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Recent advances in learning dynamical systems from data have shown significant promise. However, many existing methods assume access to the full state of the system -- an assumption that is rarely satisfied in practice, where systems are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Thibault Monsel , Onofrio Semeraro , Lionel Mathelin , Guillaume Charpiat

The Dynamic-Mode Decomposition (DMD) is a well established data-driven method of finding temporally evolving linear-mode decompositions of nonlinear time series. Traditionally, this method presumes that all relevant dimensions are sampled…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-01-13 Christopher W. Curtis , Daniel Jay Alford-Lago

A general approach to provide approximate parameterizations of the "small" scales by the "large" ones, is developed for stochastic partial differential equations driven by linear multiplicative noise. This is accomplished via the concept of…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2013-10-16 Mickael D. Chekroun , Honghu Liu , Shouhong Wang

Orthogonal polynomial approximations form the foundation to a set of well-established methods for uncertainty quantification known as polynomial chaos. These approximations deliver models for emulating physical systems in a variety of…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2022-03-23 Chun Yui Wong , Pranay Seshadri , Andrew B. Duncan , Ashley Scillitoe , Geoffrey Parks

In real-life temporal scenarios, uncertainty and preferences are often essential and coexisting aspects. We present a formalism where quantitative temporal constraints with both preferences and uncertainty can be defined. We show how three…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-04-12 F. Rossi , K. B. Venable , N. Yorke-Smith

Robust optimization is a tractable and expressive technique for decision-making under uncertainty, but it can lead to overly conservative decisions when pessimistic assumptions are made on the uncertain parameters. Wasserstein…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-07 Irina Wang , Cole Becker , Bart Van Parys , Bartolomeo Stellato

A classical reduced order model for dynamical problems involves spatial reduction of the problem size. However, temporal reduction accompanied by the spatial reduction can further reduce the problem size without losing accuracy much, which…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-10-04 Youngsoo Choi , Peter Brown , Bill Arrighi , Robert Anderson

Data-driven techniques have emerged as a promising alternative to traditional numerical methods for solving PDEs. For time-dependent PDEs, many approaches are Markovian -- the evolution of the trained system only depends on the current…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-25 Ricardo Buitrago Ruiz , Tanya Marwah , Albert Gu , Andrej Risteski

Mathematical models are essential for understanding and making predictions about systems arising in nature and engineering. Yet, mathematical models are a simplification of true phenomena, thus making predictions subject to uncertainty.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-03-03 Mark Hobbs , Hussein Rappel , Tim Dodwell

In this paper, we concentrate on the backward error and condition number of the indefinite least squares problem. For the normwise backward error of the indefinite least square problem, we adopt the linearization method to derive the tight…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-12-21 Huai-An Diao , Tong-Yu Zhou

We present a novel physics-constrained polynomial chaos expansion as a surrogate modeling method capable of performing both scientific machine learning (SciML) and uncertainty quantification (UQ) tasks. The proposed method possesses a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-14 Himanshu Sharma , Lukáš Novák , Michael D. Shields

In the context of structured nonconvex optimization, we estimate the increase in minimum value for a decision that is robust to parameter perturbations as compared to the value of a nominal problem. The estimates rely on detailed…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-11-22 Johannes O. Royset

Constructing uncertainty sets as unions of multiple subsets has emerged as an effective approach for creating compact and flexible uncertainty representations in data-driven robust optimization (RO). This paper focuses on two separate…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-02-18 Yun Li , Neil Yorke-Smith , Tamas Keviczky

In this work, we focus on reduced order modeling (ROM) techniques for hyperbolic conservation laws with application in uncertainty quantification (UQ) and in conjunction with the well-known Monte Carlo sampling method. Because we are…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-08-13 R. Crisovan , D. Torlo , R. Abgrall , S. Tokareva

Methods based on polynomial chaos expansion allow to approximate the behavior of systems with uncertain parameters by deterministic dynamics. These methods are used in a wide range of applications, spanning from simulation of uncertain…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-11-28 Tillmann Mühlpfordt , Rolf Findeisen , Veit Hagenmeyer , Timm Faulwasser

Verification solutions for uncertainty quantification are presented for time dependent transport problems where $c$, the scattering ratio, is uncertain. The method of polynomial chaos expansions is employed for quick and accurate…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-12-19 William Bennett , Ryan G. McClarren

We present an approach to the simulation of quantum systems driven by classical stochastic processes that is based on the polynomial chaos expansion, a well-known technique in the field of uncertainty quantification. The polynomial chaos…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2013-12-17 Kevin C. Young , Matthew D. Grace

The rough-set theory proposed by Pawlak, has been widely used in dealing with data classification problems. The original rough-set model is, however, quite sensitive to noisy data. Tzung thus proposed deals with the problem of producing a…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2012-04-09 Ali Soltan Mohammadi , L. Asadzadeh , D. D. Rezaee

We use the law of total variance to generate multiple expansions for the posterior predictive variance. These expansions are sums of terms involving conditional expectations and conditional variances and provide a quantification of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-23 Sanjay Chaudhuri , Dean Dustin , Bertrand Clarke

Stochastic expansion-based methods of uncertainty quantification, such as polynomial chaos and separated representations, require basis functions orthogonal with respect to the density of random inputs. Many modern engineering problems…

Computation · Statistics 2018-08-06 Brandon A. Jones , Marc Balducci