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Counterfactual learning has become promising for understanding and modeling causality in complex and dynamic systems. This paper presents a novel method for counterfactual learning in the context of multivariate time series analysis and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Gianlucca Zuin , Adriano Veloso

The relation between spontaneous and stimulated brain activity is a fundamental question in neuroscience, which has received wide attention in experimental studies. Recently, it has been suggested that the evoked response to external…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2023-06-16 M. K. Nandi , A. De Candia , A. Sarracino , H. J. Herrmann , L. de Arcangelis

Higher educational institutions constantly look for ways to meet students' needs and support them through graduation. Recent work in the field of learning analytics have developed methods for grade prediction and course recommendations.…

Applications · Statistics 2019-06-12 Prableen Kaur , Agoritsa Polyzou , George Karypis

In this paper, we develop a generic methodology to encode hierarchical causality structure among observed variables into a neural network in order to improve its predictive performance. The proposed methodology, called causality-informed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-25 Xiaoge Zhang , Xiao-Lin Wang , Fenglei Fan , Yiu-Ming Cheung , Indranil Bose

Granger causality is a widely-used criterion for analyzing interactions in large-scale networks. As most physical interactions are inherently nonlinear, we consider the problem of inferring the existence of pairwise Granger causality…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-15 Saurabh Khanna , Vincent Y. F. Tan

We study an Ising model in a network with disorder induced by the presence of both attractive and repulsive links. This system is subjected to a subthreshold signal, and the goal is to see how the response is enhanced for a given fraction…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-13 T. Vaz Martins , Raul Toral , M. A. Santos

Dynamic functional connectivity is an effective measure for the brain's responses to continuous stimuli. We propose an inferential method to detect the dynamic changes of brain networks based on time-varying graphical models. Whereas most…

Applications · Statistics 2020-06-23 Dingjue Ji , Junwei Lu , Yiliang Zhang , Hongyu Zhao , Siyuan Gao

Deep graph learning has advanced Alzheimer's (AD) disease classification from MRI, but most models remain correlational, confounding demographic and genetic factors with disease specific features. We present Causal-GCN, an interventional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-20 Pranay Kumar Peddi , Dhrubajyoti Ghosh

A predictive model makes outcome predictions based on some given features, i.e., it estimates the conditional probability of the outcome given a feature vector. In general, a predictive model cannot estimate the causal effect of a feature…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-11 Jiuyong Li , Lin Liu , Ziqi Xu , Ha Xuan Tran , Thuc Duy Le , Jixue Liu

The use of Internet in the every day life has pushed its evolution in a very fast way. The heterogeneity of the equipments supporting its networks, as well as the different devices from which it can be accessed, have participated in…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2014-04-23 Hadrien Hours , Ernst Biersack , Patrick Loiseau

Networks of excitatory and inhibitory (EI) neurons form a canonical circuit in the brain. Seminal theoretical results on dynamics of such networks are based on the assumption that synaptic strengths depend on the type of neurons they…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2025-03-18 Yuxiu Shao , David Dahmen , Stefano Recanatesi , Eric Shea-Brown , Srdjan Ostojic

A challenging problem when studying a dynamical system is to find the interdependencies among its individual components. Several algorithms have been proposed to detect directed dynamical influences between time series. Two of the most used…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-09-09 Alessandro Montalto , Sebastiano Stramaglia , Luca Faes , Giovanni Tessitore , Roberto Prevete , Daniele Marinazzo

The work demonstrates that brain might reflect the external world causal relationships in the form of a logically consistent and prognostic model of reality, which shows up as consciousness. The paper analyses and solves the problem of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-12-09 Evgenii Vityaev

Causality in time series can be challenging to determine, especially in the presence of non-linear dependencies. Granger causality helps analyze potential relationships between variables, thereby offering a method to determine whether one…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-13 Harsh Poonia , Felix Divo , Kristian Kersting , Devendra Singh Dhami

Sensory perception originates from the responses of sensory neurons, which react to a collection of sensory signals linked to various physical attributes of a singular perceptual object. Unraveling how the brain extracts perceptual…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2025-10-27 Zhichao Zhu , Yang Qi , Wenlian Lu , Jianfeng Feng

Modeling the behavior of coupled networks is challenging due to their intricate dynamics. For example in neuroscience, it is of critical importance to understand the relationship between the functional neural processes and anatomical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-20 Hongyuan You , Sikun Lin , Ambuj K. Singh

This report reviews the conceptual and theoretical links between Granger causality and directed information theory. We begin with a short historical tour of Granger causality, concentrating on its closeness to information theory. The…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-06-12 Pierre-Olivier Amblard , Olivier J. J. Michel

We introduce graphical time series models for the analysis of dynamic relationships among variables in multivariate time series. The modelling approach is based on the notion of strong Granger causality and can be applied to time series…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-07-18 Michael Eichler

We study the spike statistics of neurons in a network with dynamically balanced excitation and inhibition. Our model, intended to represent a generic cortical column, comprises randomly connected excitatory and inhibitory leaky…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Alexander Lerchner , Cristina Ursta , John Hertz , Mandana Ahmadi , Pauline Ruffiot

The past decade has seen an increasing body of literature devoted to the estimation of causal effects in network-dependent data. However, the validity of many classical statistical methods in such data is often questioned. There is an…

Computation · Statistics 2017-05-31 Oleg Sofrygin , Romain Neugebauer , Mark J. van der Laan
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