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This work introduces a novel and efficient Bayesian federated learning algorithm, namely, the Federated Averaging stochastic Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (FA-HMC), for parameter estimation and uncertainty quantification. We establish rigorous…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-10 Jiajun Liang , Qian Zhang , Wei Deng , Qifan Song , Guang Lin

We consider a decision maker who must choose an action in order to maximize a reward function that depends also on an unknown parameter {\Theta}. The decision maker can delay taking the action in order to experiment and gather additional…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-22 Victor F. Araman , Rene Caldentey

The Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) is one of the original models in explaining risk-return relationship in the financial market. However, when applying the CAPM into reality, it demonstrates a lot of shortcomings. While improving the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-11-24 Linh Nghiem

Bayesian matrix factorization (BMF) is a powerful tool for producing low-rank representations of matrices and for predicting missing values and providing confidence intervals. Scaling up the posterior inference for massive-scale matrices is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-28 Xiangju Qin , Paul Blomstedt , Eemeli Leppäaho , Pekka Parviainen , Samuel Kaski

Ideally, a meta-analysis will summarize data from several unbiased studies. Here we consider the less than ideal situation in which contributing studies may be compromised by measurement error. Measurement error affects every study design,…

Computing the similarity between two probability distributions is a recurring theme across control. We introduce a unified family of distances between the probability distributions of two random variables that is based on the discrepancy…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-03 Alexandros E. Tzikas , Arec Jamgochian , Nazim Kemal Ure , Mykel J. Kochenderfer , Stephen P. Boyd

Partial correlation coefficients are widely applied in the social sciences to evaluate the relationship between two variables after accounting for the influence of others. In this article, we present Bayes Factor Functions (BFFs) for…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-16 Saptati Datta

We introduce various quantitative and mathematical definitions for price momentum of financial instruments. The price momentum is quantified with velocity and mass concepts originated from the momentum in physics. By using the physical…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-08-21 Jaehyung Choi

In the standard equilibrium and/or arbitrage pricing framework, the value of any asset is uniquely specified from the belief that only the systematic risks need to be remunerated by the market. Here, we show that, even for arbitrary large…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Y. Malevergne , D. Sornette

The Bayesian approach to feature extraction, known as factor analysis (FA), has been widely studied in machine learning to obtain a latent representation of the data. An adequate selection of the probabilities and priors of these bayesian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-27 Carlos Sevilla-Salcedo , Vanessa Gómez-Verdejo , Pablo M. Olmos

We consider a classical problem in choice theory -- vote aggregation -- using novel distance measures between permutations that arise in several practical applications. The distance measures are derived through an axiomatic approach, taking…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2012-12-10 Farzad Farnoud , Olgica Milenkovic , Behrouz Touri

Detrended fluctuation analysis (DFA) and detrended moving average (DMA) are two scaling analysis methods designed to quantify correlations in noisy non-stationary signals. We systematically study the performance of different variants of the…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-10 L. Xu , P. Ch. Ivanov , K. Hu , Z. Chen , A. Carbone , H. E. Stanley

Analyzing multiple studies allows leveraging data from a range of sources and populations, but until recently, there have been limited methodologies to approach the joint unsupervised analysis of multiple high-dimensional studies. A recent…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-27 Isabella N. Grabski , Roberta De Vito , Lorenzo Trippa , Giovanni Parmigiani

We develop a novel methodology based on the marriage between the Bhattacharyya distance, a measure of similarity across distributions of random variables, and the Johnson-Lindenstrauss Lemma, a technique for dimension reduction. The…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-15 Ravi Kashyap

High-dimensional Bayesian procedures often exhibit behavior that is effectively low dimensional, even when the ambient parameter space is large or infinite-dimensional. This phenomenon underlies the success of shrinkage priors,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-30 Sayantan Banerjee

Fr\'echet Inception Distance (FID) is widely used to evaluate image generators, yet lower FID does not always correspond to better sample quality. We show that this mismatch depends in part on the geometry of the reference dataset. In a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-29 Yunghee Lee , Byeonghyun Pak

The flexibility of the Bayesian approach to account for covariates with measurement error is combined with semiparametric regression models for a class of continuous, discrete and mixed univariate response distributions with potentially all…

The value of stocks, indices and other assets, are examples of stochastic processes with unpredictable dynamics. In this paper, we discuss asymmetries in short term price movements that can not be associated with a long term positive trend.…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-13 Ingve Simonsen , Peter Toke Heden Ahlgren , Mogens H. Jensen , Raul Donangelo , Kim Sneppen

In this paper we make a first attempt at understanding how to build an optimal approximate normal factor analysis model. The criterion we have chosen to evaluate the distance between different models is the I-divergence between the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-27 Lorenzo Finesso , Peter Spreij

In the past few years, there have been a number of proposals for generalizing the factor analysis (FA) model and its mixture version (known as mixtures of factor analyzers (MFA)) using non-normal and asymmetric distributions. These models…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-11-21 Sharon X. Lee , Geoffrey J. McLachlan
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