Related papers: Continuous-time GARCH process driven by semi-L\'ev…
The aim of this paper is to develop estimation and inference methods for the drift parameters of multivariate L\'evy-driven continuous-time autoregressive processes of order $p\in\mathbb{N}$. Starting from a continuous-time observation of…
The main goal of the work is to study the stochastic averaging principle for two time-scales stochastic evolution equations driven by L\'evy process. The solution of reduced equation with modified coefficient is derived to approximate the…
We develop a uniform test for detecting and dating explosive behavior of a strictly stationary GARCH$(r,s)$ (generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity) process. Namely, we test the null hypothesis of a globally stable GARCH…
This paper offers a new method for estimation and forecasting of the volatility of financial time series when the stationarity assumption is violated. Our general local parametric approach particularly applies to general varying-coefficient…
In time-series analyses, particularly for finance, generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (GARCH) models are widely applied statistical tools for modelling volatility clusters (i.e., periods of increased or decreased…
This paper examines some probabilistic properties of the class of periodic GARCH processes (PGARCH) which feature periodicity in conditional heteroskedasticity. In these models, the parameters are allowed to switch between different…
In this paper we introduce a new class of state space models based on shot-noise simulation representations of non-Gaussian L\'evy-driven linear systems, represented as stochastic differential equations. In particular a conditionally…
Intermittent stochastic processes appear in a wide field, such as chemistry, biology, ecology, and computer science. This paper builds up the theory of intermittent continuous time random walk (CTRW) and L\'{e}vy walk, in which the…
A novel stability-enhanced Gaussian process variational autoencoder (SEGP-VAE) is proposed for indirectly training a low-dimensional linear time invariant (LTI) system, using high-dimensional video data. The mean and covariance function of…
We study the existence of densities for distributions of piecewise deterministic Markov processes. We also obtain relationships between invariant densities of the continuous time process and that of the process observed at jump times. In…
We study a general mass transport model on an arbitrary graph consisting of $L$ nodes each carrying a continuous mass. The graph also has a set of directed links between pairs of nodes through which a stochastic portion of mass, chosen from…
It is known that the transition probabilities of a solution to a classical It\^o stochastic differential equation (SDE) satisfy in the weak sense the associated Kolmogorov equation. The Kolmogorov equation is a partial differential equation…
In this paper, we propose the realized Hyperbolic GARCH model for the joint-dynamics of lowfrequency returns and realized measures that generalizes the realized GARCH model of Hansen et al.(2012) as well as the FLoGARCH model introduced by…
We consider a general honest homogeneous continuous-time Markov process with restarts. The process is forced to restart from a given distribution at time moments generated by an independent Poisson process. The motivation to study such…
We introduce the spatial disorder-generalized Langevin equation (SD-GLE), a data-driven method for constructing coarse-grained (CG) dynamics in heterogeneous systems. Unlike conventional CG approaches that rely on a mean-field potential,…
The existence of generalized steady states (GSSs) in nonlinear mechanical systems under moderate temporally aperiodic forcing has only been shown recently. Here we derive systematic expansions for such GSSs and construct a numerical…
We are concerned about the averaging principle for the stochastic Burgers equation with slow-fast time scale. This slow-fast system is driven by L\'{e}vy processes. Under some appropriate conditions, we show that the slow component of this…
We study a $d$-dimensional stochastic process $\mathbf{X}$ which arises from a L\'evy process $\mathbf{Y}$ by partial resetting, that is the position of the process $\mathbf{X}$ at a Poisson moment equals $c$ times its position right before…
In this article, we consider the problem of periodic homogenization of a Feller process generated by a pseudo-differential operator, the so-called L\'evy-type process. Under the assumptions that the generator has rapidly periodically…
It is common for long financial time series to exhibit gradual change in the unconditional volatility. We propose a new model that captures this type of nonstationarity in a parsimonious way. The model augments the volatility equation of a…