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This paper presents a probabilistic approach to represent and quantify model-form uncertainties in the reduced-order modeling of complex systems using operator inference techniques. Such uncertainties can arise in the selection of an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-08 Jin Yi Yong , Rudy Geelen , Johann Guilleminot

Predicting the behavior of complex systems in engineering often involves significant uncertainty about operating conditions, such as external loads, environmental effects, and manufacturing variability. As a result, uncertainty…

Computation · Statistics 2025-07-17 S. Marelli , S. Schär , B. Sudret

Structural dynamics models with nonlinear stiffness appear, for example, when analyzing systems with nonlinear material behavior or undergoing large deformations. For complex systems, these models become too large for real-time applications…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Pascal den Boef , Diana Manvelyan , Joseph Maubach , Wil Schilders , Nathan van de Wouw

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) is the process of systematically determining and characterizing the degree of confidence in computational model predictions. In the context of systems biology, especially with dynamic models, UQ is crucial…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-29 Alberto Portela , Julio R. Banga , Marcos Matabuena

Spatiotemporally chaotic systems, such as the solutions of some nonlinear partial differential equations, are dynamical systems that evolve toward a lower dimensional manifold. This manifold has an intricate geometry with heterogeneous…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-06-17 Antonio Colanera , Luca Magri

Reduced-order models (ROMs) can efficiently simulate high-dimensional physical systems but lack robust uncertainty quantification methods. Existing approaches are frequently architecture- or training-specific, which limits flexibility and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Jonas E. Katona , Emily K. de Jong , Nipun Gunawardena

Mechanical systems are often characterized only by their response to certain loads known from experiments or simulations. The obtained data can be used for various purposes: system analysis, design of mathematical models, or construction of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-01-05 Yevgeniya Filanova , Igor Pontes Duff , Pawan Goyal , Peter Benner

With the increased prevalence of neural operators being used to provide rapid solutions to partial differential equations (PDEs), understanding the accuracy of model predictions and the associated error levels is necessary for deploying…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-26 Nick Winovich , Mitchell Daneker , Lu Lu , Guang Lin

Neural operators (NOs) provide fast, resolution-invariant surrogates for mapping input fields to PDE solution fields, but their predictions can exhibit significant epistemic uncertainty due to finite data, imperfect optimization, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-13 Haoze Song , Zhihao Li , Mengyi Deng , Xin Li , Duyi Pan , Zhilu Lai , Wei Wang

Models are often given in terms of differential equations to represent physical systems. In the presence of uncertainty, accurate prediction of the behavior of these systems using the models requires understanding the effect of uncertainty…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-08-12 Subhayan De

Scientific machine learning for inferring dynamical systems combines data-driven modeling, physics-based modeling, and empirical knowledge. It plays an essential role in engineering design and digital twinning. In this work, we primarily…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-09 Pawan Goyal , Igor Pontes Duff , Peter Benner

A machine-learning-based framework for modeling the error introduced by surrogate models of parameterized dynamical systems is proposed. The framework entails the use of high-dimensional regression techniques (e.g., random forests, LASSO)…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2017-06-02 Sumeet Trehan , Kevin Carlberg , Louis J. Durlofsky

Model-order reduction techniques allow the construction of low-dimensional surrogate models that can accelerate engineering design processes. Often, these techniques are intrusive, meaning that they require direct access to underlying…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-08-16 Yevgeniya Filanova , Igor Pontes Duff , Pawan Goyal , Peter Benner

Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) is an essential step in computational model validation because assessment of the model accuracy requires a concrete, quantifiable measure of uncertainty in the model predictions. The concept of UQ in the…

Applications · Statistics 2023-03-24 Xu Wu , Ziyu Xie , Farah Alsafadi , Tomasz Kozlowski

Computational molecular modeling and visualization has seen significant progress in recent years with sev- eral molecular modeling and visualization software systems in use today. Nevertheless the molecular biology community lacks…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2016-05-20 Muhibur Rasheed , Nathan Clement , Abhishek Bhowmick , Chandrajit Bajaj

Existing work in scientific machine learning (SciML) has shown that data-driven learning of solution operators can provide a fast approximate alternative to classical numerical partial differential equation (PDE) solvers. Of these, Neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-13 S. Chandra Mouli , Danielle C. Maddix , Shima Alizadeh , Gaurav Gupta , Andrew Stuart , Michael W. Mahoney , Yuyang Wang

We consider the problem of modeling heterogeneous materials where micro-scale dynamics and interactions affect global behavior. In the presence of heterogeneities in material microstructure it is often impractical, if not impossible, to…

Materials Science · Physics 2022-11-03 Yiming Fan , Marta D'Elia , Yue Yu , Habib N. Najm , Stewart Silling

Turbulence poses challenges for numerical simulation due to its chaotic, multiscale nature and high computational cost. Traditional turbulence modeling often struggles with accuracy and long-term stability. Recent scientific machine…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-03-06 Xintong Zou , Zhijie Li , Yunpeng Wang , Huiyu Yang , Jianchun Wang

Turbulent dynamical systems characterized by both a high-dimensional phase space and a large number of instabilities are ubiquitous among many complex systems in science and engineering. The existence of a strange attractor in the turbulent…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2018-02-23 Andrew J. Majda , Di Qi

Reduced-order modeling has a long tradition in computational fluid dynamics. The ever-increasing significance of data for the synthesis of low-order models is well reflected in the recent successes of data-driven approaches such as Dynamic…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-12-09 Peter Benner , Pawan Goyal , Jan Heiland , Igor Pontes Duff
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