in theoretical and practical examples for use in energy…

Applications · Statistics 2022-07-07 Majdi I. Radaideh , Mohammad I. Radaideh

Machine learning methods for the construction of data-driven reduced order model models are used in an increasing variety of engineering domains, especially as a supplement to expensive computational fluid dynamics for design problems. An…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-28 Stephen Guth , Alireza Mojahed , Themistoklis P. Sapsis

Predictive estimation, which comprises model calibration, model prediction, and validation, is a common objective when performing inverse uncertainty quantification (UQ) in diverse scientific applications. These techniques typically require…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-07-17 Ningxin Yang , Truong Le , Lidija Zdravković , David M. Potts

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) tasks, such as sensitivity analysis and parameter estimation, entail a huge computational complexity when dealing with input-output maps involving the solution of nonlinear differential problems, because of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-02-17 Ludovica Cicci , Stefania Fresca , Mengwu Guo , Andrea Manzoni , Paolo Zunino

This work presents novel extensions for combining two frameworks for quantifying both aleatoric (i.e., irreducible) and epistemic (i.e., reducible) sources of uncertainties in the modeling of engineered systems. The data-consistent (DC)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-07 Taylor Roper , Harri Hakula , Troy Butler

Networked dynamical systems are common throughout science in engineering; e.g., biological networks, reaction networks, power systems, and the like. For many such systems, nonlinearity drives populations of identical (or near-identical)…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-02-10 James Koch , Zhao Chen , Aaron Tuor , Jan Drgona , Draguna Vrabie

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) is a crucial but challenging task in many high-dimensional regression or learning problems to increase the confidence of a given predictor. We develop a new data-driven approach for UQ in regression that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-19 Frederik Hoppe , Claudio Mayrink Verdun , Hannah Laus , Felix Krahmer , Holger Rauhut

The estimation of uncertainties associated with predictions from quantitative structure-activity relationship (QSAR) models can accelerate the drug discovery process by identifying promising experiments and allowing an efficient allocation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-07 Hannah Rosa Friesacher , Emma Svensson , Susanne Winiwarter , Lewis Mervin , Adam Arany , Ola Engkvist

Neural ordinary differential equations (ODEs) are an emerging class of deep learning models for dynamical systems. They are particularly useful for learning an ODE vector field from observed trajectories (i.e., inverse problems). We here…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-23 Katharina Ott , Michael Tiemann , Philipp Hennig

We propose a probabilistic model discovery method for identifying ordinary differential equations (ODEs) governing the dynamics of observed multivariate data. Our method is based on the sparse identification of nonlinear dynamics (SINDy)…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-07-06 Seth M. Hirsh , David A. Barajas-Solano , J. Nathan Kutz

Reliability-based design optimization (RBDO) approaches aim to identify the best design of an engineering problem, whilst the probability of failure (PoF) remains below an acceptable value. Thus, the incorporation of the sharpest bounds on…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-03-18 Niklas Miska , Daniel Balzani

This work presents a non-intrusive model reduction method to learn low-dimensional models of dynamical systems with non-polynomial nonlinear terms that are spatially local and that are given in analytic form. In contrast to state-of-the-art…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-10-28 Peter Benner , Pawan Goyal , Boris Kramer , Benjamin Peherstorfer , Karen Willcox

Simulating complex physical systems is crucial for understanding and predicting phenomena across diverse fields, such as fluid dynamics and heat transfer, as well as plasma physics and structural mechanics. Traditional approaches rely on…

We present a new scientific machine learning method that learns from data a computationally inexpensive surrogate model for predicting the evolution of a system governed by a time-dependent nonlinear partial differential equation (PDE), an…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-02-28 Elizabeth Qian , Ionut-Gabriel Farcas , Karen Willcox

It is necessary to estimate the expected energy usage of a building to determine how to reduce energy usage. The expected energy usage of a building can be reliably simulated using a Building Energy Model (BEM). Many of the numerous input…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2020-04-21 Arpan Mukherjee , Anna Kuechle Szweda , Andrew Alegria , Rahul Rai , Tarunraj Singh

In a recent preprint (arXiv:1211.4285v1) we addressed the problem of constructing reduced models for time-dependent systems described by differential equations which involve uncertain parameters. In the current work, we focus on the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2013-01-01 Panagiotis Stinis

We present a framework for learning of modeling uncertainties in Linear Time Invariant (LTI) systems. We propose a methodology to extend the dynamics of an LTI (without uncertainty) with an uncertainty model, based on measured data, to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-11-01 Farhad Ghanipoor , Carlos Murguia , Peyman Mohajerin Esfahani , Nathan van de Wouw

In this work, we focus on reduced order modeling (ROM) techniques for hyperbolic conservation laws with application in uncertainty quantification (UQ) and in conjunction with the well-known Monte Carlo sampling method. Because we are…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-08-13 R. Crisovan , D. Torlo , R. Abgrall , S. Tokareva