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We investigate the probability density of rescaled sums of iterates of deterministic dynamical systems, a problem relevant for many complex physical systems consisting of dependent random variables. A Central Limit Theorem (CLT) is only…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Ugur Tirnakli , Christian Beck , Constantino Tsallis

We consider the numerical approximation of $\mathbb{P}[G\in \Omega]$ where the $d$-dimensional random variable $G$ cannot be sampled directly, but there is a hierarchy of increasingly accurate approximations $\{G_\ell\}_{\ell\in\mathbb{N}}$…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-21 Abdul-Lateef Haji-Ali , Jonathan Spence , Aretha Teckentrup

In this work we study and establish some quenched functional Central Limit Theorems (CLTs) for stationary random fields under a projective criteria. These results are functional generalizations of the theorems obtained by Zhang et al.…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-05-28 Lucas Reding , Na Zhang

This paper investigates the ultra reliable and low latency communication (URLLC) performance of the IRS-aided MIMO system. The upper and lower bounds of the optimal average error probability (OAEP) for the coding rate 1/sqrt(Mn) of the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-02-22 Xin Zhang , Shenghui Song

In this paper, we use the dimensional reduction technique to study the central limit theory (CLT) random quadratic forms based on sample means and sample covariance matrices. Specifically, we use a matrix denoted by $U_{p\times q}$, to map…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-21 Wenzhi Yang , Yiming Liu , Guangming Pan , Wang Zhou

We consider linear two-time-scale stochastic approximation algorithms driven by martingale noise. Recent applications in machine learning motivate the need to understand finite-time error rates, but conventional stochastic approximation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-12 Seo Taek Kong , Sihan Zeng , Thinh T. Doan , R. Srikant

Simulating quantum dynamics is one of the central applications of quantum computing. For Hamiltonians written as a sum of many terms, deterministic Trotter--Suzuki product formulas can require applying a large number of term-wise evolutions…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-05-20 Pegah Mohammadipour , Xiantao Li

We extend the spectral method for proving limit theorems to random non-uniformly expanding dynamical systems. This yields the CLT and moderate deviations principles (MDP). We show that as the amount of non-uniformity decreases the CLT rates…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-08-14 Yeor Hafouta

Multi-fidelity Monte Carlo (MFMC) is a variance reduction method that leverages a multi-fidelity ensemble of models of varying cost and accuracy levels. Constructing an MFMC estimator with optimal variance requires knowledge of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-25 Michael Stanley , Thomas Coons , Geoffrey Bomarito , Patrick Leser , Joshua Pribe , James Warner

In this paper, we provide bounds on the asymptotic variance for a class of sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) samplers designed for approximating multimodal distributions. Such methods combine standard SMC methods and Markov chain Monte Carlo…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-25 Daniel Paulin , Ajay Jasra , Alexandre Thiery

In this paper, we investigate the functional central limit theorem for stochastic processes associated to partial sums of additive functionals of reversible Markov chains with general spate space, under the normalization standard deviation…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-02 Magda Peligrad , Sergey Utev

This article discusses MLMC estimators with and without weights, applied to nested expectations of the form E [f (E [F (Y, Z)|Y ])]. More precisely, we are interested on the assumptions needed to comply with the MLMC framework, depending on…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-10 Daphné Giorgi , Vincent Lemaire , Gilles Pagès

Multi-fidelity methods that use an ensemble of models to compute a Monte Carlo estimator of the expectation of a high-fidelity model can significantly reduce computational costs compared to single-model approaches. These methods use oracle…

Computation · Statistics 2026-03-12 Thomas Dixon , Alex Gorodetsky , John Jakeman , Akil Narayan , Yiming Xu

Langevin Monte Carlo (LMC) is a popular Bayesian sampling method. For the log-concave distribution function, the method converges exponentially fast, up to a controllable discretization error. However, the method requires the evaluation of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-07 Zhiyan Ding , Qin Li

Multifidelity Monte Carlo methods rely on a hierarchy of possibly less accurate but statistically correlated simplified or reduced models, in order to accelerate the estimation of statistics of high-fidelity models without compromising the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-10-29 Alessio Quaglino , Simone Pezzuto , Rolf Krause

Monte Carlo approximations for random linear elliptic PDE constrained optimization problems are studied. We use empirical process theory to obtain best possible mean convergence rates $O(n^{-\frac{1}{2}})$ for optimal values and solutions,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-06-14 Werner Römisch , Thomas M. Surowiec

In this paper, we derive a unified method for establishing the distributional convergence of linear eigenvalue statistics (LES) for generalized patterned random matrices. We prove that for an $N \times N$ generalized patterned random matrix…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-14 Kiran Kumar A. S. , Shambhu Nath Maurya , Koushik Saha

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) requires to evaluate the full data likelihood at different parameter values iteratively and is often computationally infeasible for large data sets. In this paper, we propose to approximate the log-likelihood…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-26 Guanyu Hu , HaiYing Wang

Maximum pseudolikelihood (MPL) estimators are useful alternatives to maximum likelihood (ML) estimators when likelihood functions are more difficult to manipulate than their marginal and conditional components. Furthermore, MPL estimators…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-30 Hien D. Nguyen

We present general principles for the design and analysis of unbiased Monte Carlo estimators in a wide range of settings. Our estimators posses finite work-normalized variance under mild regularity conditions. We apply our estimators to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-23 Jose H. Blanchet , Peter W. Glynn , Yanan Pei
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