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We propose a setup for fractionally cointegrated time series which is formulated in terms of latent integrated and short-memory components. It accommodates nonstationary processes with different fractional orders and cointegration of…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-01-30 Tobias Hartl , Roland Weigand

The prevalence of spatially referenced multivariate data has impelled researchers to develop a procedure for the joint modeling of multiple spatial processes. This ordinarily involves modeling marginal and cross-process dependence for any…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-10 Ghulam A. Qadir , Ying Sun

This paper reviews a class of univariate piecewise polynomial functions known as discrete splines, which share properties analogous to the better-known class of spline functions, but where continuity in derivatives is replaced by (a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-26 Ryan J. Tibshirani

In this paper, we focus on option pricing models based on space-time fractional diffusion. We briefly revise recent results which show that the option price can be represented in the terms of rapidly converging double-series and apply these…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-04-09 Jean-Philippe Aguilar , Jan Korbel

Many systems arising in biological applications are subject to periodic forcing. In these systems the forcing parameter is not only time-varying but also known to have a periodic structure. We present an approach to estimating periodic,…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2019-11-25 Andrea Arnold , Alun L. Lloyd

Predicting multivariate time series is crucial, demanding precise modeling of intricate patterns, including inter-series dependencies and intra-series variations. Distinctive trend characteristics in each time series pose challenges, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-08 Guoqi Yu , Jing Zou , Xiaowei Hu , Angelica I. Aviles-Rivero , Jing Qin , Shujun Wang

We develop a generalization of unobserved components models that allows for a wide range of long-run dynamics by modelling the permanent component as a fractionally integrated process. The model does not require stationarity and can be cast…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-05-22 Tobias Hartl , Rolf Tschernig , Enzo Weber

We consider two type of systems, a linear singular discrete time system and a linear singular fractional discrete time system whose coefficients are square constant matrices. By assuming that the input vector changes only at equally space…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-12-16 Nicholas Apostolopoulos , Fernando Ortega , Grigoris Kalogeropoulos

We propose a new nonparametric procedure for the detection and estimation of multiple structural breaks in the autocovariance function of a multivariate (second- order) piecewise stationary process, which also identifies the components of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-09-06 Philip Preuß , Ruprecht Puchstein , Holger Dette

Single-index models or time-to-event models are frequently applied in empirical research. These models are non-identifiable in presence of unknown (dependent) censoring or competing risks and do not give informative results in empirical…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-25 Jia-Han Shih , Simon M. S. Lo , Ralf A. Wilke

By considering special sampling of discrete scale invariant (DSI) processes we provide a sequence which is in correspondence to multi-dimensional self-similar process. By imposing Markov property we show that the covariance functions of…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-11 N. Modarresi , S. Rezakhah

Fractional, anomalous diffusion in space-periodic potentials is investigated. The analytical solution for the effective, fractional diffusion coefficient in an arbitrary periodic potential is obtained in closed form in terms of two…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-02-02 E. Heinsalu , M. Patriarca , I. Goychuk , P. Hanggi

This paper revisits the definition of linear time-invariant (LTI) stochastic process within a behavioral systems framework. Building on [Willems, 2013], we derive a canonical representation of an LTI stochastic process and a physically…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-04-10 Giacomo Baggio , Rodolphe Sepulchre

This article introduces autocorrelograms for time series of point processes. Such time series usually arise when a longer temporal or spatio-temporal point process is sliced into smaller time units; for example, when an annual process is…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-25 Daniel Gervini

Many real-world systems modeled using differential equations involve unknown or uncertain parameters. Standard approaches to address parameter estimation inverse problems in this setting typically focus on estimating constants; yet some…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-03-25 Anna Fitzpatrick , Molly Folino , Andrea Arnold

The paper obtains the general form of the cross-covariance function of vector fractional Brownian motion with correlated components having different self-similarity indices.

Probability · Mathematics 2009-10-20 Frédéric Lavancier , Anne Philippe , Donatas Surgailis

We construct fractionally integrated continuous-time GARCH models, which capture the observed long range dependence of squared volatility in high-frequency data. Since the usual Molchan-Golosov and Mandelbrot-van-Ness fractional kernels…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-01 Stephan Haug , Claudia Klüppelberg , German Straub

This paper proposes a physical-statistical modeling approach for spatio-temporal data arising from a class of stochastic convection-diffusion processes. Such processes are widely found in scientific and engineering applications where…

Applications · Statistics 2020-08-07 Xiao Liu , Kyongmin Yeo , Siyuan Lu

Looped-functionals have been shown to be relevant for the analysis of a wide variety of systems. However, the conditions obtained in previous works on the analysis of sampled-data, impulsive and switched systems have only been shown to be…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-01-06 Corentin Briat , Alexandre Seuret

This paper deals with the identification of the multivariate fractional Brownian motion, a recently developed extension of the fractional Brownian motion to the multivariate case. This process is a $p$-multivariate self-similar Gaussian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-11-16 Pierre-Olivier Amblard , Jean-François Coeurjolly